scholarly journals Incorporating behavioral and sensory context into spectro-temporal models of auditory encoding

2018 ◽  
Vol 360 ◽  
pp. 107-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen V. David
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Models ◽  
Auditory Encoding

scholarly journals Forecasting of Lung Cancer Incident Cases at the Small-Area Level in Victoria, Australia

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 5069
Author(s):  
Win Wah ◽  
Rob G. Stirling ◽  
Susannah Ahern ◽  
Arul Earnest
Keyword(s):  
Lung Cancer ◽  
Small Area ◽  
Health Planning ◽  
Temporal Trends ◽  
State Level ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Ageing Population ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Small Area Level ◽  
Incident Cases

Predicting lung cancer cases at the small-area level is helpful to quantify the lung cancer burden for health planning purposes at the local geographic level. Using Victorian Cancer Registry (2001–2018) data, this study aims to forecast lung cancer counts at the local government area (LGA) level over the next ten years (2019–2028) in Victoria, Australia. We used the Age-Period-Cohort approach to estimate the annual age-specific incidence and utilised Bayesian spatio-temporal models that account for non-linear temporal trends and area-level risk factors. Compared to 2001, lung cancer incidence increased by 28.82% from 1353 to 1743 cases for men and 78.79% from 759 to 1357 cases for women in 2018. Lung cancer counts are expected to reach 2515 cases for men and 1909 cases for women in 2028, with a corresponding 44% and 41% increase. The majority of LGAs are projected to have an increasing trend for both men and women by 2028. Unexplained area-level spatial variation substantially reduced after adjusting for the elderly population in the model. Male and female lung cancer cases are projected to rise at the state level and in each LGA in the next ten years. Population growth and an ageing population largely contributed to this rise.

scholarly journals Pyramidal Framework: Guidance for the Next Generation of GIS Spatial-Temporal Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 188
Author(s):  
Cyril Carré ◽  
Younes Hamdani
Keyword(s):  
Conceptual Models ◽  
Future Generations ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Gis Data ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
New Interpretation ◽  
Conventional Literature

Over the last decade, innovative computer technologies and the multiplication of geospatial data acquisition solutions have transformed the geographic information systems (GIS) landscape and opened up new opportunities to close the gap between GIS and the dynamics of geographic phenomena. There is a demand to further develop spatio-temporal conceptual models to comprehensively represent the nature of the evolution of geographic objects. The latter involves a set of considerations like those related to managing changes and object identities, modeling possible causal relations, and integrating multiple interpretations. While conventional literature generally presents these concepts separately and rarely approaches them from a holistic perspective, they are in fact interrelated. Therefore, we believe that the semantics of modeling would be improved by considering these concepts jointly. In this work, we propose to represent these interrelationships in the form of a hierarchical pyramidal framework and to further explore this set of concepts. The objective of this framework is to provide a guideline to orient the design of future generations of GIS data models, enabling them to achieve a better representation of available spatio-temporal data. In addition, this framework aims at providing keys for a new interpretation and classification of spatio-temporal conceptual models. This work can be beneficial for researchers, students, and developers interested in advanced spatio-temporal modeling.

scholarly journals Temporal Models for History-Aware Explainability

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Marcelo Parra-Ullauri ◽  
Antonio García-Domínguez ◽  
Luis Hernán García-Paucar ◽  
Nelly Bencomo
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Models

scholarly journals Spatio-temporal expectile regression models

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 386-409
Author(s):  
Elmar Spiegel ◽  
Thomas Kneib ◽  
Fabian Otto-Sobotka
Keyword(s):  
Tensor Product ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Expectile Regression ◽  
Specific Distribution ◽  
Weighted Means ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Error Terms ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Main Effects

