Using hierarchical Bayesian binary probit models to analyze crash injury severity on high speed facilities with real-time traffic data

2014 ◽  
Vol 62 ◽  
pp. 161-167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rongjie Yu ◽  
Mohamed Abdel-Aty
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Injury Severity ◽  
Hierarchical Bayesian ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Probit Models ◽  
Binary Probit ◽  
Crash Injury Severity

Crash risk analysis during fog conditions using real-time traffic data

2018 ◽  
Vol 114 ◽  
pp. 4-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yina Wu ◽  
Mohamed Abdel-Aty ◽  
Jaeyoung Lee
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Real Time Traffic

scholarly journals RealTE: Real-time Trajectory Estimation Over Large-Scale Road Networks

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qibin Zhou ◽  
Qingang Su ◽  
Dingyu Yang
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Real Time ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Road Network ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Road Networks ◽  
Trajectory Data ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Histogram Estimation ◽  
Traffic Estimation

Real-time traffic estimation focuses on predicting the travel time of one travel path, which is capable of helping drivers selecting an appropriate or favor path. Statistical analysis or neural network approaches have been explored to predict the travel time on a massive volume of traffic data. These methods need to be updated when the traffic varies frequently, which incurs tremendous overhead. We build a system RealTER⁢e⁢a⁢l⁢T⁢E, implemented on a popular and open source streaming system StormS⁢t⁢o⁢r⁢m to quickly deal with high speed trajectory data. In RealTER⁢e⁢a⁢l⁢T⁢E, we propose a locality-sensitive partition and deployment algorithm for a large road network. A histogram estimation approach is adopted to predict the traffic. This approach is general and able to be incremental updated in parallel. Extensive experiments are conducted on six real road networks and the results illustrate RealTE achieves higher throughput and lower prediction error than existing methods. The runtime of a traffic estimation is less than 11 seconds over a large road network and it takes only 619619 microseconds for model updates.

Real-Time Traffic Measurement from Single Loop Inductive Signatures

2002 ◽  
Vol 1804 (1) ◽  
pp. 98-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seri Oh ◽  
Stephen G. Ritchie ◽  
Cheol Oh
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
The United States ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Traffic Surveillance ◽  
Vehicle Class ◽  
Traffic Measurement ◽  
Single Loop ◽  
Loop Detectors ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Traffic Data Collection

Accurate traffic data acquisition is essential for effective traffic surveillance, which is the backbone of advanced transportation management and information systems (ATMIS). Inductive loop detectors (ILDs) are still widely used for traffic data collection in the United States and many other countries. Three fundamental traffic parameters—speed, volume, and occupancy—are obtainable via single or double (speed-trap) ILDs. Real-time knowledge of such traffic parameters typically is required for use in ATMIS from a single loop detector station, which is the most commonly used. However, vehicle speeds cannot be obtained directly. Hence, the ability to estimate vehicle speeds accurately from single loop detectors is of considerable interest. In addition, operating agencies report that conventional loop detectors are unable to achieve volume count accuracies of more than 90% to 95%. The improved derivation of fundamental real-time traffic parameters, such as speed, volume, occupancy, and vehicle class, from single loop detectors and inductive signatures is demonstrated.

Evaluating Factors Influencing the Severity of Three-Plus Multiple-Vehicle Crashes using Real-Time Traffic Data

2018 ◽  
Vol 2672 (38) ◽  
pp. 128-137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angela E. Kitali ◽  
Emmanuel Kidando ◽  
Paige Martz ◽  
Priyanka Alluri ◽  
Thobias Sando ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Random Effect Model ◽  
Probit Model ◽  
Severe Injury ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Vehicle Crashes ◽  
Lighting Condition ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Real Time Traffic

Multiple-vehicle crashes involving at least two vehicles constitute over 70% of fatal and injury crashes in the U.S. Moreover, multiple-vehicle crashes involving three or more vehicles (3+) are usually more severe compared with the crashes involving only two vehicles. This study focuses on developing 3+ multiple-vehicle crash severity models for a freeway section using real-time traffic data and crash data for the years 2014–2016. The study corridor is a 111-mile section on I-4 in Orlando, Florida. Crash injury severity was classified as a binary outcome (fatal/severe injury and minor/no injury crashes). For the purpose of identifying the reliable relationship between the 3+ severe multiple-vehicle crashes and the identified explanatory variables, a binary probit model with Dirichlet random effect parameter was used. More specifically, Dirichlet random effect model was introduced to account for unobserved heterogeneity in the crash data. The probit model was implemented using a Bayesian framework and the ratios of the Monte Carlo errors were monitored to achieve parameter estimation convergence. The following variables were found significant at the 95% Bayesian credible interval: logarithm of average vehicle speed, logarithm of average equivalent 10-minute hourly volume, alcohol involvement, lighting condition, and number of vehicles involved (3, or >3) in multiple-vehicle crashes. Further analysis involved analyzing the posterior probability distributions of these significant variables. The study findings can be used to associate certain traffic conditions with severe injury crashes involving 3+ multiple vehicles, and can help develop effective crash injury reduction strategies based on real-time traffic data.

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