Long-Term Youth Unemployment: Evidence from Turkish Household Labour Force Survey

2019 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
pp. 341-359 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayhan Görmüş
Author(s):  
Jinyi Shao ◽  
Mallika Kelkar

Self-employment in New Zealand has been trending up in the past two years, following subdued growth between 2000 and 2010. Self-employed people made up 11.3% of total employed in the year to March 2012 (251,800 workers), compared with 10.1% in the year to March 2010. Self-employment is defined in this paper as those people operating their own business without employees. The paper explores time series trends in self-employment, in particular across three post-recession periods. Characteristics of self-employed workers are also identified. This paper also investigates movements in and out of self-employment in order to understand the recent growth in this type of employment. The analysis uses longitudinal Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) data. The HLFS provides official measures of a range of labour market indicators, including the number of people employed, unemployed and not in the labour force.


2018 ◽  
Vol 63 (7) ◽  
pp. 14-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Bieć ◽  
Ewa Gałecka-Burdziak ◽  
Robert Pater

The aim of the article is to present the concept of a job calculator — a tool used to create a simulation of relations between changes in the economic situation and the labour market in Poland. The job calculator is based on the American Jobs Calculator and is available for everyone. The user determines the height of expected unemployment rate and the tool computes the number of required job offers, the creation and coverage of which will result in the change of the unemployment rate to the predefined level. The calculator uses data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and presents simulations for one quarter. The values refer to the total result, taking into account the seasonal fluctuations and division into long-term and cyclical changes, which is the authors’ contribution to the original American model as well as an extension of this concept.


Author(s):  
Judith Archibald

Many social scientists are familiar with the Household Economic Survey as a source of income data. However it is not the only source. The NZ Income Survey is run annually as a supplement to the June quarter Household Labour Force Survey. It provides a rich set of income data based on a much larger sample size. In this paper I will discuss the NZ Income Survey and compare it to some of the other SNZ sources of income data.


Author(s):  
Simon Hall

Over the past five years average hours per worker, as recorded in the Household Labour Force Survey, have trended downwards. According to the frequently used measure of average hours per worker, total hours divided by total employment, people are now working 5% fewer hours than they were in 2004. This has contributed to weak growth in labour input over recent years. This paper uses data from the Household Labour Force Survey to examine what is behind the recent fall in hours worked per worker. It attempts to answer whether the fall has been due to compositional changes, such as population ageing and increased participation of women, or whether people are just working fewer hours than they used to. This paper estimates that up to 40% of the fall in average hours over the past five years is due to increased annual leave entitlements, while compositional changes are estimated to account for around 11%. The remainder of the fall in average hours appears to be due to a decline in hours worked within jobs. Fewer people working long hours and firms hoarding labour over the recent downturn are identified as two of the key explanations for this.


Author(s):  
Luis Pinedo-Caro

AbstractThis article proposes a strategy to identify Syrian refugees in Turkey’s Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS). Even though Turkey’s HLFS contains information on the migrants’ year of arrival to Turkey, it does not provide details on their nationalities. This unfortunate feature mixes Syrian refugees with the standard flow of migration who arrived to Turkey during the Syrian war. I propose to eliminate the standard flow of migrants arrived between 2011 and 2017 by matching them (based on their characteristics) with the migrants arrived in the 2004–2010 period. This method obtains, indirectly, nonstandard migration, i.e., Syrian refugees. The results show that the age distribution of the nonstandard migrants identified matches the age distribution of Syrian refugees as officially released by the Turkish government. At last, I propose a post-stratification adjustment of the survey weights to find the actual geographical distribution of Syrian refugees in Turkey.


Author(s):  
Philip Spier

This paper describes the results from an exploratory study examining whether Household Labour Force Survey panel data could be used to provide some insights into the level of occupational mobility in New Zealand. Identifying the extent to which people are leaving the occupation for which they have trained can improve our understanding of the contribution of occupational mobility to skill shortages. Overall, it was found that 7% of individuals in the sample appeared to change occupation over the course of a one year period. The groups that were found to be most likely to change occupations were young people and unskilled workers.


1989 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 509-526 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernard Casey ◽  
Frank Laczko

The paper examines the appropriateness of the epithet `a growth of early retirement' to describe the falling labour force participation of older men in Britain since the end of the 1970s. It refers to statistical explanations of age specific labour force participation and draws extensively on Labour Force Survey data to describe the subjective and objective characteristics of those aged 55-64 who are not in paid employment. Whilst there is evidence that much of the fall in activity rates can be ascribed to a deterioration of the labour market, it is inappropriate to consider those who have left the labour market simply as `unemployed'. Their indeterminate status - between active and inactive - is argued to be akin to that of the long-term unemployed.


Author(s):  
Sophie Flynn ◽  
Andrea Fromm

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a preliminary measure of labour underutilisation in New Zealand using data from the Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS). Underutilisation measures add value to the suite of labour market indicators already available from the HLFS. In particular, the underutilisation rate complements the unemployment rate by providing a broader picture of unmet demand for paid employment in New Zealand. The concept of underutilisation and the necessity to measure underutilisation is based on recommendations of an International Labour Organization (ILO) Working Group on Underutilisation made in 2008. The Working Group recommended that ‘... the statistical community should devote serious efforts to introduce, at a par with unemployment, a supplementary concept which measures the employment problem as experienced by individual workers.’ The development of underutilisation measures is also important to mirror changes in increasingly transitional labour markets and to enable analysis and evaluation of these changes.


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