Voting intentions on social media and political opinion polls

2021 ◽  
pp. 101658
Author(s):  
Viktor Pekar ◽  
Hossein Najafi ◽  
Jane M. Binner ◽  
Riley Swanson ◽  
Charles Rickard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Political Opinion ◽  
Opinion Polls ◽  
Voting Intentions

Can social media reveal the preferences of voters? A comparison between sentiment analysis and traditional opinion polls

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel José Silva Oliveira ◽  
Paulo Henrique de Souza Bermejo ◽  
Pâmela Aparecida dos Santos
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Sentiment Analysis ◽  
Opinion Polls

scholarly journals Psephological Advancements and Pitfalls of Political Opinion Polls in India

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 258-274
Author(s):  
Praveen Rai
Keyword(s):  
Knowledge Production ◽  
Domain Knowledge ◽  
Political Socialization ◽  
Electoral Politics ◽  
The Political ◽  
Voting Behaviour ◽  
Crystal Ball ◽  
Deep Dive ◽  
Political Opinion ◽  
Opinion Polls

Abstract Political opinion polls in India are holistic snapshots in time that divulge deep dive information on electoral participation, ideological orientation and self-efficacy of the electorate and faith in core democratic values. The popularity of election surveys stems from the political socialization and crystal ball gazing curiosity of the citizens to foresee the outcomes of the hustings before the pronouncement of formal results. The opinion polls provide crucial data on voting behaviour and attitudes, testing theories of electoral politics and domain knowledge production. The obsession of the Indian media with political forecasting has shifted the focus from psephology to electoral prophecy, but it continues to furnish the best telescopic view of elections based on the feedback of the electorate. The ascertainment of subaltern opinion by surveys not only broadens the contours of understanding electoral democracy, but also provides an empirical alternative to elitist viewpoint of competitive politics in India.

scholarly journals Social Media, Opinion Polls, and the Use of Persuasive Messages During the 2016 US Election Primaries

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 205630511878477 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrícia Rossini ◽  
Jeff Hemsley ◽  
Sikana Tanupabrungsun ◽  
Feifei Zhang ◽  
Jennifer Stromer-Galley
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Public Opinion ◽  
Information Source ◽  
Strategic Communication ◽  
Political Campaigns ◽  
Digital Platforms ◽  
Automated Content Analysis ◽  
Use Of Social Media ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

Political campaigns’ use of digital technologies has been a topic of scholarly concern for over two decades, but most studies have been focused on analyzing the use of digital platforms without considering contextual factors of the race, like public opinion polls. Opinion polls are an important information source for citizens and candidates and provide the latter with information that might drive strategic communication. In this article, we explore the relationship between the use of social media in the 2016 US presidential elections and candidates’ standing in public opinion polls, focusing on the surfacing and primary stages of the campaign. We use automated content analysis to categorize social media posts from all 21 Republican and Democratic candidates. Results indicate that a candidate’s performance in the polls drives certain communicative strategies, such as the use of messages of attacks and advocacy, as well as the focus on personal image.

Political opinion polls and the stock market

1986 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 267-271 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Ioannidis ◽  
R. S. Thompson
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Political Opinion ◽  
Opinion Polls

scholarly journals Negative e-WOM Resulting from Political Posts on Social Media: A Case Study of a Small Retailer’s Struggle over Time

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 318
Author(s):  
Jennifer Johnson Jorgensen ◽  
Katelyn Sorensen
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Content Analysis ◽  
Single Case ◽  
Retail Store ◽  
The Political ◽  
Customer Reviews ◽  
Political Opinion ◽  
Political Opinions ◽  
Over Time

Consumers have been advocating for a variety of causes, and in turn, retailers are expressing their political opinions through social-media posts in hopes of aligning with their customers’ views. This study looks at a single case in which customers reacted to a retailer’s political opinion posted on a social media account. Data was collected at the time of the retailer’s political post and up to three years afterward. Content analysis was employed to identify themes from the customer reviews posted, and four themes were identified. Of significance, this study found that customers of a retail store typically merge feelings on the retailer’s product and political post or the retailer’s service and the political post within their social media responses. Thus, a majority of customers in this case were not exclusively focused on battling the political post on social media. Also, a shift in customers’ opinions of the retailer shifted positively over time.

Social Media, U.S. Presidential Campaigns, and Public Opinion Polls

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrícia G. C. Rossini ◽  
Jeff Hemsley ◽  
Sikana Tanupabrungsun ◽  
Feifei Zhang ◽  
Jerry Robinson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Public Opinion ◽  
Presidential Campaigns ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

scholarly journals Winning on Social Media: Candidate Social-Mediated Communication and Voting During the 2016 US Presidential Election

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 205630511982613 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Macafee ◽  
Bryan McLaughlin ◽  
Nathian Shae Rodriguez
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Mediation Effect ◽  
Mediated Communication ◽  
Political Candidates ◽  
Opposing Party ◽  
Us Presidential Election ◽  
Use Of Social Media ◽  
Voting Intentions

The 2016 US Presidential Election provided an opportunity to examine how political candidates’ use of social media can affect voting intentions. This study considers how political candidates can use social media to increase potential supporters’ perceptions that they will win the election, providing them extra motivation to go out and vote. Results from a two-wave survey provide evidence that following the in-group candidate (Trump or Clinton) relates to voting intentions through the increased belief that the candidate would win. However, this mediation effect occurs for only supporters of Trump or Clinton, but not for partisans of the opposing party.

scholarly journals PollBasePro: Daily Estimates of Aggregate Voting Intention in Britain from 1955 to the Present Day

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jack Bailey ◽  
Mark Pack ◽  
Luke Mansillo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Public Opinion ◽  
Survey Design ◽  
Conservative Party ◽  
General Election ◽  
Public Preferences ◽  
Political Opinion ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

Political scientists often use public opinion polls to test their theories. Yet these data present some difficulties. First, they are noisy. Second, they occur at irregular intervals. Third, they measure both public preferences and pollsters’ survey design choices. We introduce a new dataset, PollBasePro, that accounts for these issues. It includes voting intention estimates for each of Britain’s three largest parties on each day between the 1955 general election and the present. As the dataset covers 24,106 days in total, it is perhaps more comprehensive than any other existing time series of British political opinion. We then use our estimates to test a question of pressing importance: how daily deaths attributable to COVID-19 have influenced support for the governing Conservative Party.

Political opinion polls in Belgium in 1991

Res Publica ◽  
1970 ◽  
Vol 34 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 533-546
Author(s):  
Erwin Das
Keyword(s):  
Political Opinion ◽  
Opinion Polls
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