Landslide displacement prediction based on variational mode decomposition and WA-GWO-BP model

Landslides ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 567-583 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zizheng Guo ◽  
Lixia Chen ◽  
Lei Gui ◽  
Juan Du ◽  
Kunlong Yin ◽  
...  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guohui Li ◽  
Xiao Ma ◽  
Hong Yang

The change of the number of sunspots has a great impact on the Earth’s climate, agriculture, communications, natural disasters, and other aspects, so it is very important to predict the number of sunspots. Aiming at the chaotic characteristics of monthly mean of sunspots, a novel hybrid model for forecasting sunspots time-series based on variational mode decomposition (VMD) and backpropagation (BP) neural network improved by firefly algorithm (FA) is proposed. Firstly, a set of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) are obtained by VMD decomposition of the monthly mean time series of the sunspots. Secondly, the firefly algorithm is introduced to initialize the weights and thresholds of the BP neural network, and a prediction model is established for each IMF. Finally, the predicted values of these components are calculated to obtain the final predict results. Comparing BP model, FA-BP model, EMD-BP model, and VMD-BP model, the simulation results show that the proposed algorithm has higher prediction accuracy and can be used to forecast the time series of sunspots.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 4684
Author(s):  
Xiaoxu Niu ◽  
Junwei Ma ◽  
Yankun Wang ◽  
Junrong Zhang ◽  
Hongjie Chen ◽  
...  

As vital comments on landslide early warning systems, accurate and reliable displacement prediction is essential and of significant importance for landslide mitigation. However, obtaining the desired prediction accuracy remains highly difficult and challenging due to the complex nonlinear characteristics of landslide monitoring data. Based on the principle of “decomposition and ensemble”, a three-step decomposition-ensemble learning model integrating ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and a recurrent neural network (RNN) was proposed for landslide displacement prediction. EEMD and kurtosis criteria were first applied for data decomposition and construction of trend and periodic components. Second, a polynomial regression model and RNN with maximal information coefficient (MIC)-based input variable selection were implemented for individual prediction of trend and periodic components independently. Finally, the predictions of trend and periodic components were aggregated into a final ensemble prediction. The experimental results from the Muyubao landslide demonstrate that the proposed EEMD-RNN decomposition-ensemble learning model is capable of increasing prediction accuracy and outperforms the traditional decomposition-ensemble learning models (including EEMD-support vector machine, and EEMD-extreme learning machine). Moreover, compared with standard RNN, the gated recurrent unit (GRU)-and long short-term memory (LSTM)-based models perform better in predicting accuracy. The EEMD-RNN decomposition-ensemble learning model is promising for landslide displacement prediction.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1055
Author(s):  
Jing Wang ◽  
Guigen Nie ◽  
Shengjun Gao ◽  
Shuguang Wu ◽  
Haiyang Li ◽  
...  

The prediction of landslide displacement is a challenging and essential task. It is thus very important to choose a suitable displacement prediction model. This paper develops a novel Attention Mechanism with Long Short Time Memory Neural Network (AMLSTM NN) model based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) landslide displacement prediction. The CEEMDAN method is implemented to ingest landslide Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) time series. The AMLSTM algorithm is then used to realize prediction work, jointly with multiple impact factors. The Baishuihe landslide is adopted to illustrate the capabilities of the model. The results show that the CEEMDAN-AMLSTM model achieves competitive accuracy and has significant potential for landslide displacement prediction.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 1952
Author(s):  
May Phu Paing ◽  
Supan Tungjitkusolmun ◽  
Toan Huy Bui ◽  
Sarinporn Visitsattapongse ◽  
Chuchart Pintavirooj

Automated segmentation methods are critical for early detection, prompt actions, and immediate treatments in reducing disability and death risks of brain infarction. This paper aims to develop a fully automated method to segment the infarct lesions from T1-weighted brain scans. As a key novelty, the proposed method combines variational mode decomposition and deep learning-based segmentation to take advantages of both methods and provide better results. There are three main technical contributions in this paper. First, variational mode decomposition is applied as a pre-processing to discriminate the infarct lesions from unwanted non-infarct tissues. Second, overlapped patches strategy is proposed to reduce the workload of the deep-learning-based segmentation task. Finally, a three-dimensional U-Net model is developed to perform patch-wise segmentation of infarct lesions. A total of 239 brain scans from a public dataset is utilized to develop and evaluate the proposed method. Empirical results reveal that the proposed automated segmentation can provide promising performances with an average dice similarity coefficient (DSC) of 0.6684, intersection over union (IoU) of 0.5022, and average symmetric surface distance (ASSD) of 0.3932, respectively.


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