Financial Conditions Index as a Leading Indicator of Business Cycles in Turkey

Author(s):  
Umit Bulut
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles deGrazia ◽  
Amanda Myers ◽  
Andrew A. Toole

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivan Mendieta‐Muñoz ◽  
Doğuhan Sündal

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 184-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles A. W. deGrazia ◽  
Amanda Myers ◽  
Andrew A. Toole

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esteban Gómez-González ◽  
Andrés Murcia ◽  
Nancy Eugenia Zamudio-Gómez

2015 ◽  
Vol 65 (3) ◽  
pp. 479-501
Author(s):  
Andrea Tkáčová ◽  
Marianna Siničáková

The objective of the paper is to create a composite leading indicator (CLI) for monitoring and predicting Hungarian business cycles. We compare the existing CLI applied by the OECD and Eurostat with our own CLI. According to our findings, our CLI forecasts the evolution of a referential series more precisely than the CLIs developed by the OECD and Eurostat. Nevertheless, from our point of view, the application of all existing CLIs at the same time can be appropriate. Consequently, the number of false signals should be reduced. The CLIs allow us to receive the first rough preliminary estimations of an economic cycle, in our case, the Hungarian one.


2010 ◽  
pp. 78-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Klinov

Rates and factors of modern world economic growth and the consequences of rapid expansion of the economies of China and India are analyzed in the article. Modification of business cycles and long waves of economic development are evaluated. The need of reforming business taxation is demonstrated.


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