Spatio-temporal models are becoming increasingly popular in recent regression research. However, they usually rely on the assumption of a specific parametric distribution for the response and/or homoscedastic error terms. In this article, we propose to apply semiparametric expectile regression to model spatio-temporal effects beyond the mean. Besides the removal of the assumption of a specific distribution and homoscedasticity, with expectile regression the whole distribution of the response can be estimated. For the use of expectiles, we interpret them as weighted means and estimate them by established tools of (penalized) least squares regression. The spatio-temporal effect is set up as an interaction between time and space either based on trivariate tensor product P-splines or the tensor product of a Gaussian Markov random field and a univariate P-spline. Importantly, the model can easily be split up into main effects and interactions to facilitate interpretation. The method is presented along the analysis of spatio-temporal variation of temperatures in Germany from 1980 to 2014.

scholarly journals A Case Study for Modelling Cancer Incidence Using Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Models

2015 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 325-345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Su Yun Kang ◽  
James McGree ◽  
Peter Baade ◽  
Kerrie Mengersen
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Incidence ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Spatio Temporal

scholarly journals Predictive modeling in urgent care: a comparative study of machine learning approaches

JAMIA Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengyi Tang ◽  
Cao Xiao ◽  
Fei Wang ◽  
Jiayu Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Study ◽  
Predictive Modeling ◽  
Medical Information ◽  
Mortality Prediction ◽  
Urgent Care ◽  
Differential Diagnostics ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Medical Histories

Abstract Objective The growing availability of rich clinical data such as patients’ electronic health records provide great opportunities to address a broad range of real-world questions in medicine. At the same time, artificial intelligence and machine learning (ML)-based approaches have shown great premise on extracting insights from those data and helping with various clinical problems. The goal of this study is to conduct a systematic comparative study of different ML algorithms for several predictive modeling problems in urgent care. Design We assess the performance of 4 benchmark prediction tasks (eg mortality and prediction, differential diagnostics, and disease marker discovery) using medical histories, physiological time-series, and demographics data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database. Measurements For each given task, performance was estimated using standard measures including the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve, F-1 score, sensitivity, and specificity. Microaveraged AUC was used for multiclass classification models. Results and Discussion Our results suggest that recurrent neural networks show the most promise in mortality prediction where temporal patterns in physiologic features alone can capture in-hospital mortality risk (AUC > 0.90). Temporal models did not provide additional benefit compared to deep models in differential diagnostics. When comparing the training–testing behaviors of readmission and mortality models, we illustrate that readmission risk may be independent of patient stability at discharge. We also introduce a multiclass prediction scheme for length of stay which preserves sensitivity and AUC with outliers of increasing duration despite decrease in sample size.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal mapping and detection of mortality cluster due to cardiovascular disease with Bayesian hierarchical framework using integrated nested Laplace approximation: A discussion of suitable statistic applications in Kersa, Oromia, Ethiopia

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Melkamu Dedefo ◽  
Henry Mwambi ◽  
Sileshi Fanta ◽  
Nega Assefa
Keyword(s):  
Cause Of Death ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Contributing Factors ◽  
Bayesian Hierarchical ◽  
Hierarchical Framework ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Non Parametric

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of death globally and the number one cause of death globally. Over 75% of CVD deaths take place in low- and middle-income countries. Hence, comprehensive information about the spatio-temporal distribution of mortality due to cardio vascular disease is of interest. We fitted different spatio-temporal models within Bayesian hierarchical framework allowing different space-time interaction for mortality mapping with integrated nested Laplace approximations to analyze mortality data extracted from the health and demographic surveillance system in Kersa District in Hararege, Oromia Region, Ethiopia. The result indicates that non-parametric time trends models perform better than linear models. Among proposed models, one with non-parametric trend, type II interaction and second order random walk but without unstructured time effect was found to perform best according to our experience and. simulation study. An application based on real data revealed that, mortality due to CVD increased during the study period, while administrative regions in northern and south-eastern part of the study area showed a significantly elevated risk. The study highlighted distinct spatiotemporal clusters of mortality due to CVD within the study area. The study is a preliminary assessment step in prioritizing areas for further and more comprehensive research raising questions to be addressed by detailed investigation. Underlying contributing factors need to be identified and accurately quantified.

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