China’s Agricultural Growth, Technological Change and Consumption

Author(s):  
Lei Sun
1970 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 448-468
Author(s):  
Sayed Mushtaq Hussain

After stagnating in the 1950's, agricultural production in West Pakistan rose substantially in the early 1960's because of increased area under cultivation and higher crop yields made possible through greater availability of controlled water and the use of fertilizers. Since the mid-sixties, another important source of agricultural growth has been added, namely, the development and spread of high-yielding varieties of wheat, rice and maize. The discovery and develop¬ment of high-yielding seeds (HYS) amount to a technological change and this has created a very large potential for raising the production of certain crops, provided the necessary inputs are properly used. Agricultural experts have predicted that with the adoption of the new HYS and the realization of their full-yield potential, the current problem of 'food shortage' will change into a problem of 'food surplus'.


2005 ◽  
Vol 44 (4II) ◽  
pp. 729-746 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shujat Ali

Pakistan’s agriculture has grown rapidly since the 1960s, with an average annual growth of about 4 percent over the four decades till the end of the century. Agricultural growth at this rate was sustained by the technological progress embodied in the high-yielding varieties of grains and cotton, with supporting public investment in irrigation, agricultural research and extension (R&E), and physical infrastructure. This rate of agricultural growth has significantly contributed to the overall economic growth of about 6 percent per year during this period. Sustaining this performance presents a considerable challenge for the public policy framework for agriculture, not the least for the agricultural research and extension system in Pakistan. The central role of technological change in increasing agricultural productivity is well established in the wake of the Green Revolution experience across much of Asia. In the context of Pakistan, it has been estimated that almost 58 percent of the total output growth from 1960 to 1996 was due to technological change [Ali (2000)]. While improvements in the physical and market infrastructure, farmer education, price policies, and weather, all have their place in enhancing agricultural production, R&E investments has been regarded by far the most important contributor to agricultural productivity growth [Evenson and Rosegrant (1993); Byerlee (1994)].


1967 ◽  
Vol 46 (5) ◽  
pp. 326 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Douglas Seymour
Keyword(s):  

2017 ◽  
pp. 111-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Kapeliushnikov

The paper provides a critical analysis of the idea of technological unemployment. The overview of the existing literature on the employment effects of technological change shows that on the micro-level there exists strong and positive relationship between innovations and employment growth in firms; on the sectoral level this correlation becomes ambiguous; on the macro-level the impact of new technologies seems to be positive or neutral. This implies that fears of explosive growth of technological unemployment in the foreseeable future are exaggerated. Our analysis further suggests that new technologies affect mostly the structure of employment rather than its level. Additionally we argue that automation and digitalisation would change mostly task sets within particular occupations rather than distribution of workers by occupations.


2013 ◽  
pp. 97-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Apokin

The author compares several quantitative and qualitative approaches to forecasting to find appropriate methods to incorporate technological change in long-range forecasts of the world economy. A?number of long-run forecasts (with horizons over 10 years) for the world economy and national economies is reviewed to outline advantages and drawbacks for different ways to account for technological change. Various approaches based on their sensitivity to data quality and robustness to model misspecifications are compared and recommendations are offered on the choice of appropriate technique in long-run forecasts of the world economy in the presence of technological change.


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