Advances in numerical modelling of the Antarctic ice sheet

2022 ◽  
pp. 199-218
Author(s):  
Martin Siegert ◽  
Nicholas R. Golledge
1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 343
Author(s):  
V.R. Barbash ◽  
I.A. Zotikov

The heat regime and dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheet are studied using numerical modelling for two flow lines, one of which passes Vostok station and the other Byrd station. A two-dimensional non-steady heat-transfer equation with an energy dissipation term was used. The study consists of two parts. The first is a study of velocity and temperature distributions within the glacier under steady-state conditions. The second study was performed assuming surface temperature changes intended to model palaeoclimatic changes for the last 100 ka and also to model future climate changes due to a possible "greenhouse" effect. Computer numerical modelling shows that the Antarctic ice sheet retains a record of the climatic temperature minimum 18 ka BP. Numerical modelling of the greenhouse effect assumes a temperature increasing by 10 deg within the next 100 a; its influence increases after this even if the surface temperature then remains the same for the next 20 ka. It is shown that for the next 1 ka the temperature wave will penetrate only a thin surface layer of the ice. Even in 20 ka the bottom temperature of the ice sheet will still be unchanged. Small increases of ice velocity can produce ice-sheet thinning of the order of 10 mm a−1.


2002 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
pp. 723-734 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Takeda ◽  
Simon Cox ◽  
Antony J. Payne

1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 343-343
Author(s):  
V.R. Barbash ◽  
I.A. Zotikov

The heat regime and dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheet are studied using numerical modelling for two flow lines, one of which passes Vostok station and the other Byrd station. A two-dimensional non-steady heat-transfer equation with an energy dissipation term was used. The study consists of two parts. The first is a study of velocity and temperature distributions within the glacier under steady-state conditions. The second study was performed assuming surface temperature changes intended to model palaeoclimatic changes for the last 100 ka and also to model future climate changes due to a possible "greenhouse" effect.Computer numerical modelling shows that the Antarctic ice sheet retains a record of the climatic temperature minimum 18 ka BP. Numerical modelling of the greenhouse effect assumes a temperature increasing by 10 deg within the next 100 a; its influence increases after this even if the surface temperature then remains the same for the next 20 ka. It is shown that for the next 1 ka the temperature wave will penetrate only a thin surface layer of the ice. Even in 20 ka the bottom temperature of the ice sheet will still be unchanged. Small increases of ice velocity can produce ice-sheet thinning of the order of 10 mm a−1.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 653 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunchun Gao ◽  
Yang Lu ◽  
Zizhan Zhang ◽  
Hongling Shi

Many recent mass balance estimates using the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and satellite altimetry (including two kinds of sensors of radar and laser) show that the ice mass of the Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) is in overall decline. However, there are still large differences among previously published estimates of the total mass change, even in the same observed periods. The considerable error sources mainly arise from the forward models (e.g., glacial isostatic adjustment [GIA] and firn compaction) that may be uncertain but indispensable to simulate some processes not directly measured or obtained by these observations. To minimize the use of these forward models, we estimate the mass change of ice sheet and present-day GIA using multi-geodetic observations, including GRACE and Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat), as well as Global Positioning System (GPS), by an improved method of joint inversion estimate (JIE), which enables us to solve simultaneously for the Antarctic GIA and ice mass trends. The GIA uplift rates generated from our JIE method show a good agreement with the elastic-corrected GPS uplift rates, and the total GIA-induced mass change estimate for the AIS is 54 ± 27 Gt/yr, which is in line with many recent GPS calibrated GIA estimates. Our GIA result displays the presence of significant uplift rates in the Amundsen Sea Embayment of West Antarctica, where strong uplift has been observed by GPS. Over the period February 2003 to October 2009, the entire AIS changed in mass by −84 ± 31 Gt/yr (West Antarctica: −69 ± 24, East Antarctica: 12 ± 16 and the Antarctic Peninsula: −27 ± 8), greater than the GRACE-only estimates obtained from three Mascon solutions (CSR: −50 ± 30, JPL: −71 ± 30, and GSFC: −51 ± 33 Gt/yr) for the same period. This may imply that single GRACE data tend to underestimate ice mass loss due to the signal leakage and attenuation errors of ice discharge are often worse than that of surface mass balance over the AIS.


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