scholarly journals Clinical validity of clinical treatment score 5 (CTS5) for estimating risk of late recurrence in unselected, non-trial patients with early oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer

Author(s):  
Juliet Richman ◽  
Alistair Ring ◽  
Mitch Dowsett ◽  
Ivana Sestak

Abstract Purpose Clinical Treatment Score at 5 years (CTS5) is a prognostic tool to estimate distant recurrence (DR) risk after 5 years of endocrine therapy for postmenopausal women with oestrogen receptor-positive (ER-positive) breast cancer. Methods The validity of CTS5 was tested in a retrospective cohort of patients diagnosed with early ER-positive breast cancer. The primary endpoint was DR in years 5–10. The primary analysis cohort consisted of postmenopausal women, with premenopausal women as a secondary analysis cohort. Cox regression models were used to determine the prognostic value of CTS5 and Kaplan–Meier curves were used with associated 10-year DR risks (%). Results 2428 women were included with a median follow-up of 13.4 years. The CTS5 was significantly prognostic in both postmenopausal (N = 1662, HR = 2.18 95% CI (1.78–2.67)) and premenopausal women (N = 766, HR = 1.84 95% CI (1.32–2.56)). The 10-year DR risks were 2.9% (1.9–4.5), 7.2% (5.3–9.9), and 12.9% (10.0–16.7) for low, intermediate and high risk in postmenopausal women and 3.8% (2.2–6.7), 6.9% (4.4–10.8), and 11.1% (7.4–16.5) in premenopausal women, respectively. The number of observed DRs was significantly greater than expected in those predicted to be at high risk by CTS5 but this discordance was lost when those receiving more than 60 months of endocrine therapy were excluded. Conclusions The CTS5 demonstrated clinical validity for predicting late DR within a large cohort of unselected postmenopausal patients but less so in premenopausal patients. Calibration of the CTS5 was good in patients who did not receive extended endocrine therapy. The CTS5 low-risk cohort has risk of DR so low as to not warrant extended endocrine therapy.

2019 ◽  
Vol 241 (3) ◽  
pp. R111-R124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabashini K Ramchand ◽  
Yee-Ming Cheung ◽  
Belinda Yeo ◽  
Mathis Grossmann

In women with oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive early breast cancer, oestradiol is important for breast cancer development and progression. Endocrine therapy prevents the deleterious effects of oestradiol in breast tissue by systemically depleting oestradiol concentration (aromatase inhibitors) or preventing its local action in breast tissue (selective oestrogen receptor modulators i.e. tamoxifen), thereby improving oncological outcomes. Use of aromatase inhibitors in postmenopausal women and ovarian function suppression with either tamoxifen or aromatase inhibition in premenopausal women, consequent to systemic oestradiol depletion, exerts detrimental effects on skeletal health. The oestradiol-deficient state causes increased bone remodelling and a negative bone balance. This results in bone loss, microstructural deterioration and bone fragility predisposing to fractures. Similar effects are also seen with tamoxifen in premenopausal women. In contrast, use of tamoxifen in postmenopausal women appears to exert protective effects on bone but studies on fracture risk are inconclusive. The longevity of women with ER-positive breast cancer treated with adjuvant endocrine therapy emphasises the need to mitigate the adverse skeletal effects of these therapies in order to maximise benefit. In general, fractures are associated with increased morbidity, mortality and are a high socioeconomic burden. Whilst the efficacy of antiresorptive therapy in preventing bone mineral density loss in postmenopausal women has been established, further clinical trial evidence is required to provide guidance regarding fracture risk reduction, when to initiate and stop treatment, choice of agent and optimal management of bone health in premenopausal women receiving endocrine therapy. In addition, potential oncological benefits of antiresorptive therapies will also need to be considered.


