scholarly journals Using Risk Analysis to Evaluate Design Alternatives

Author(s):  
Yudistira Asnar ◽  
Volha Bryl ◽  
Paolo Giorgini
Author(s):  
Dennis B. Brickman ◽  
Erik D. Power ◽  
Wilson C. Hayes

A tragic accident occurred in a day care center when a 5 year old child fell face down with a plastic toy asparagus spear in his mouth, puncturing the soft palate and dissecting the internal carotid artery. Approaches utilized in the risk analysis include: literature review, safety standards research, accident statistics survey, biomechanical testing, and evaluation of alternative toy asparagus designs. The goal of this investigation is to make toy designers and users more aware of the puncture/impaling hazard and to identify design alternatives to prevent similar injuries from occurring.


Author(s):  
Jaskanwal P. S. Chhabra ◽  
Gordon P. Warn

Uncertainty is an integral part of decision making. While performing tradespace analysis multiple design alternatives need to be compared with respect to uncertain decision criteria in order to identify non-dominated design alternatives. However when the decision criteria is obtained from a computationally intensive numerical analysis or from an experimental analysis it might not be feasible to precisely derive distributions of the decision criteria for all design alternatives in the tradespace. In this study it is hypothesized that the availability of precise distributions of decision criteria for all design alternatives in the tradespace is not necessary and appropriate decisions can be made on the basis of imprecise distributions of decision criteria. Key contribution of this study is to investigate an approach using mean-risk analysis to sequentially evaluate a tradespace of design alternatives by bounding and sequentially reducing the imprecision in evaluation of experimental/numerical performance. A sequential decision process is presented where models of increasing fidelity are used to discriminate dominated design alternatives from the tradespace on the basis of imprecise distributions of decision criteria. Application of the framework is demonstrated on a multi-objective discrete choice problem of designing a two bar truss.


2010 ◽  
Vol 58 (S 01) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Schönebeck ◽  
B Reiter ◽  
O Haye ◽  
D Böhm ◽  
M Ismail ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 60-77
Author(s):  
E. V. Vasilieva ◽  
T. V. Gaibova

This paper describes the method of project risk analysis based on design thinking and explores the possibility of its application for industrial investment projects. Traditional and suggested approaches to project risk management have been compared. Several risk analysis artifacts have been added to the standard list of artifacts. An iterative procedure for the formation of risk analysis artifacts has been developed, with the purpose of integrating the risk management process into strategic and prompt decision-making during project management. A list of tools at each stage of design thinking for risk management within the framework of real investment projects has been proposed. The suggested technology helps to determine project objectives and content and adapt them in regards to possible; as well as to implement measures aimed at reducing these risks, to increase productivity of the existing risk assessment and risk management tools, to organize effective cooperation between project team members, and to promote accumulation of knowledge about the project during its development and implementation.The authors declare no conflict of interest.


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