Comment on Malanson (2017) “Mixed signals in trends of variance in high-elevation tree ring chronologies” published in Journal of Mountain Science

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 444-446 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Fowler
Keyword(s):  
2017 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 478-495 ◽  
Author(s):  
UK Thapa ◽  
S St. George ◽  
DK Kharal ◽  
NP Gaire

The climate of Nepal has changed rapidly over the recent decades, but most instrumental records of weather and hydrology only extend back to the 1980s. Tree rings can provide a longer perspective on recent environmental changes, and since the early 2000s, a new round of field initiatives by international researchers and Nepali scientists have more than doubled the size of the country’s tree-ring network. In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of the current tree-ring width network for Nepal, and use this network to estimate changes in forest growth nation-wide during the last four centuries. Ring-width chronologies in Nepal have been developed from 11 tree species, and half of the records span at least 290 years. The Nepal tree-ring width network provides a robust estimate of annual forest growth over roughly the last four centuries, but prior to this point, our mean ring-width composite fluctuates wildly due to low sample replication. Over the last four centuries, two major events are prominent in the all-Nepal composite: (i) a prolonged and widespread growth suppression during the early 1800s; and (ii) heightened growth during the most recent decade. The early 19th century decline in tree growth coincides with two major Indonesian eruptions, and suggests that short-term disturbances related to climate extremes can exert a lasting influence on the vigor of Nepal’s forests. Growth increases since AD 2000 are mainly apparent in high-elevation fir, which may be a consequence of the observed trend towards warmer temperatures, particularly during winter. This synthesis effort should be useful to establish baselines for tree-ring data in Nepal and provide a broader context to evaluate the sensitivity or behavior of this proxy in the central Himalayas.


2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1821-1855 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. S. Morales ◽  
J. Carilla ◽  
H. R. Grau ◽  
R. Villalba

Abstract. High-elevation endorreic lakes in the Southern Altiplano of South America represent a major source of local biodiversity. Size and depth of wetlands in Northwest Argentine (NWA) and Southwest Bolivia (SWB) have shown to be very sensitive to basin hidrological balances, and consequently, very vulnerable to deleterious effects from climate changes. The management of these water resources requires a comprehensive knowledge of their natural variability over multiple time scales. In this study we present a multi-century reconstruction of past lake-area fluctuations in the NWA and SWB, inferred from Polylepis tarapacana tree-ring records. Between 1975 and 2009 interannual lake area fluctuations from nine lakes were quantified based on Landsat satellite images. A composite P. tarapacana tree-ring chronology was developed. Correlations analyses were performed to screen potential predictor tree-ring chronologies for reconstruction models. Inter-annual lake area fluctuations were positively correlated with inter-annual variations of the radial growth of P. tarapacana. A tree-ring chronology (601 years long) was use as predictor, in a regression model, to reconstruct the annual (January–December) mean lake area from nine endorreic lakes. The chronology captures 60% of the total variance in lake-area fluctuations and shows adequate levels of cross-validation. The twentieth century was unusual in the long-term context provided by the reconstruction; a persistent negative trend in lake area is clear in the reconstruction during the past century and is consistent with glacier retreat and other climate proxies from the Altiplano and tropical Andes. These results provide a baseline for the historical range of variability in lake fluctuations, and thus should be considered for the management of biodiversity and water resources in the region, particularly in relation to future XXI century climate scenarios.


1970 ◽  
Vol 5 (7) ◽  
pp. 138
Author(s):  
Santosh K Shah ◽  
Amalava Bhattacharyya ◽  
Vandana Chaudhary

DOI = 10.3126/hjs.v5i7.1320 Himalayan Journal of Sciences Vol.5(7) (Special Issue) 2008 p.138


2010 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 379-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Corona ◽  
J. Guiot ◽  
J. L. Edouard ◽  
F. Chalié ◽  
U. Büntgen ◽  
...  

Abstract. This paper presents a reconstruction of the summer temperatures over the Greater Alpine Region (44.05°–47.41° N, 6.43°–13° E) during the last millennium based on a network of 38 multi-centennial larch and stone pine chronologies. Tree ring series are standardized using an Adaptative Regional Growth Curve, which attempts to remove the age effect from the low frequency variations in the series. The proxies are calibrated using the June to August mean temperatures from the HISTALP high-elevation temperature time series spanning the 1818–2003. The method combines an analogue technique, which is able to extend the too short tree-ring series, an artificial neural network technique for an optimal non-linear calibration including a bootstrap technique for calculating error assessment on the reconstruction. About 50% of the temperature variance is reconstructed. Low-elevation instrumental data back to 1760 compared to their instrumental target data reveal divergence between (warmer) early instrumental measurements and (colder) proxy estimates. The proxy record indicates cool conditions, from the mid-11th century to the mid-12th century, related to the Oort solar minimum followed by a short Medieval Warm Period (1200–1420). The Little Ice Age (1420–1830) appears particularly cold between 1420 and 1820 with summers that are 0.8 °C cooler than the 1901–2000 period. The new record suggests that the persistency of the late 20th century warming trend is unprecedented. It also reveals significant similarities with other alpine reconstructions.


1996 ◽  
Vol 26 (12) ◽  
pp. 2123-2133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dana L. Perkins ◽  
Thomas W. Swetnam

Whitebark pine (Pinusalbicaulis Engelm.) tree-ring chronologies of 700 to greater than 1000 years in length were developed for four sites in the Sawtooth–Salmon River region, central Idaho. These ring-width chronologies were used to (i) assess the dendrochronological characteristics of this species, (ii) detect annual mortality dates of whitebark pine attributed to a widespread mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonusponderosae Hopkins (Coleoptera: Scolytidae)) epidemic during the 1909–1940 period, and (iii) establish the response of whitebark pine ring-width growth to climate variables. Cross-dating of whitebark pine tree-ring patterns was verified. Ring-width indices had low mean sensitivity (0.123–0.174), typical of high-elevation conifers in western North America, and variable first-order autocorrelation (0.206–0.551). Mountain pine beetle caused mortality of dominant whitebark pine peaked in 1930 on all four sites. Response functions and correlation analyses with state divisional weather records indicate that above-average radial growth is positively correlated with winter and spring precipitation and inversely correlated with May temperature. These correlations appear to be a response to seasonal snowpack. Whitebark pine is a promising species for dendroclimatic studies.


2003 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Piovesan ◽  
M. Bernabei ◽  
A. Di Filippo ◽  
M. Romagnoli ◽  
B. Schirone

2017 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 164-173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lara Klippel ◽  
Paul J. Krusic ◽  
Robert Brandes ◽  
Claudia Hartl-Meier ◽  
Valerie Trouet ◽  
...  

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