scholarly journals Regime shift in the decadal variability of the Indian Ocean subsurface temperature

2021 ◽  
Vol 216 ◽  
pp. 103511
Author(s):  
Shuangwen Sun ◽  
Yue Fang ◽  
Lin Liu ◽  
Huiwu Wang ◽  
Yanliang Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Regime Shift ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Subsurface Temperature ◽  
The Indian Ocean

scholarly journals Decadal Variability of the Indian and Pacific Walker Cells since the 1960s: Do They Covary on Decadal Time Scales?

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (21) ◽  
pp. 8447-8468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiqing Han ◽  
Gerald A. Meehl ◽  
Aixue Hu ◽  
Jian Zheng ◽  
Jessica Kenigson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Past Century ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Decadal Variations ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
The 1960S

Previous studies have investigated the centennial and multidecadal trends of the Pacific and Indian Ocean Walker cells (WCs) during the past century, but have obtained no consensus owing to data uncertainties and weak signals of the long-term trends. This paper focuses on decadal variability (periods of one to few decades) by first documenting the variability of the WCs and warm-pool convection, and their covariability since the 1960s, using in situ and satellite observations and reanalysis products. The causes for the variability and covariability are then explored using a Bayesian dynamic linear model, which can extract nonstationary effects of climate modes. The warm-pool convection exhibits apparent decadal variability, generally covarying with the Indian and Pacific Ocean WCs during winter (November–April) with enhanced convection corresponding to intensified WCs, and the Indian–Pacific WCs covary. During summer (May–October), the warm-pool convection still highly covaries with the Pacific WC but does not covary with the Indian Ocean WC, and the Indian–Pacific WCs are uncorrelated. The wintertime coherent variability results from the vital influence of ENSO decadal variation, which reduces warm-pool convection and weakens the WCs during El Niño–like conditions. During summer, while ENSO decadal variability still dominates the Pacific WC, decadal variations of ENSO, the Indian Ocean dipole, Indian summer monsoon convection, and tropical Indian Ocean SST have comparable effects on the Indian Ocean WC overall, with monsoon convection having the largest effect since the 1990s. The complex causes for the Indian Ocean WC during summer result in its poor covariability with the Pacific WC and warm-pool convection.

scholarly journals Why Has the Relationship between Indian and Pacific Ocean Decadal Variability Changed in Recent Decades?

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 1971-1983 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Dong ◽  
Michael J. McPhaden
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Negative Phase ◽  
External Forcing ◽  
Indian Ocean Basin Mode ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Both the Indian and Pacific Oceans exhibit prominent decadal time scale variations in sea surface temperature (SST), linked dynamically via atmospheric and oceanic processes. However, the relationship between SST in these two basins underwent a dramatic transformation beginning around 1985. Prior to that, SST variations associated with the Indian Ocean basin mode (IOB) and the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) were positively correlated, whereas afterward they were much less clearly synchronized. Evidence is presented from both observations and coupled state-of-the-art climate models that enhanced external forcing, particularly from increased anthropogenic greenhouse gases, was the principal cause of this changed relationship. Using coupled climate model experiments, it is shown that without external forcing, the evolution of the IOB would be strongly forced by variations in the IPO. However, with strong external forcing, the dynamical linkage between the IOB and the IPO weakens so that the negative phase IPO after 2000 is unable to force a negative phase IOB-induced cooling of the Indian Ocean. This changed relationship in the IOB and IPO led to unique SST patterns in the Indo-Pacific region after 2000, which favored exceptionally strong easterly trade winds over the tropical Pacific Ocean and a pronounced global warming hiatus in the first decade of the twenty-first century.

scholarly journals Indian Ocean Decadal Variability: A Review

2014 ◽  
Vol 95 (11) ◽  
pp. 1679-1703 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiqing Han ◽  
Jérôme Vialard ◽  
Michael J. McPhaden ◽  
Tong Lee ◽  
Yukio Masumoto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
International Scientific Community ◽  
Climate Research ◽  
Physical Mechanisms ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Climatic Impacts ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Multidecadal Climate Variability

