scholarly journals Application of several artificial intelligence models and ARIMAX model for forecasting drought using the Standardized Precipitation Index

2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1201-1210 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Jalalkamali ◽  
M. Moradi ◽  
N. Moradi
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Precipitation Index ◽  
Intelligence Models ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Models ◽  
The Standardized Precipitation Index

scholarly journals Stress testing reveals gaps in clinic readiness of image-based diagnostic artificial intelligence models

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Albert T. Young ◽  
Kristen Fernandez ◽  
Jacob Pfau ◽  
Rasika Reddy ◽  
Nhat Anh Cao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Real World ◽  
Stress Testing ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Skin Lesions ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Performance Metric ◽  
Intelligence Models ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Models

AbstractArtificial intelligence models match or exceed dermatologists in melanoma image classification. Less is known about their robustness against real-world variations, and clinicians may incorrectly assume that a model with an acceptable area under the receiver operating characteristic curve or related performance metric is ready for clinical use. Here, we systematically assessed the performance of dermatologist-level convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on real-world non-curated images by applying computational “stress tests”. Our goal was to create a proxy environment in which to comprehensively test the generalizability of off-the-shelf CNNs developed without training or evaluation protocols specific to individual clinics. We found inconsistent predictions on images captured repeatedly in the same setting or subjected to simple transformations (e.g., rotation). Such transformations resulted in false positive or negative predictions for 6.5–22% of skin lesions across test datasets. Our findings indicate that models meeting conventionally reported metrics need further validation with computational stress tests to assess clinic readiness.

scholarly journals How can artificial intelligence models assist PD-L1 expression scoring in breast cancer: results of multi-institutional ring studies

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinran Wang ◽  
Liang Wang ◽  
Hong Bu ◽  
Ningning Zhang ◽  
Meng Yue ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Clinical Practice ◽  
Subjective Assessment ◽  
Current Guideline ◽  
Scoring Method ◽  
Programmed Death ◽  
Intelligence Models ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Models ◽  
Scoring Accuracy

AbstractProgrammed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression is a key biomarker to screen patients for PD-1/PD-L1-targeted immunotherapy. However, a subjective assessment guide on PD-L1 expression of tumor-infiltrating immune cells (IC) scoring is currently adopted in clinical practice with low concordance. Therefore, a repeatable and quantifiable PD-L1 IC scoring method of breast cancer is desirable. In this study, we propose a deep learning-based artificial intelligence-assisted (AI-assisted) model for PD-L1 IC scoring. Three rounds of ring studies (RSs) involving 31 pathologists from 10 hospitals were carried out, using the current guideline in the first two rounds (RS1, RS2) and our AI scoring model in the last round (RS3). A total of 109 PD-L1 (Ventana SP142) immunohistochemistry (IHC) stained images were assessed and the role of the AI-assisted model was evaluated. With the assistance of AI, the scoring concordance across pathologists was boosted to excellent in RS3 (0.950, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.936–0.962) from moderate in RS1 (0.674, 95% CI: 0.614–0.735) and RS2 (0.736, 95% CI: 0.683–0.789). The 2- and 4-category scoring accuracy were improved by 4.2% (0.959, 95% CI: 0.953–0.964) and 13% (0.815, 95% CI: 0.803–0.827) (p < 0.001). The AI results were generally accepted by pathologists with 61% “fully accepted” and 91% “almost accepted”. The proposed AI-assisted method can help pathologists at all levels to improve the PD-L1 assay (SP-142) IC assessment in breast cancer in terms of both accuracy and concordance. The AI tool provides a scheme to standardize the PD-L1 IC scoring in clinical practice.

scholarly journals Prediction of Multi-Scalar Standardized Precipitation Index by Using Artificial Intelligence and Regression Models

Climate ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 28
Author(s):  
Anurag Malik ◽  
Anil Kumar ◽  
Priya Rai ◽  
Alban Kuriqi
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Precipitation Index ◽  
Visual Interpretation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Drought Prediction ◽  
Optimal Functioning

Accurate monitoring and forecasting of drought are crucial. They play a vital role in the optimal functioning of irrigation systems, risk management, drought readiness, and alleviation. In this work, Artificial Intelligence (AI) models, comprising Multi-layer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN) and Co-Active Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (CANFIS), and regression, model including Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), were investigated for multi-scalar Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) prediction in the Garhwal region of Uttarakhand State, India. The SPI was computed on six different scales, i.e., 1-, 3-, 6-, 9-, 12-, and 24-month, by deploying monthly rainfall information of available years. The significant lags as inputs for the MLPNN, CANFIS, and MLR models were obtained by utilizing Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) with a significant level equal to 5% for SPI-1, SPI-3, SPI-6, SPI-9, SPI-12, and SPI-24. The predicted multi-scalar SPI values utilizing the MLPNN, CANFIS, and MLR models were compared with calculated SPI of multi-time scales through different performance evaluation indicators and visual interpretation. The appraisals of results indicated that CANFIS performance was more reliable for drought prediction at Dehradun (3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month scales), Chamoli and Tehri Garhwal (1-, 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month scales), Haridwar and Pauri Garhwal (1-, 3-, 6-, and 9-month scales), Rudraprayag (1-, 3-, and 6-month scales), and Uttarkashi (3-month scale) stations. The MLPNN model was best at Dehradun (1- and 24- month scales), Tehri Garhwal and Chamoli (24-month scale), Haridwar (12- and 24-month scales), Pauri Garhwal (12-month scale), Rudraprayag (9-, 12-, and 24-month), and Uttarkashi (1- and 6-month scales) stations, while the MLR model was found to be optimal at Pauri Garhwal (24-month scale) and Uttarkashi (9-, 12-, and 24-month scales) stations. Furthermore, the modeling approach can foster a straightforward and trustworthy expert intelligent mechanism for projecting multi-scalar SPI and decision making for remedial arrangements to tackle meteorological drought at the stations under study.

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