The Prediction of Short-term Traffic Flow Based on the Niche Genetic Algorithm and BP Neural Network

2012 ◽  
pp. 775-781 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuan-xiang Ren ◽  
Cheng-bao Wang ◽  
Chang-chang Yin ◽  
Meng Chen ◽  
Xu Shan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Short Term

scholarly journals Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Model Based on GA-TCN

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Rongji Zhang ◽  
Feng Sun ◽  
Ziwen Song ◽  
Xiaolin Wang ◽  
Yingcui Du ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Average Absolute Error ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic Flow Forecasting ◽  
Fitness Value

Traffic flow forecasting is the key to an intelligent transportation system (ITS). Currently, the short-term traffic flow forecasting methods based on deep learning need to be further improved in terms of accuracy and computational efficiency. Therefore, a short-term traffic flow forecasting model GA-TCN based on genetic algorithm (GA) optimized time convolutional neural network (TCN) is proposed in this paper. The prediction error was considered as the fitness value and the genetic algorithm was used to optimize the filters, kernel size, batch size, and dilations hyperparameters of the temporal convolutional neural network to determine the optimal fitness prediction model. Finally, the model was tested using the public dataset PEMS. The results showed that the average absolute error of the proposed GA-TCN decreased by 34.09%, 22.42%, and 26.33% compared with LSTM, GRU, and TCN in working days, while the average absolute error of the GA-TCN decreased by 24.42%, 2.33%, and 3.92% in weekend days, respectively. The results indicate that the model proposed in this paper has a better adaptability and higher prediction accuracy in short-term traffic flow forecasting compared with the existing models. The proposed model can provide important support for the formulation of a dynamic traffic control scheme.

Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on GA-Elman Model

2014 ◽  
Vol 986-987 ◽  
pp. 520-523
Author(s):  
Wen Xia You ◽  
Jun Xiao Chang ◽  
Zi Heng Zhou ◽  
Ji Lu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Relative Error ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Elman Neural Network ◽  
Learning Efficiency ◽  
Multiple Layer ◽  
Short Term Load Forecasting

Elman Neural Network is a typical neural-network which shares the characteristics of multiple-layer and dynamic recurrent, and it’s more suitable than BP Neural Network when it’s applied to forecast the short-term load with periodicity and similarity. To solve the problem that Elman Neural Network lacks learning efficiency, GA-Elman model is established by optimizing the weights and thresholds using Genetic Algorithm. An example is then given to prove the effectiveness of GA-Elman model, using the load data of a certain region. Relative error and MSE have been considered as criterions to analyze the results of load forecasting. By comparing the results calculated by BP, Elman and GA-Elman model, the effectiveness of GA-Elman model is verified, which will improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting.

Research on the Application of the Prediction of the Expressway Traffic Flow Based on the Neural Network with Genetic Algorithm

2011 ◽  
Vol 189-193 ◽  
pp. 4400-4404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun Mei Zhu ◽  
Chang Peng Yan ◽  
Xiao Li Xu ◽  
Guo Xin Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Neural Network Algorithm ◽  
Genetic Neural Network

In order to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the prediction of expressway traffic flow, this paper, based on the characteristics of the data of the expressway traffic flow, focuses on an optimized method of prediction with the application of the neural network with genetic algorithm. Applying genetic algorithm, optimizing BP neural network structure and establishing a new mixed model, this algorithm speed up the slow convergence velocity of traditional BP neural network prediction and increases the possibility to escape local minima. This algorithm based on the optimized genetic neural network predicts the actual data of the expressway traffic flow, the result of which shows that the application of the optimized method of prediction with the genetic neural network algorithm is effective and that it improves the rate and the accuracy of the prediction of the expressway traffic flow.

scholarly journals Short-Term Load Forecasting of Power System Based on Improved BP Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Power System ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Normal Load ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
System Optimization ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Load Forecasting

Power system load is a stochastic and non-stationary process. Due to the influence of various factors, some bad data may exist in the load observation value. These data are mixed into the normal load data to participate in the training of neural network, which seriously affects the accuracy of load forecasting. Short-term load forecasting is the basis of power system operation and analysis, improving the precision of load forecasting is an important means to ensure the scientific decision-making of power system optimization. In order to improve the precision of short term load forecasting in power system, a short-term load forecasting model based on genetic algorithm is proposed to optimize BP neural network. Firstly, using genetic algorithm to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of BP neural network to improve the prediction accuracy of BP neural network; Through the comparison and analysis before and after the model optimization, the experimental results with smaller prediction error were obtained. The simulation results show that the short-term load forecasting model established by this method has faster convergence rate and higher prediction precision.

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