Breast Care ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 146-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivana Sestak

Postmenopausal women with early oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer who have received 5 years of endocrine therapy are at increased risk of developing a recurrence. An important clinical question is how to identify women who are at highest (or lowest) risk of a recurrence. The use of prognostic biomarkers allows individualised breast cancer therapy but correct identification of patients who will benefit most from extended endocrine therapy is essential. Several multigene assays have been developed to determine the likelihood of overall recurrence but so far none exist specifically for the prediction of late recurrence. Recent results from large clinical trials have shown that biomarker assays that include clinical information in their tests might be useful to predict and risk stratify patients for late recurrence. However, further research is needed to specifically offer multigene assays for the identification of late recurrence and thus justify routine use of these tests in the clinical setting.


Author(s):  
Stephen R. Johnston

Overview: Adjuvant endocrine therapy for early-stage breast cancer has had the single biggest impact on improving survival from the disease—with tamoxifen alone contributing to saving many thousands of lives. In postmenopausal women, additional progress has been made by the incorporation of aromatase inhibitors into the treatment of early-stage, estrogen receptor (ER)–positive breast cancer, as several large well-conducted trials have established either “up-front” or “switch” strategies that are now widely used. To date, both have been shown to be beneficial when compared with tamoxifen alone, although controversy exists as to which approach is superior. Increasingly, extended adjuvant therapy is being considered, as “longer may be better” for some women who have an ongoing risk of recurrence beyond 5 years. However, controversy remains as to how long adjuvant endocrine therapy should be given for; in clinical practice, clinicians balance the level of risk for individual patients versus any ongoing toxicity concerns. For premenopausal women, with ER-positive breast cancer, tamoxifen remains the gold standard with uncertainty in the added overall benefit of ovarian suppression. Important clinical trials have recently been completed that may help answers this question, including whether complete estrogen deprivation using a luteinizing hormone releasing hormone (LHRH) agonist plus aromatase inhibitors (AIs) is of added benefit. In recent years, molecular profiling of ER-positive breast cancer has started to distinguish those women with a low risk of recurrence on endocrine therapy who may not need chemotherapy. Thus, with more therapy options and greater tumour stratification, modern, adjuvant endocrine therapy is becoming increasingly personalised to suit each individual patient's risk.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun-Hee Lee ◽  
Se Kyung Lee ◽  
Byung Joo Chae ◽  
Jonghan Yu ◽  
Jeong Eon Lee ◽  
...  

BackgroundEndocrine therapy is administered to hormone-positive breast cancer patients to prevent distant metastasis. It is important to evaluate the risk of recurrence and to determine which patients are viable candidates for such treatment because hormone therapy has side effects that can include postmenopausal symptoms. The Clinical Treatment Score post–five years (CTS5), a simple tool for identifying candidates for endocrine therapy, was recently introduced; however, CTS5 only has been applied in validation studies with postmenopausal women. We aimed to validate CTS5 among premenopausal breast cancer patients.MethodsWe identified patients treated between 1994 and 2014 at Samsung Medical Center in Seoul, Korea, and followed their treatment outcomes for more than 60 months after surgery using clinicopathologic parameters. According to menopausal status, we divided the study population into two groups: pre- and postmenopausal women. After calculating CTS5 values based on some parameters, we stratified the rate of late distant recurrence (DR) and analyzed the correlation between CTS5 value and late DR by risk.ResultsAmong 16,904 patients treated surgically for breast cancer, 2,605 with hormone receptor–positive breast cancer who received endocrine therapy were included. Of these, 1,749 (67.14%) patients were premenopausal women, and the median age was 44.00 years. When categorizing study participants according to CTS5-related risk for late DR, 86.79% were categorized as low risk, 5.95% were categorized as intermediate risk, and 7.26% were categorized as high risk. The annual rate of DR was 1.41% for those in the present study and was similar between pre- and postmenopausal participants (1.40 vs. 1.42). Distant metastasis-free survival was not different between the two groups (hazard ratio: 0.817, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.547–1.221). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve at 10 years for premenopausal and postmenopausal patients was 61.75 (95% CI: 52.97–70.53) and 72.71 (95% CIs: 63.30–82.12), respectively.ConclusionsAlthough CTS5 was able to predict late DR, it should be applied with caution in premenopausal women. A CTS5 calculator for premenopausal women might be needed to not underestimate the risk of recurrence in Korea.


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