We found the predictive accuracy of species distribution models (SDMs) for sedentary marine invertebrates to be dependent on the methodology of their application. We explored three applications of SDMs: first a model tested at a scale smaller than at which it was trained (downscaled), second a model tested at scale larger than its training scale (upscaled), and third a model tested at the same scale but outside the extent for which it was trained (transferred). The accuracies of these models were compared with the “reference” models that were trained and tested at the same scale and extent. We found that downscaled SDMs had higher predictive accuracy than reference SDMs. Transferred and upscaled models had lower predictive accuracy than their reference counterparts but still performed better than random, making them potentially acceptable alternatives where information is lacking for imminent decisions or in cost-restricted scenarios. Our results provide insights into the techniques available for researchers and managers developing SDMs at varying scales, with different species, and with different levels of initial information.
Transferability and scalability of species distribution models: a test with sedentary marine invertebrates
