Incorporating climate change into recovery planning for threatened vertebrate species in southwestern Australia

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 147-165 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara A. Stewart ◽  
Benjamin M. Ford ◽  
Bronte E. Van Helden ◽  
J. Dale Roberts ◽  
Paul G. Close ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
pp. 355-367 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Romero ◽  
J. Olivero ◽  
R. Real

Our limited understanding of the complexity of nature generates uncertainty in mathematical and cartographical models used to predict the effects of climate change on species’ distributions. We developed predictive models of distributional range shifts of threatened vertebrate species in mainland Spain, and in their accumulation in biodiversity hotspots due to climate change. We considered two relevant sources of climatological uncertainty that affect predictions of future climate: general circulation models and socio–economic scenarios. We also examined the relative importance of climate as a driver of species’ distribution and taxonomic uncertainty as additional biogeographical causes of uncertainty. Uncertainty was detected in all the forecasts derived from models in which climate was a significant explanatory factor, and in the species with taxonomic uncertainty. Uncertainty in forecasts was mainly located in areas not occupied by the species, and increased with time difference from the present. Mapping this uncertainty allowed us to assess the consistency of predictions regarding future changes in the distribution of hotspots of threatened vertebrates in Spain.


2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 1709-1720 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. M. K. Sniderman ◽  
J. Hellstrom ◽  
J. D. Woodhead ◽  
R. N. Drysdale ◽  
P. Bajo ◽  
...  

Check List ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 339-345
Author(s):  
José Manuel Mora ◽  
Jairo García Céspedes ◽  
Lucía Isabel López ◽  
Gerardo Chaves

Scotinomys xerampelinus has a restricted distribution in the Cordilleras Central and Talamanca of Costa Rica and western Panama, at an elevational range between 2100 and 3400 m. We report individuals observed at Cerro Chirripó, Costa Rica at 3820 m, which extends upwards the known elevational range by 420 m. The altitudinal range extension may indicate either incomplete surveys in the study area or an upslope shift due to increasing temperatures from climate change, a phenomenon that has forced several Costa Rican vertebrate species to transition to higher elevations. 


2021 ◽  
Vol 288 (1942) ◽  
pp. 20202567
Author(s):  
Tao Wan ◽  
Jamie R. Oaks ◽  
Xue-Long Jiang ◽  
Huateng Huang ◽  
L. Lacey Knowles

The mountains of southwest China (MSWC) is a biodiversity hotspot with highly complex and unusual terrain. However, with the majority of studies focusing on the biogeographic consequences of massive mountain building, the Quaternary legacy of biodiversity for the MSWC has long been overlooked. Here, we took a statistical comparative phylogeography approach to examine factors that shaped community-wide diversification. With data from 30 vertebrate species, the results reveal spatially concordant genetic structure, and temporally clustered co-divergence events associated with river barriers during severe glacial cycles. This indicates the importance of riverine barriers in the phylogeographic history of the MSWC vertebrate community. We conclude that the repeated glacial cycles are associated with co-divergences that are themselves structured by the heterogeneity of the montane landscape of the MSWC. This orderly process of diversification has profound implications for conservation by highlighting the relative independence of different geographical areas in which some, but not all species in communities have responded similarly to climate change and calls for further comparative phylogeographic investigations to reveal the connection between biological traits and divergence pulses in this biodiversity hotspot.


2019 ◽  
Vol 572 ◽  
pp. 761-770 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Liu ◽  
R.J. Harper ◽  
K.R.J. Smettem ◽  
B. Dell ◽  
S. Liu

2008 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 113 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Green ◽  
J. A. Stein ◽  
M. M. Driessen

Animal distribution is strongly controlled by climate, especially at higher altitudes where harsher conditions favour fewer vertebrate species. A predicted consequence of climate change is increased pressure on these higher-altitude faunal communities by invasion of lower-altitude species more suited to warmer conditions. The distribution of two such species, the broad-toothed rat (Mastacomys fuscus) and swamp rat (Rattus lutreolus) (with the former generally occurring at higher altitude except in Tasmania), were examined using BIOCLIM. Modelled climate change with a 20% reduction in precipitation and a warming of 2.9°C at latitude 36°S (Snowy Mountains) and 3.4°C at 42°S (central Tasmania) suggests that M. fuscus will retreat to higher altitudes. The core areas of R. lutreolus will also contract, but significantly they will also move so that they overlap current core areas of M. fuscus on the mainland. Barrington Tops is the northernmost known location for M. fuscus and is climatically marginal. The recent invasion of Barrington Tops by R. lutreolus and decline of M. fuscus raises the question as to whether the modelled broader range changes will result in greater competition between the invading R. lutreolus and the cool-climate specialist M. fuscus, resulting in the further loss of the latter.


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