Long-term variations of surface solar radiation in China from routine meteorological observations

2021 ◽  
pp. 105715
Author(s):  
Xuefang Yang ◽  
Wenmin Qin ◽  
Lunche Wang ◽  
Ming Zhang ◽  
Zigeng Niu
Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (21) ◽  
pp. 6167
Author(s):  
Ning Hou ◽  
Xiaotong Zhang ◽  
Weiyu Zhang ◽  
Jiawen Xu ◽  
Chunjie Feng ◽  
...  

Downward surface solar radiation (Rs) plays a dominant role in determining the climate and environment on the Earth. However, the densely distributed ground observations of Rs are usually insufficient to meet the increasing demand of the climate diagnosis and analysis well, so it is essential to build a long-term accurate Rs dataset. The extremely randomized trees (ERT) algorithm was used to generate Rs using routine meteorological observations (2000–2015) from the Climate Data Center of the Chinese Meteorological Administration (CDC/CMA). The estimated Rs values were validated against ground measurements at the national scale with an overall correlation coefficient value of 0.97, a mean bias of 0.04 Wm−2, a root-mean-square-error value of 23.12 Wm−2, and a mean relative error of 9.81%. It indicates that the estimated Rs from the ERT-based model is reasonably accurate. Moreover, the ERT-based model was used to generate a new daily Rs dataset at 756 CDC/CMA stations from 1958 to 2015. The long-term variation trends of Rs at 454 stations covering 46 consecutive years (1970–2015) were also analyzed. The Rs in China showed a significant decline trend (−1.1 Wm−2 per decade) during 1970–2015. A decreasing trend (−2.8 Wm−2 per decade) in Rs during 1970–1992 was observed, followed by a recovery trend (0.23 Wm−2 per decade) during 1992–2015. The recovery trends at individual stations were found at 233 out of 454 stations during 1970–2015, which were mainly located in southern and northern China. The new Rs dataset would substantially provide basic data for the related studies in agriculture, ecology, and meteorology.


2021 ◽  
pp. 38-52
Author(s):  
A.V. KHOLOPTSEV ◽  
◽  
S.A. PODPORIN ◽  
V.A. SAFONOV ◽  
◽  
...  

The GLORYS12v.1 and ERA5 reanalyses for different months are used to study a relationship between long-term variations in the monthly mean values of sea level in different areas of the Kara Sea and their steric factors during 1993-2018. The areas of the sea were identified where the relationships between these changes and variations in the mean temperature and salinity of the upper quasihomogeneous water layer, as well as the variations in the monthly mean intensity of their insolation, are statistically significant.


2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 4374-4381 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kuo Tsang Huang ◽  
Wen Sheng Ou

The energy generation efficiency of Building Intergraded Photovoltaic Systems (BIPV) system relies much on the panel’s surface solar radiation received. In the projection of annual power generation of photovoltaic panels, local global solar radiation plays a pivotal role for reliable estimation process. The purpose of this paper is to develop an hourly typical solar radiation year (TSRY) as fundamental meteorological database for utilizing the estimation process. The TSRY should be interpretable to local long-term climate variations, thus, ten years' hourly meteorological data were gathered to formulate a typical year by means of modified Sandia method herein. A total of four cities' hourly typical years from northern to southern Taiwan were established in this paper. Orientation and inclination effect of the PV panel were also discussed in terms of daily averaged global solar radiation that cumulate from TSRY.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 907-922
Author(s):  
Fei Feng ◽  
Kaicun Wang

