Forecasting Model for Urban Traffic Flow with BP Neural Network based on Genetic Algorithm

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaofeng Yang ◽  
Langwen Zhang ◽  
Wei Xie
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Forecasting Model

scholarly journals Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Model Based on GA-TCN

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Rongji Zhang ◽  
Feng Sun ◽  
Ziwen Song ◽  
Xiaolin Wang ◽  
Yingcui Du ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Average Absolute Error ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic Flow Forecasting ◽  
Fitness Value

Traffic flow forecasting is the key to an intelligent transportation system (ITS). Currently, the short-term traffic flow forecasting methods based on deep learning need to be further improved in terms of accuracy and computational efficiency. Therefore, a short-term traffic flow forecasting model GA-TCN based on genetic algorithm (GA) optimized time convolutional neural network (TCN) is proposed in this paper. The prediction error was considered as the fitness value and the genetic algorithm was used to optimize the filters, kernel size, batch size, and dilations hyperparameters of the temporal convolutional neural network to determine the optimal fitness prediction model. Finally, the model was tested using the public dataset PEMS. The results showed that the average absolute error of the proposed GA-TCN decreased by 34.09%, 22.42%, and 26.33% compared with LSTM, GRU, and TCN in working days, while the average absolute error of the GA-TCN decreased by 24.42%, 2.33%, and 3.92% in weekend days, respectively. The results indicate that the model proposed in this paper has a better adaptability and higher prediction accuracy in short-term traffic flow forecasting compared with the existing models. The proposed model can provide important support for the formulation of a dynamic traffic control scheme.

Hangzhou Housing Demand Forecasting Model Based on BP Neural Network of Genetic Algorithm Optimization

2014 ◽  
Vol 587-589 ◽  
pp. 37-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Hua Mao ◽  
Meng Bo Zhang ◽  
Ning Bo Yao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Housing Market ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Housing Demand ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Algorithm Optimization ◽  
Genetic Algorithm Optimization ◽  
The Impact

Hangzhou, the capital of Zhejiang province and a famous scenic tourist city in China, goes at the forefront of the country for its high real estate prices, which hold a very important position of orientation to pricing in the real estate markets of the Yangtze River Delta region and of the whole country as well. The price trend of Hangzhou's real estate is even related to the sustainable development of the city. This paper uses the macro data on the housing market in Hangzhou during 1999-2012 to establish a forecasting model which is based on BP neural network of genetic algorithm optimization. With MATLAB software exploited for programming and simulation, the prediction made by the model about the housing demand in Hangzhou and the subsequent re-examination show that the model has high precision. But due to the impact of the national macro-control policies on housing market, the predictive value of some years may fluctuate to a certain extent.

scholarly journals Sales Forecasting Model Based on BP Neural Network Optimized by Improved Immune Genetic Algorithm

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kunyu Cao ◽  
Yongdang Chen ◽  
Xinxin Song ◽  
Shan Liu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Antibody Concentration ◽  
Immune Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Network Prediction

Abstract A new sales forecasting model based on an Improved Immune Genetic Algorithm (IIGA), IIGA that optimizes the BPNN (IIGA-BP) has been proposed. The IIGA presents a new way of population initialization, a regulatory mechanism of antibody concentration, and a design method of adaptive crossover operator and mutation operator, which effectively improved the convergence ability and optimization anility of IIGA. And IIGA can optimize the BPNN’s initial weights and threshold and improve the randomness of network parameters as well as the drawbacks that lead to output instability of BPNN and easiness into local minimum value. It taking the past records of sales figures of a certain steel enterprise as an example, utilizing the Matlab to construct the BP neural network, Immune Genetic Algorithm that optimizes the BPNN (IGA-BP), IGA-BP neural network, and IIGA-BP neural network prediction models for simulation and comparative analysis. The experiment demonstrates that IIGA-BP neural network prediction model possessing a higher prediction accuracy and more stable prediction effects.

Research on the Application of the Prediction of the Expressway Traffic Flow Based on the Neural Network with Genetic Algorithm

2011 ◽  
Vol 189-193 ◽  
pp. 4400-4404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun Mei Zhu ◽  
Chang Peng Yan ◽  
Xiao Li Xu ◽  
Guo Xin Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Neural Network Algorithm ◽  
Genetic Neural Network

In order to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the prediction of expressway traffic flow, this paper, based on the characteristics of the data of the expressway traffic flow, focuses on an optimized method of prediction with the application of the neural network with genetic algorithm. Applying genetic algorithm, optimizing BP neural network structure and establishing a new mixed model, this algorithm speed up the slow convergence velocity of traditional BP neural network prediction and increases the possibility to escape local minima. This algorithm based on the optimized genetic neural network predicts the actual data of the expressway traffic flow, the result of which shows that the application of the optimized method of prediction with the genetic neural network algorithm is effective and that it improves the rate and the accuracy of the prediction of the expressway traffic flow.

scholarly journals Short-Term Load Forecasting of Power System Based on Improved BP Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Power System ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Normal Load ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
System Optimization ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Load Forecasting

Power system load is a stochastic and non-stationary process. Due to the influence of various factors, some bad data may exist in the load observation value. These data are mixed into the normal load data to participate in the training of neural network, which seriously affects the accuracy of load forecasting. Short-term load forecasting is the basis of power system operation and analysis, improving the precision of load forecasting is an important means to ensure the scientific decision-making of power system optimization. In order to improve the precision of short term load forecasting in power system, a short-term load forecasting model based on genetic algorithm is proposed to optimize BP neural network. Firstly, using genetic algorithm to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of BP neural network to improve the prediction accuracy of BP neural network; Through the comparison and analysis before and after the model optimization, the experimental results with smaller prediction error were obtained. The simulation results show that the short-term load forecasting model established by this method has faster convergence rate and higher prediction precision.

scholarly journals A Neural Network Model for Driver’s Lane-Changing Trajectory Prediction in Urban Traffic Flow

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenxi Ding ◽  
Wuhong Wang ◽  
Xiao Wang ◽  
Martin Baumann
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Driving Simulator ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Lane Changing ◽  
Training Time

The neural network may learn and incorporate the uncertainties to predict the driver’s lane-changing behavior more accurately. In this paper, we will discuss in detail the effectiveness of Back-Propagation (BP) neural network for prediction of lane-changing trajectory based on the past vehicle data and compare the results between BP neural network model and Elman Network model in terms of the training time and accuracy. Driving simulator data and NGSIM data were processed by a smooth method and then used to validate the availability of the model. The test results indicate that BP neural network might be an accurate prediction of driver’s lane-changing behavior in urban traffic flow. The objective of this paper is to show the usefulness of BP neural network in prediction of lane-changing process and confirm that the vehicle trajectory is influenced previously by the collected data.

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