Export-led Growth Hypothesis in MINT Countries: A Panel Cointegration Analysis

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harun Bal ◽  
Shahanara Basher ◽  
Abdulla Hil Mamun ◽  
Emrah Akça
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Promotion Strategy ◽  
Key Factor ◽  
Good Number ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

The contribution of exports to GDP in MINT countries that improve substantially just after their implantation of export promotion strategy in the late 1980s raises the issue of whether the growth in these countries is led by export or not. While a good number of studies have been found investigating whether economic growth is promoted by exports for developing countries having an outstanding share of export in GDP, no study investigating the export-led growth hypothesis for MINT countries has been found until recent times. The main purpose of this study is to fill up the void. The study employs panel cointegration technique with an aim to examine whether the export is the key factor of economic growth for MINT countries employing yearly secondary data that covers the period. Results of the study imply that economic growth of these countries is considerably exports driven. Moreover, there is an indication of improvement of efficiency as exports work along with the rise capital formation. As the employment opportunity of an economy is expanded through capital formation, the emerging MINT countries endowed with large population and favorable demographics are expected to become the major exporters with strong GDP growth by being able to attract adequate foreign investment.

scholarly journals The Causality between Education and GDP Growth in Asian Countries

2015 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 28-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Formal Education ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Variable Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Educational Investments

This paper investigates the causal relationship between education and GDP in 40 Asian countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. A three-variable model is formulated with capital formation as the third variable. The results show a strong causality from investment and economic growth to education in these countries. Yet, education does not have any significant effects on GDP and investment in short- and long-run. It means that it is the capital formation and GDP that drives education in mentioned countries, not vice versa. So the findings of this paper support the point of view that it is higher economic growth that leads to higher education proxy. It seems that as the number of enrollments raise, the quality of the education declines. Moreover, the formal education systems are not market oriented in these countries. This may be the reason why huge educational investments in these developing countries fail to generate higher growth. By promoting practice-oriented training for students particularly in technical disciplines and matching education system to the needs of the labor market, it will help create long-term jobs and improve the country’s future prospects.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Economic Growth and Human Capital in Developing Countries

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 55-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Formal Education ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Variable Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Educational Investments

This paper investigates the causal relationship between education and GDP in developing countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. A three-variable model is formulated with capital formation as the third variable. The results show a strong causality from investment and economic growth to education in these countries. Yet, education does not have any significant effects on GDP and investment in short- and long-run. It means that it is the capital formation and GDP that drives education in mentioned countries, not vice versa. So the findings of this paper support the point of view that it is higher economic growth that leads to higher education proxy. It seems that as the number of enrollments raise, the quality of the education declines. Moreover, the formal education systems are not market oriented in these countries. This may be the reason why huge educational investments in these developing countries fail to generate higher growth. By promoting practice-oriented training for students particularly in technical disciplines and matching education system to the needs of the labor market, it will help create long-term jobs and improve the country’s future prospects.

scholarly journals Does Renewable Energy Matter for Economic Growth in Central and Eastern European Countries? Empirical Evidence from Heterogeneous Panel Cointegration Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-59
Author(s):  
Olimpia Neagu ◽  
Cristian Haiduc ◽  
Andrei Anghelina
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Renewable Energy Consumption ◽  
Eastern European Countries ◽  
Heterogeneous Panel

AbstractThe aim of the paper is to provide empirical evidence in support of the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in eleven Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries over the period 1995-2015 within a multivariate panel data analysis. Based on World Bank data, the panel cointegration analysis reveals that renewable energy consumption and economic growth are positively associated in the long run in CEE countries. The heterogeneous panel causality test indicates a bi-directional causality relationship in support of the feedback hypothesis between economic growth and renewable energy consumption in Central and Eastern European countries.

scholarly journals Investigating Finance-Growth Nexus: Further Evidence from Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adeola Yahya Oyebowale ◽  
Noah Kofi Karley
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Financial Sector Development

This study investigates the influence of financial sector development on economic growth in Nigeria during the period 1982 to 2015. As such, the study obtained annual secondary data from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletins and World Bank financial database. The empirical model for this study examines growth in savings, growth in exchange rate, growth in government expenditure, growth in stock market capitalization, growth in credit to private sector, growth in gross capital formation, growth in trade openness and growth in broad money on economic growth in Nigeria. The multiple regression output reveals that growth in government expenditure and growth in gross capital formation are statistically significant on economic growth in Nigeria at 1% and 10% respectively under the period under investigation while other regressors in the model prove to be statistically insignificant. VAR test shows that there is considerable short-run causality running from lags of regressors to economic growth in Nigeria except for lag 1 of growth in exchange rate and lag 2 of growth in credit to private sector. The granger causality test reveals the existence of bi-directional causality between financial sector development and economic growth in Nigeria during the period under investigation. Hence, this study supports the ‘feedback hypothesis’ view on finance-growth. Based on these empirical results, this study recommends effective channeling of funds to the private sector and autonomy of the Central Bank of Nigeria in the use of monetary policy tools.

scholarly journals The Causality between Capital Formation and Economic Growth in MENA Region

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
North Africa ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Mena Region ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Strong Causality

This paper investigates the causal relationship between gross domestic investment (INV) and GDP for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. The results show a strong causality from economic growth to investment in these countries. Yet, investment does not have any significant effects on GDP in short- and long-run. It means that it is the GDP that drives investment in mentioned countries, not vice versa. So the findings of this paper support the point of view that it is higher economic growth that leads to higher investment. According to the results, decision makings should be employed to achieve sustainable growth through higher productivity and substantially enlarging the economic base diversification in the future

scholarly journals Education and Economic Growth in NER States of India: A Panel Cointegration Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-105
Author(s):  
Md. Samsur Jaman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Social Welfare ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Eastern Region ◽  
Social Sector ◽  
Long Run ◽  
North Eastern ◽  
Social Expenditures

The main purpose of this study is examines the long run relationship between social expenditures and economic growth in North-Eastern states of India. The long run impact of expenditures in social sector such as education, health and social welfare on economic growth is investigated by applying the Pedroni’s panel Cointegration using balanced panel data analysis of eight (8) North Eastern states over the period from 2000 to 2014. In this study empirical analysis suggest the existence of dynamic relationship among expenditures on education, health and social welfare and economic growth for all cases of eight sample states. The study concludes that expenditures in the social sector can affect economic growth. Such social expenditures enhance productivity by providing infrastructure, education, health and harmonizing social interests. Thus, expenditure composition can also play an important role in promoting economic growth in North-Eastern region.

scholarly journals Energy and economic growth in G20 countries: Panel cointegration analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aynur Pala
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Dynamic Ols

Rising economic performance has enlarged energy demand, carbon emissions and global warming. Policymakers need to avoid global warming. Therefore, energy-growth nexus is important. This paper empirically investigates the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for a panel of G20 countries over the period 1990-2016. For this purpose, the paper considers the panel cointegration and panel vector error correction model. Panel cointegration test set out a long-run equilibrium relationship. Long-run relationship is estimated using a Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) and Dynamic OLS (DOLS). The results show that causality run from energy consumption to GDP. It is indicates that “growth hypothesis” is valid for G20 countries.

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