A dynamic environment-sensitive site index model for the prediction of site productivity potential under climate change

2016 ◽  
Vol 337 ◽  
pp. 48-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chaofang Yue ◽  
Hans-Peter Kahle ◽  
Klaus von Wilpert ◽  
Ulrich Kohnle
1996 ◽  
Vol 72 (4) ◽  
pp. 416-419 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bijan Payandeh ◽  
Yonghe Wang

A measure of utilized site productivity, "basal area index" was recently developed and used to construct variable stocking yield functions and tables for the boreal mixedwood of northcentral Ontario. Data from 197 permanent sample plots supplied by the James River/Marathon Paper Company Ltd. were used. The resulting yield equations compare favourably with previous ones and are more appropriate for the boreal mixedwood. In addition, the basal area index employed has several advantages: 1) it serves as a valid measure of utilized site productivity which is better correlated with the main stand attributes than site index; 2) it produces variable stocking yield tables suitable for uneven-aged mixed species cover types; 3) unlike the site index, the basal area index may be estimated quickly, easily and inexpensively. The basic improvement in mixedwood yield estimation via basal area index should have broad applications for other stand types particularly for the disturbed hardwoods of southern Ontario and those in eastern United States. Key words: Basal area index, site index model, numerical method


2005 ◽  
Vol 81 (5) ◽  
pp. 704-709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean Beaulieu ◽  
André Rainville

We propose a methodology combining a biophysical site index model and a seed source transfer model based on both temperature and precipitation to estimate white spruce plantation yield under present and future global warming conditions. The biophysical site index model predicts dominant height at 25 years, which is further used to estimate plantation yield using yield tables. The transfer model shows that, on average, seed sources are best adapted to the temperature conditions where they presently grow, and give maximum yield under these conditions. However, this model also shows that transfer of seed sources to drier sites could improve plantation yield. To predict site index values under climate change conditions, values obtained from the biophysical site index model are corrected by a factor estimated using the seed source transfer model. Our simulation results predict that global warming should favour a slight increase in white spruce plantation yield in southern Québec. However, one cannot expect to obtain similar yields from a seed source rapidly exposed to warmer conditions compared with a seed source that is presently growing under climatic conditions to which it has become adapted. It would take several generations (adaptation lag) for a seed source to adapt to warmer conditions. We believe that the method we propose will be helpful in identifying the most productive seed source to be used at any given location in the province, and in revising seed source transfer rules. Key words: climate change, white spruce, provenance test, transfer model, site index, adaptation, plantation, GIS


2004 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 1081-1092 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannu Hökkä ◽  
Risto Ojansuu

The effect of site properties and forest drainage on the dominant height development of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) stands in peatland sites was studied using data from permanent sample plots located in natural and drained sites in northern Finland. The Korf model was used to describe the height development of dominant trees in natural sites. The effect of drainage on height development was accounted for by a term giving a nonlinear height increase for drained sites as a function of the time elapsed since drainage. The variance component model was applied to account for the hierarchical data structure. Natural height development after 30 years of age at DBH was significantly slower in PF sites (sparsely forested pine fens) than in PS sites (genuine forested pine swamps). Within PF sites, there were further differences in relation to nutrient availability. Temperature sum explained the variation in the intercept. In PS sites, drainage resulted in a moderate increase in the maximum attainable height, while in PF sites, drainage improved site productivity by 80%–85% in terms of the attainable height. The asymptote for drained stands was dependent on stand age at the time of drainage. Differences between the two major groups were assumed to be due to initial differences in site water regime.


2018 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ugur Akbas ◽  
Muammer SENYURT

ABSTRACT In this study, it is aimed that the dynamic site index models were developed for Crimean Pine stands in Sarikaya-Cankiri forests located in middle northern Turkey. The data for this study are 153 sample trees obtained from the Crimean Pine stands. In modeling relationships between height and age of dominant or co-dominant trees, some dynamic site index equations such as Chapman-Richards (M1, M2, M3), Lundqvist (M4 and M6), Hossfeld (M5), Weibull (M7) and Schumacher (M8) based on the Generalized Algebraic Difference Approach (GADA) were used. The estimations for these eight-dynamic site index model parameters with well as various statistical values were obtained using the nonlinear regression technique. Among these equations, the Chapman-Richards’s equation, M3, was determined to be the most successful model, with accounted for 89.03 % of the total variance in height-age relationships with MSE: 1.7633, RMSE: 1.3279, SSE: 1165.6, Bias: -0.0380. After determination of the best predictive model, ARMA (1, 1) autoregressive prediction technique was used to account autocorrelation problems for time-series height measurements. When ARMA autoregressive prediction technique was applied to the Chapman-Richards function for solving autocorrelation problem, these success statistics were improved as SSE: 868.7, MSE: 1.3183, RMSE: 1.1482, Bias: -0.06369, R2: 0.918. Also, Durbin-Watson statistics displayed that autocorrelation problem was solved by the use of ARMA autoregressive prediction technique; DW test value=1.99, DW<P=0.5622, DW>P=0.4378. The dynamic site index model that was developed has provided results compatible with the growth characteristics expected in the modeling of height-age relations, such as polymorphism, multiple asymptote, and base-age invariance.


2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 13-18
Author(s):  
Joon Hyung Park ◽  
◽  
Kwang Soo Lee ◽  
Yeong Mo Sonk ◽  
Su Young Jung ◽  
...  

2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (11) ◽  
pp. 1916-1928 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kalle Eerikäinen ◽  
Danaza Mabvurira ◽  
Ladislaus Nshubemuki ◽  
Jussi Saramäki

The aim of the study was to develop a site index model for Pinus kesiya Royle ex Gordon plantations in southeastern Africa based on the relationship between the dominant height and stand age. Conversely, analysis of dominant height and age data showed that the growth patterns of plantations were different. In addition, the asymptotes and forms of standwise dominant height curves varied within plantations. In developing a common site index model, instead of using the more common approach of estimating separate dominant height–age models for different plantations or sites, a mean curve approach based on a linear random parameter model with fixed and random parameters was applied. The random parameter model of this study was calibrated by predicting random parameters for the plantation and stand effects, in accordance with the standard linear prediction theory. The analyses showed that the calibration of the dominant height model was an efficient method to obtain reliable dominant height predictions of a stand, particularly when several dominant height–age observations from different stands of a plantation and at least one measured dominant height and stand age of a target stand are available. This is the case in many forest inventories based on temporary samples, i.e., cross-sectional data. The new site index model is a useful tool for use in different mensurational applications, and its properties can efficiently be utilized for example in forest inventories of P. kesiya plantations in southeastern Africa.


1998 ◽  
Vol 74 (4) ◽  
pp. 588-596 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gordon D. Nigh

The focus of recent site productivity research in British Columbia has been to develop height-breast height age, growth intercept, and ecosystem-site index models. These models, together with a years-to-breast-height model, form a system for estimating site index and height. This system is described for western hemlock (Tsuga heterophylla (Raf.) Sarg.) in the interior of British Columbia. Forty-four western hemlock stem analysis plots were used in the construction of this system. As there are three models for estimating site index, the appropriate model for a given stand depends largely on the stand condition and the precision of the models. A graph of model precision against breast height age gives some assistance in deciding which model should be used to estimate site index. Key words: western hemlock, site index, height-age model, growth intercept model, years-to-breast-height model, ecosystem-site index model, model precision


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