A Logical Anticipatory System of Before-After Relation Based on Bf-EVALPSN

Author(s):  
Kazumi Nakamatsu ◽  
Jair Minoro Abe ◽  
Seiki Akama
Keyword(s):  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahra Heidari Darani ◽  
Mohsen Taheri Demne ◽  
Darush Mohammadi Zanjirani ◽  
Ali Zackery

AbstractEmerging energy systems are inherently different from their conventional counter-parts. To address all issues of these systems, comprehensive approaches of transdisciplinary and post-normal sciences are needed. This article tries to re-conceptualize emerging energy systems using Robert Rosen’s theory of anticipatory system and introduces the concept of the anticipatory smart energy system (ASES). Three important features of an ASES are described and socio-technical considerations for realization of these features are discussed. The article also considers realization of such systems under society 5.0 paradigm and spime techno-culture. In ASESs, the identity of users evolves and new identities are created for energy users, based on the production, consumption, storage, and distributed management of energy. An Anticipatory energy system can manage a common pool of prosumaging.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 208-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Hodgson

The future is an aspect of time and like clock time tends to be taken for granted unquestioned as an experience. There is a tendency for both futurists and management scientists inadvertently to adopt a first-order paradigm. In this article, I introduce a second-order approach in which the presence of the decision maker is acknowledged. In this approach, the phenomenology of time consciousness provides a basis for expanding time into a present moment with richer dimensionality, enlarging linear causality to a set of multiple influences on the present moment, some of which originate in aspects of what we call the future. We need to extend the scope of futures methods by considering the interaction between agency and uncertainty. High agency combined with high uncertainty is not yet well supplied with appropriate methods. In this region, the act of reperception is fundamental; algorithmic decision methods are out of their depth. In this different paradigm of time, anticipatory systems are crucial. Practice needs the capacity to navigate in a constantly shifting landscape that distinguishes three qualities of the future symbolized as three horizons. One is the future as seen from the dominant present situation. The second is a future desirable emergent states. The third is a future that holds the powerful and turbulent dilemmas between the other two and requires the navigation skill of the decision maker as an anticipatory system. At the core of this anticipatory system is a multidimensional future consciousness with the capacity to see into the future through different lenses of awareness in the present moment.


2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 26-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samiksha Goel ◽  
Arpita Sharma ◽  
V. K. Panchal

Since ages nations have been trying to improve their military effectiveness by adopting various measures. Having an anticipatory system, which can not only accurately predict the most probable location for the enemy's base station but also finds the best route to that point, will lead to improved military operations. This paper aims to propose an integrated framework for developing an efficient anticipatory system. In the first phase of the framework, it proposes Anticipatory Multi objective Cuckoo Search (AMOCS) algorithm to identify the best probable location for deployment of enemy forces. For the second phase a hybrid CS-ACO algorithm is developed for obtaining the most suitable path to the location identified in the first phase. To test the proposed system, satellite image of regions of different terrain types namely plain/desert and mountainous respectively, are chosen. Experimental results demonstrate that the system makes accurate predictions.


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