1: Focusing on the Future: Development of a Predictive Model for Long-Term Survival

AbstractWhat moral reasons, if any, do we have to ensure the long-term survival of humanity? This article contrastively explores two answers to this question: according to the first, we should ensure the survival of humanity because we have reason to maximize the number of happy lives that are ever lived, all else equal. According to the second, seeking to sustain humanity into the future is the appropriate response to the final value of humanity itself. Along the way, the article discusses various issues in population axiology, particularly the so-called Intuition of Neutrality and John Broome’s ‘greediness objection’ to this intuition.

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307. Long-Term Survival in Systemic Sclerosis Patients: Development of a Predictive Model

Rheumatology ◽

10.1093/rheumatology/keu127.004 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 53 (suppl_1) ◽

pp. i174-i174

Author(s):

Svetlana I. Nihtyanova ◽

Carmen Fonseca ◽

Voon H. Ong ◽

Christopher P. Denton

Keyword(s):

Systemic Sclerosis ◽

Predictive Model ◽

Term Survival ◽

Long Term Survival

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Development of a predictive model for long-term survival after lung transplantation and implications for the lung allocation score

The Journal of Heart and Lung Transplantation ◽

10.1016/j.healun.2010.02.007 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 29 (7) ◽

pp. 731-738 ◽

Cited By ~ 36

Author(s):

Cynthia J. Gries ◽

Tessa C. Rue ◽

Patrick J. Heagerty ◽

Jeffrey D. Edelman ◽

Michael S. Mulligan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Lung Transplantation ◽

Predictive Model ◽

Term Survival ◽

Long Term Survival ◽

Lung Allocation Score

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Is Humanity Destined to Self-Destruct?

Politics and the Life Sciences ◽

10.1017/s0730938400023509 ◽

1999 ◽

Vol 18 (1) ◽

pp. 3-14 ◽

Cited By ~ 30

Author(s):

Lynton Keith Caldwell

Keyword(s):

Twentieth Century ◽

Human Life ◽

Cooperative Effort ◽

Term Survival ◽

Change Over Time ◽

Long Term Survival ◽

Sustainable Future ◽

The Future ◽

Over Time

As the twentieth century ends, we may identify both constructive and destructive trends that will influence the future of humanity. Which set of trends will dominate the future is uncertain. Attitudes, beliefs, and behaviors all interact to direct the flow of change over time. However, the options and constraints of human life are ultimately fixed by those cosmic elements of the environment over which humans have no control. The modern assumption of a world without end or limits risks collision with that obdurate reality. Facing threats to its long-term survival, humanity is challenged to learn how to build a sustainable future. A successful effort will require a concerted and cooperative effort among all fields of knowledge. This article identifies some of the trends that threaten humanity's future and suggests four lines of action that should be pursued in order to reduce the likelihood that humanity will destroy itself.

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Asoka Spintex

Vikalpa The Journal for Decision Makers ◽

10.1177/0256090920000207 ◽

2000 ◽

Vol 25 (2) ◽

pp. 63-70

Author(s):

Parvinder Gupta

Keyword(s):

Balance Sheet ◽

Group Company ◽

Term Survival ◽

Long Term Survival ◽

The Future ◽

Set Up ◽

First Time ◽

Positive Results ◽

Future Plans

The October-December 1999 (Vol 24, No 4) issue of Vikalpa had published a Management Case titled “Asoka Spintex” by Parvinder Gupta. The case had focused on the turnaround of Asoka Spintex from an ailing company in 1987 to a growing company in the year 1997. We had requested the readers to respond to the question: What strategies should Anang Lalbhai adopt for the long-term survival of the company? In this issue, we are featuring three responses on the case by Pradip N Khandwalla, S Ramnarayan and Niti Pandey, and N Ravichandran. Asoka Spintex, a Lalbhai group company, was set up in 1920 in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, to manufacture coarse and medium fabrics with a capacity of 13,000 spindles and 350 looms. Since its inception, the company did reasonably well. However, the balance sheet for the year 1987 showed cash loss for the first time in three decades. The company was on the verge of closure in 1991-92; however, subsequently, it started showing positive results. The case discusses the background of Asoka Spintex, the troubled times (1985-1990), the phase of uncertainties (mid 1990-mid 1992), the phase of struggles and challenges (1992-1995), and the phase of consolidation and growth (1995-1997). The case concludes with a discussion on the future plans of Asoka Spintex.

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