The international scientific community has highlighted decadal and multidecadal climate variability as a priority area for climate research. The Indian Ocean rim region is home to one-third of the world's population, mostly living in developing countries that are vulnerable to climate variability and to the increasing pressure of anthropogenic climate change. Yet, while prominent decadal and multidecadal variations occur in the Indian Ocean, they have been less studied than those in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. This paper reviews existing literature on these Indian Ocean variations, including observational evidence, physical mechanisms, and climatic impacts. This paper also identifies major issues and challenges for future Indian Ocean research on decadal and multidecadal variability.

scholarly journals Mechanisms of asymmetry in sea surface temperature anomalies associated with the Indian Ocean Dipole revealed by closed heat budget

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mai Nakazato ◽  
Shoichiro Kido ◽  
Tomoki Tozuka
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Subsurface Temperature ◽  
Thermocline Feedback ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Sst Anomalies

AbstractThe Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is an interannual climate mode of the tropical Indian Ocean. Although it is known that negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the eastern pole during the positive IOD are stronger than positive SST anomalies during the negative IOD, no consensus has been reached on the relative importance of various mechanisms that contribute to this asymmetry. Based on a closed mixed layer heat budget analysis using a regional ocean model, here we show for the first time that the vertical mixing plays an important role in causing such asymmetry in SST anomalies in addition to the contributions from the nonlinear advection and the thermocline feedback proposed by previous studies. A decomposition of the vertical mixing term indicates that nonlinearity in the anomalous vertical temperature gradient associated with subsurface temperature anomalies and anomalous vertical mixing coefficients is the main driver of such asymmetry. Such variations in subsurface temperature are induced by the anomalous southeasterly trade winds along the Indonesian coast that modulate the thermocline depth through coastal upwelling/downwelling. Thus, the thermocline feedback contributes to the SST asymmetry not through the vertical advection as previously suggested, but via the vertical mixing.

scholarly journals Decadal variability of the Indian Ocean cross-equatorial exchange in SODA

2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rena Schoenefeldt ◽  
Friedrich A. Schott
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
The Indian Ocean

scholarly journals Multi-Decadal Trend and Decadal Variability of the Regional Sea Level over the Indian Ocean since the 1960s: Roles of Climate Modes and External Forcing

Climate ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiqing Han ◽  
Detlef Stammer ◽  
Gerald Meehl ◽  
Aixue Hu ◽  
Frank Sienz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
External Forcing ◽  
Climate Modes ◽  
Decadal Trend ◽  
Regional Sea Level ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
The 1960S

scholarly journals Correlation between subsurface salinity anomalies in the Bay of Bengal and the Indian Ocean Dipole and governing mechanisms

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zheen Zhang ◽  
Thomas Pohlmann ◽  
Xueen Chen
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Equatorial Indian Ocean ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Subsurface Temperature ◽  
Remote Forcing ◽  
Salinity Variability ◽  
Eastern Equatorial Indian Ocean ◽  
The Indian Ocean

Abstract. Lead-lag correlations between the subsurface temperature/salinity anomalies in the Bay of Bengal (BoB) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are revealed in model results, ocean synthesis, and observations. Mechanisms for such correlations are further investigated using the Hamburg Shelf Ocean Model (HAMSOM), mainly on the salinity variability. It is found that the subsurface salinity anomaly of the BoB positively correlates to the IOD with a lag of three months on average, while the subsurface temperature anomaly negatively correlates. The model results suggest the remote forcing from the equatorial Indian Ocean dominates the interannual subsurface salinity variability in the BoB. The coastal Kelvin waves carry signals of positive (negative) salinity anomalies from the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean and propagate counterclockwise along the coasts of the BoB during positive (negative) IOD events. Subsequently westward Rossby waves propagate these signals to the basin at a relatively slow speed, which causes a considerable delay of the subsurface salinity anomalies in the correlation. By analyzing the salinity budget of the BoB, it is found that the diffusion dominates the salinity changes near the surface, while the advection dominates the subsurface; the vertical advection of salinity contributes positively to this correlation, while the horizontal advection contributes negatively. These results suggest that the IOD plays a crucial role in the interannual subsurface salinity variability in the BoB.

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