Abstract. Although great progress has been made in estimating surface solar radiation (Rs) from meteorological observations, satellite retrieval, and reanalysis, getting best-estimated long-term variations in Rs are sorely needed for climate studies. It has been shown that Rs data derived from sunshine duration (SunDu) can provide reliable long-term variability, but such data are available at sparsely distributed weather stations. Here, we merge SunDu-derived Rs with satellite-derived cloud fraction and aerosol optical depth (AOD) to generate high-spatial-resolution (0.1∘) Rs over China from 2000 to 2017. The geographically weighted regression (GWR) and ordinary least-squares regression (OLS) merging methods are compared, and GWR is found to perform better. Based on the SunDu-derived Rs from 97 meteorological observation stations, which are co-located with those that direct Rs measurement sites, the GWR incorporated with satellite cloud fraction and AOD data produces monthly Rs with R2=0.97 and standard deviation =11.14 W m−2, while GWR driven by only cloud fraction produces similar results with R2=0.97 and standard deviation =11.41 W m−2. This similarity is because SunDu-derived Rs has included the impact of aerosols. This finding can help to build long-term Rs variations based on cloud data, such as Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) cloud retrievals, especially before 2000, when satellite AOD retrievals are not unavailable. The merged Rs product at a spatial resolution of 0.1∘ in this study can be downloaded at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.921847 (Feng and Wang, 2020).


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 3281-3289 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Xu ◽  
C. Li ◽  
H. Shi ◽  
Q. He ◽  
L. Pan

Abstract. This study investigated the decadal variation of the direct surface solar radiation (DiSR) and the diffuse surface solar radiation (DfSR) during 1961–2008 in the Shanghai megacity as well as their relationships to Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) under clear-sky conditions. Three successive periods with unique features of long term variation of DiSR were identified for both clear-sky and all-sky conditions: a "dimming" period from the late 1960s to the mid 1980s, a "stabilization"/"slight brightening" period from the mid 1980s to the mid 1990s, and a "renewed dimming" period thereafter. During the two dimming periods of DiSR, DfSR brightened significantly under clear-sky conditions, indicating that change in atmospheric transparency resulting from aerosol emission has an important role on decadal variation of surface solar radiation (SSR) over this area. The analysis on the relationship between the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) retrieved AOD and the corresponding hourly measurements of DiSR and DfSR under clear-sky conditions clearly revealed that AOD is significantly correlated and anti-correlated with DfSR and DiSR, respectively, both above 99% confidence in all seasons, indicating the great impact of aerosols on SSR through absorption and/or scattering in the atmosphere. In addition, both AOD and the corresponding DiSR and DfSR measured during the satellite passage over Shanghai show obvious weekly cycles. On weekends, AOD is lower than the weekly average, corresponding to higher DiSR and lower DfSR, while the opposite pattern was true for weekdays. Less AOD on weekends due to the reduction of transportation and industrial activities results in enhancement of atmospheric transparency under cloud free conditions so as to increase DiSR and decrease DfSR simultaneously. Results show that aerosol loading from the anthropogenic emissions is an important modulator for the long term variation of SSR in Shanghai.


2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (12) ◽  
pp. 3385-3396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianming Deng ◽  
Yunlin Zhang ◽  
Boqiang Qin ◽  
Kun Shi

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Doris Folini

<p>Results on the statistical properties of internal variability of annual mean surface solar radiation (SSR) and associated decadal scale trends are presented, following in part Folini et al. 2017 (doi:10.1002/2016JD025869). Estimates are based on 43 pre-industrial control (piControl) experiments of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Trends are shown to depend strongly on geographical region and on whether they are quantified in absolute units or relative to the long term mean SSR. Providing one map for absolute and one map for relative trends is sufficient, as approximate analytical relations are shown to hold between trends of different length and likelihood and the standard deviation of the underlying SSR time series. Comparison with present-day observations and inter-model spread suggest an average uncertainty of these estimates of about 30%.  Intermodel spread suggests that regional uncertainties can be up to about three times larger or smaller. Using the model by Crook et al. 2011 (doi:10.1039/C1EE01495A) to translate SSR into PV production, associated internal variability of photo voltaic (PV) energy production is inferred. Results suggest that it is plausible for PV production to change by several per cent over a decade just because of internal variability.</p>


2021 ◽  
pp. 118661
Author(s):  
Ziyan Wang ◽  
Ming Zhang ◽  
Lunche Wang ◽  
Lan Feng ◽  
Yingying Ma ◽  
...  

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