scholarly journals Coupling Epidemiological Models with Social Dynamics

2021 ◽  
Vol 83 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlo Giambiagi Ferrari ◽  
Juan Pablo Pinasco ◽  
Nicolas Saintier
Keyword(s):  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Epidemiological Models

scholarly journals Stochastic social behavior coupled to COVID-19 dynamics leads to waves, plateaus and an endemic state

eLife ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexei V Tkachenko ◽  
Sergei Maslov ◽  
Tong Wang ◽  
Ahmed Elbana ◽  
George N Wong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Stochastic Dynamics ◽  
Social Activity ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Population Heterogeneity ◽  
Epidemiological Models ◽  
Dynamic Heterogeneity ◽  
Multiple Features ◽  
Individual Variations ◽  
Endemic State

It is well recognized that population heterogeneity plays an important role in the spread of epidemics. While individual variations in social activity are often assumed to be persistent, i.e. constant in time, here we discuss the consequences of dynamic heterogeneity. By integrating the stochastic dynamics of social activity into traditional epidemiological models we demonstrate the emergence of a new long timescale governing the epidemic, in broad agreement with empirical data. Our Stochastic Social Activity model captures multiple features of real-life epidemics such as COVID-19, including prolonged plateaus and multiple waves, which are transiently suppressed due to the dynamic nature of social activity. The existence of a long timescale due to the interplay between epidemic and social dynamics provides a unifying picture of how a fast-paced epidemic typically will transition to an endemic state.

scholarly journals Stochastic social behavior coupled to COVID-19 dynamics leads to waves, plateaus and an endemic state

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexei V. Tkachenko ◽  
Sergei Maslov ◽  
Tong Wang ◽  
Ahmed Elbanna ◽  
George N. Wong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Stochastic Dynamics ◽  
Social Activity ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Population Heterogeneity ◽  
Epidemiological Models ◽  
Dynamic Heterogeneity ◽  
Multiple Features ◽  
Individual Variations ◽  
Endemic State

It is well recognized that population heterogeneity plays an important role in the spread of epidemics. While individual variations in social activity are often assumed to be persistent, i.e. constant in time, here we discuss the consequences of dynamic heterogeneity. By integrating the stochastic dynamics of social activity into traditional epidemiological models we demonstrate the emergence of a new long timescale governing the epidemic in broad agreement with empirical data. Our model captures multiple features of real-life epidemics such as COVID-19, including prolonged plateaus and multiple waves, which are transiently suppressed due to the dynamic nature of social activity. The existence of the long timescale due to the interplay between epidemic and social dynamics provides a unifying picture of how a fast-paced epidemic typically will transition to the endemic state.

Review of The Social Dynamics of Self-Esteem: Theory to Therapy.

1989 ◽  
Vol 34 (11) ◽  
pp. 1046-1046
Author(s):  
No authorship indicated
Keyword(s):  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Self Esteem ◽  
The Social

Clubs, TI-GERS, & Nonlinear Social Dynamics: Oh My!

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Gratz ◽  
Bruce Smith ◽  
Diane Pittenger
Keyword(s):  
Social Dynamics

Multilayered social dynamics and depression among older adults: A 10-year cross-lagged analysis.

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (7) ◽  
pp. 948-962
Author(s):  
Reed Miller Reynolds ◽  
Jingbo Meng ◽  
Elizabeth Dorrance Hall
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Social Dynamics

Das Ende der Postdemokratie, den Pessimismus überwinden.

2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (188) ◽  
pp. 487-494
Author(s):  
Daniel Mullis
Keyword(s):  
Political Thought ◽  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Social Conditions ◽  
The Other ◽  
Economic Decline ◽  
Far Right ◽  
Windows Of Opportunity ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Political Struggles ◽  
The One

In recent years, political and social conditions have changed dramatically. Many analyses help to capture these dynamics. However, they produce political pessimism: on the one hand there is the image of regression and on the other, a direct link is made between socio-economic decline and the rise of the far-right. To counter these aspects, this article argues that current political events are to be understood less as ‘regression’ but rather as a moment of movement and the return of deep political struggles. Referring to Jacques Ranciere’s political thought, the current conditions can be captured as the ‘end of post-democracy’. This approach changes the perspective on current social dynamics in a productive way. It allows for an emphasis on movement and the recognition of the windows of opportunity for emancipatory struggles.

At the final stage of the global crisis: Economic tasksin 2017-2019

2018 ◽  
pp. 5-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. A. Mau
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Final Stage ◽  
Government Regulation ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Growth Stimulation ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Economic Area ◽  
National Trends

The paper deals with the global and national trends of economic and social development at the final stage of the global structural crisis. Special attention is paid to intellectual challenges economists will face with in the post-crisis world: prospects of growth without inflation, new global currencies and the role of cryptocurrencies, central banks independence and their role in economic growth stimulation, new tasks and patterns of government regulation, inequality and growth. Special features of Russian post-crisis development are also under consideration. Among them: prospects of macroeconomic support of growth, inflation targeting, new fiscal rule, social dynamics and new challenges to welfare state. The paper concludes that the main obstacles for economic growth in Russia are concentrated in the non-economic area.

Social development of modern Russia: trends, risks, prospects

2018 ◽  
pp. 76-89
Author(s):  
E. M. Avraamova ◽  
V. N. Titov
Keyword(s):  
Middle Class ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Social Structure ◽  
Structure Formation ◽  
Resource Availability ◽  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Quantitative Estimation ◽  
Resource Potential ◽  
Institutional Conditions ◽  
Resource Characteristics

The analysis of present-time directions in the study of social development has allowed to identify the resource approach as the most productive one which enables to assess social dynamics through the range of resource characteristics of different population groups and abilities of the relevant groups to apply development resources in the current economic and institutional conditions. Basing on the sociological survey conducted by ISAP RANEPA, the quantitative estimation of material and social recourses of the population has been made; integral values of the resource potential have been calculated as well. The issues of social structure formation are analyzed through the aspect of resource availability; the barriers of Russian middle-class enlargement are defined.

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