Inventory strategy of the risk averse supplier and overconfident manufacturer with uncertain demand

2021 ◽  
Vol 234 ◽  
pp. 108066
Author(s):  
Zhuzhu Song ◽  
Wansheng Tang ◽  
Ruiqing Zhao ◽  
Guoqing Zhang
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 4072 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Zhao ◽  
Xuhui Xia ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
Guodong Yu

With the increasing attention given to environmentalism, designing a green closed-loop supply chain network has been recognized as an important issue. In this paper, we consider the facility location problem, in order to reduce the total costs and CO2 emissions under an uncertain demand and emission rate. Particularly, we are more interested in the risk-averse method for providing more reliable solutions. To do this, we employ a coherent risk measure, conditional value-at-risk, to represent the underlying risk of uncertain demand and CO2 emission rate. The resulting optimization problem is a 0-1 mixed integer bi-objective programming, which is challenging to solve. We develop an improved reformulation-linearization technique, based on decomposed piecewise McCormick envelopes, to generate lower bounds efficiently. We show that the proposed risk-averse model can generate a more reliable solution than the risk-neutral model, both in reducing penalty costs and CO2 emissions. Moreover, the proposed algorithm outperforms and classic reformulation-linearization technique in convergence rate and gaps. Numerical experiments based on random data and a ‘real’ case are performed to demonstrate the performance of the proposed model and algorithm.


2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (06) ◽  
pp. 2050031 ◽  
Author(s):  
Azmat Ullah ◽  
Wenpo Huang ◽  
Wei Jiang

After-sales service on a product could be a lucrative source of profits however it is notoriously difficult to manage due to uncertain demand from consumers, and its complex organization such as either to provide warranty or maintenance contract or repair service. This paper focuses on a problem where the manufacturer sells a repairable product while an agent provides after-sales service under uncertain demand. Due to demand volatility, either manufacturer or agent or both the players are risk-averse toward their decisions. The goal of this paper is to design various after-sales service strategies where the optimal price of repair or maintenance contract for the agent whereas the optimal product price for the manufacturer are explicitly determined such that the utility of both players can be maximized. Moreover, the impacts of risk-preference and demand uncertainty are investigated on both players’ price decisions, demand level, and their utility function. Also, the impacts of the agent’s warranty service on product price as well as repair and maintenance contract price are investigated. The interaction between the manufacturer and agent is performed under non-cooperative game where the manufacturer is the leader, and the agent is the follower. The analytical results show that when both players are risk-averse, they should adjust their prices with demand uncertainty and risk-tolerance level in order to maintain the demand stability and get more utility. Further, we consider some special cases where the risk-tolerance level of the manufacturer has an impact on the risk-neutral agent’s decisions whereas the risk-tolerance level of an agent does not have any impact on the risk-neutral manufacturer’s decisions. The analysis also shows that there is a significant impact of the agent’s free-replacement renewing warranty (FRRW) on repair and maintenance price decision if both players are risk-averse. A numerical example is presented to further illustrate the results and related issues.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junhai Ma ◽  
Qiuxiang Li

We construct dynamic Bertrand-Stackelberg pricing models including two manufacturers and a common retailer in a risk-averse supply chain with the uncertain demand. The risk-averse supply chain follows these strategies: Bertrand game between the two manufacturers and Stackelberg game between the manufacturer and the retailer. We study the effect of the price adjustment speed, the risk preference, and the uncertain demand on the stability of the risk-averse supply chain using bifurcation, power spectrum, attractor, and so forth. It is observed that there exists slip bifurcation when the price adjustment speed across some critical value, the stable region, and total profit of the risk-averse supply chain will increase with increase ofRM1and decrease with increase ofσ. The profit of the supply chain and the two manufacturers will decrease and the weaker (retailer) is a beneficiary when the supply chain is in chaos. The fluctuation in the supply chain can be gradually controlled by the control of the price adjustment speed.


2002 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 285-294 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucia Savadori ◽  
Lorella Lotto ◽  
Rino Rumiati

Progress in surgical technology and in postoperative therapy has remarkably increased life expectation after heart transplantation. Nevertheless, patients still show a resistance to resume a normal life after transplantation, for example, to return to work. In this study we assume that after surgery patients become risk averse because they achieve a positive frame of reference. Because of this propensity toward risk aversion, they withhold from engaging in behavior that their physical condition would allow them in principle. Coherent with this assumption we found that compared to the medical team patients overestimate the degree of risk for routine activities. The study also showed that the representation of risk by the patients could be captured by a dreadfulness factor and a voluntariness factor. Patients' risk judgments were strongly and specifically predicted by the perceived degree of dreadfulness of the activity and, to a lesser extent, by the perceived knowledge of the consequences. Implications for patient-physician communication were explored.


2016 ◽  
pp. 59-70
Author(s):  
Ninh Le Khuong ◽  
Nghiem Le Tan ◽  
Tho Huynh Huu

This paper aims to detect the impact of firm managers’ risk attitude on the relationship between the degree of output market uncertainty and firm investment. The findings show that there is a negative relationship between these two aspects for risk-averse managers while there is a positive relationship for risk-loving ones, since they have different utility functions. Based on the findings, this paper proposes recommendations for firm managers to take into account when making investment decisions and long-term business strategies as well.


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