Cointegration Analysis of VAR Models with Markovian Shifts in Regime

1997 ◽  
pp. 297-328
Author(s):  
Hans-Martin Krolzig
Keyword(s):  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Var Models

Analysis of the Bank of Russia information policy

2017 ◽  
pp. 88-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Drobyshevsky ◽  
P. Trunin ◽  
A. Bozhechkova ◽  
E. Gorunov ◽  
D. Petrova
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Nonparametric Tests ◽  
Information Policy ◽  
Var Models ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
News Reports ◽  
Internet Users ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Markets

The article investigates the Bank of Russia information policy using a new approach to measuring information effects on Russian data, including the analysis of the tonality of news reports, as well as internet users’ queries on Google. The efficiency of regulator’s information signals is studied using EGARCH-, VAR- models, as well as nonparametric tests. The authors conclude that the regulator communicates effectively in terms of the predictability of interest rate policy, the degree to which information signals affect the money and foreign exchange markets.

Growth - Saving Causality in India: A Cointegration Analysis

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-42
Author(s):  
Dr. Shradha H Budhedeo ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Cointegration Analysis

The Nexus between Financial Development and Human Development: The Case of Developing Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 68
Author(s):  
Bilgehan Tekin
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Development Index ◽  
Development Levels ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this study to examine the relationship between financial development and human development in the health and welfare dimensions of developing countries. This study aims to determine whether the financial developments of the countries have an effect on the basic human development of the individuals and whether human development indicators have an impact on financial development. In this study, the relationship between financial development and human development has been tried to be revealed by using data obtained from developing countries. Financial development levels of the countries were measured with the developed financial development index. The index is calculated by using M3 / GDP, private sector loans / GDP and loans to banks from private sector / GDP ratios. The human development index is calculated by considering various health indicators and GNP per capita. The data includes annual data for the period 1970-2016. Pedroni and Kao cointegration analysis and Dumitrescu & Hurlin panel causality analysis were performed in the study. According to the results of the study, the cointegration relationship was determined between the two variables. There is also a two-way causality between the variables.

KOINTEGRASI EKSPOR IMPOR INDONESIA, 1970 - 2013

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 229-246
Author(s):  
Azis Muslim
Keyword(s):  
Structural Break ◽  
Trade Deficit ◽  
Budget Constraint ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Data Period

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah terdapat kointegrasi antara ekspor dan impor di Indonesia. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Uji Kointegrasi Gregory-Hansen dengan pertimbangan adanya structural break berdasarkan pada data tahunan ekspor impor Indonesia dari tahun 1970 sampai dengan 2013. Hasil penelitian memperlihatkan bahwa tidak terjadi kointegrasi antara ekspor dan impor. Hal ini berarti bahwa Indonesia menghadapi masalah neraca pembayaran, serta defisit perdagangan yang terjadi bukan merupakan fenomena jangka pendek. This research aims to investigate empirically the existence of Indonesian export import cointegration. This Research used the Gregory-Hansen cointegration analysis due to structural break based on Indonesia Export import annual data (period of 1970-2013 ). The results showed that there is no-cointegration of Indonesia export and import which means that Indonesia is facing international budget constraint and trade deficit isn’t a short term phenomenon.

Export-led Growth Hypothesis in MINT Countries: A Panel Cointegration Analysis

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harun Bal ◽  
Shahanara Basher ◽  
Abdulla Hil Mamun ◽  
Emrah Akça
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Promotion Strategy ◽  
Key Factor ◽  
Good Number ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

The contribution of exports to GDP in MINT countries that improve substantially just after their implantation of export promotion strategy in the late 1980s raises the issue of whether the growth in these countries is led by export or not. While a good number of studies have been found investigating whether economic growth is promoted by exports for developing countries having an outstanding share of export in GDP, no study investigating the export-led growth hypothesis for MINT countries has been found until recent times. The main purpose of this study is to fill up the void. The study employs panel cointegration technique with an aim to examine whether the export is the key factor of economic growth for MINT countries employing yearly secondary data that covers the period. Results of the study imply that economic growth of these countries is considerably exports driven. Moreover, there is an indication of improvement of efficiency as exports work along with the rise capital formation. As the employment opportunity of an economy is expanded through capital formation, the emerging MINT countries endowed with large population and favorable demographics are expected to become the major exporters with strong GDP growth by being able to attract adequate foreign investment.

Quality control of risk measures: backtesting VAR models

2007 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victor de la Pena ◽  
Ricardo Rivera ◽  
Jesus Ruiz-Mata
Keyword(s):  
Quality Control ◽  
Risk Measures ◽  
Var Models

Equilibrium Land Prices of Japanese Prefectures: A Panel Cointegration Analysis

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takashi Nagahata ◽  
Yumi Saita ◽  
Towa Tachibana ◽  
Toshitaka Sekine
Keyword(s):  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Land Prices
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