External Validation of the Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events Score to Predict Functional Outcome and Mortality in Patients Entered into the China National Stroke Registry

IntroductionStroke is a leading cause of adult disability and death worldwide. The neurological impairments associated with stroke prevent patients from performing basic daily activities and have enormous impact on families and caregivers. Practical and accurate tools to assist in predicting outcome after stroke at patient level can provide significant aid for patient management. Furthermore, prediction models of this kind can be useful for clinical research, health economics, policymaking and clinical decision support.Methods2869 patients with first-ever stroke from South London Stroke Register (SLSR) (1995–2004) will be included in the development cohort. We will use information captured after baseline to construct multilevel models and a Cox proportional hazard model to predict cognitive impairment, functional outcome and mortality up to 5 years after stroke. Repeated random subsampling validation (Monte Carlo cross-validation) will be evaluated in model development. Data from participants recruited to the stroke register (2005–2014) will be used for temporal validation of the models. Data from participants recruited to the Dijon Stroke Register (1985–2015) will be used for external validation. Discrimination, calibration and clinical utility of the models will be presented.EthicsPatients, or for patients who cannot consent their relatives, gave written informed consent to participate in stroke-related studies within the SLSR. The SLSR design was approved by the ethics committees of Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, Kings College Hospital, Queens Square and Westminster Hospitals (London). The Dijon Stroke Registry was approved by the Comité National des Registres and the InVS and has authorisation of the Commission Nationale de l’Informatique et des Libertés.

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Performance of four ischemic stroke prognostic scores in a Brazilian population

Arquivos de Neuro-Psiquiatria ◽

10.1590/0004-282x20160002 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 74 (2) ◽

pp. 133-137 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

Gustavo W. Kuster ◽

Lívia A. Dutra ◽

Israel P. Brasil ◽

Evelyn P. Pacheco ◽

Márcio J. C. Arruda ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Hospital Mortality ◽

Functional Outcome ◽

Area Under The Curve ◽

Brazilian Population ◽

Prognostic Scores ◽

Vascular Events ◽

Stroke Registry ◽

Primary Stroke Center ◽

Stroke Center

ABSTRACT Objective Ischemic stroke (IS) prognostic scales may help clinicians in their clinical decisions. This study aimed to assess the performance of four IS prognostic scales in a Brazilian population. Method We evaluated data of IS patients admitted at Hospital Paulistano, a Joint Commission International certified primary stroke center. In-hospital mortality and modified Rankin score at discharge were defined as the outcome measures. The performance of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), Stroke Prognostication Using Age and NIHSS (SPAN-100), Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne (ASTRAL), and Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events (THRIVE) were compared. Results Two hundred six patients with a mean ± SD age of 67.58 ± 15.5 years, being 55.3% male, were included. The four scales were significantly and independently associated functional outcome. Only THRIVE was associated with in-hospital mortality. With area under the curve THRIVE and NIHSS were the scales with better performance for functional outcome and THRIVE had the best performance for mortality. Conclusion THRIVE showed the best performance among the four scales, being the only associated with in-hospital mortality.

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Fibrinogen Level Predicts Prognosis of Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke or TIA

10.21203/rs.3.rs-64098/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Huiqing Hou ◽

Xianglong Xiang ◽

Yuesong Pan ◽

Hao Li ◽

Xia Meng ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Acute Ischemic Stroke ◽

Functional Outcome ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Fibrinogen Level ◽

Stroke Recurrence ◽

Vascular Events ◽

Poor Functional Outcome ◽

Stroke Registry

Abstract Background: Fibrinogen is involved in acute stroke. This study aimed to investigate the association between fibrinogen and prognosis in patients with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Methods: Using data from the CNSR-Ⅲ (Third China National Stroke Registry), this sub-study included 10 518 (69%) consecutive patients who had fibrinogen levels measured. The primary outcome was a poor functional outcome defined as modified Rankin Scale score of 3 to 6 within 90 days. The secondary outcomes were stroke recurrence, ischemic stroke recurrence, composite vascular events, and poor functional outcome during the 1-year follow-up and a new vascular event at 90 days. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression analyses were used to assess the associations between fibrinogen and prognosis of patients. Results: In total, 1446 (13.9%) patients had a poor functional outcome at 90 days. High fibrinogen levels were associated with poor functional outcome (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.64) at 90 days after adjustment for confounding risk factors. High fibrinogen levels also independently predicted poor functional outcome during the 1-year follow-up. Stroke recurrence occurred in 657 (6.3%) patients at 90 days. High fibrinogen levels were associated with stroke recurrence, ischemic stroke recurrence, and composite vascular events in the crude model, but further adjustment eliminated these associations in the multivariate models. Conclusion: Our study showed that high fibrinogen level was independently associated with poor functional outcome but not with stroke recurrence in patients with acute ischemic stroke or TIA.

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External Validation of the ASTRAL Score to Predict 3- and 12-Month Functional Outcome in the China National Stroke Registry

Stroke ◽

10.1161/strokeaha.113.000993 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 44 (5) ◽

pp. 1443-1445 ◽

Cited By ~ 17

Author(s):

Gaifen Liu ◽

George Ntaios ◽

Huaguang Zheng ◽

Yilong Wang ◽

Patrik Michel ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Functional Outcome ◽

External Validation ◽

Stroke Registry

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Pre-Stroke Cholinesterase Inhibitor Treatment Is Beneficially Associated with Functional Outcome in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke and Pre-Stroke Dementia: The Fukuoka Stroke Registry

Cerebrovascular Diseases ◽

10.1159/000514368 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-7

Author(s):

Yoshinobu Wakisaka ◽

Ryu Matsuo ◽

Kuniyuki Nakamura ◽

Tetsuro Ago ◽

Masahiro Kamouchi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Acute Ischemic Stroke ◽

Functional Outcome ◽

Neurological Deterioration ◽

Stroke Outcome ◽

Matched Cohort ◽

Poor Functional Outcome ◽

Stroke Registry ◽

Chei Treatment

Introduction: Pre-stroke dementia is significantly associated with poor stroke outcome. Cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs) might reduce the risk of stroke in patients with dementia. However, the association between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and stroke outcome remains unresolved. Therefore, we aimed to determine this association in patients with acute ischemic stroke and pre-stroke dementia. Methods: We enrolled 805 patients with pre-stroke dementia among 13,167 with ischemic stroke within 7 days of onset who were registered in the Fukuoka Stroke Registry between June 2007 and May 2019 and were independent in basic activities of daily living (ADLs) before admission. Primary and secondary study outcomes were poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score: 3–6) at 3 months after stroke onset and neurological deterioration (≥2-point increase in the NIH Stroke Scale [NIHSS] during hospitalization), respectively. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate associations between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and study outcomes. To improve covariate imbalance, we further conducted a propensity score (PS)-matched cohort study. Results: Among the participants, 212 (26.3%) had pre-stroke ChEI treatment. Treatment was negatively associated with poor functional outcome (odds ratio: 0.68 [95% confidence interval: 0.46–0.99]) and neurological deterioration (0.52 [0.31–0.88]) after adjusting for potential confounding factors. In the PS-matched cohort study, the same trends were observed between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and poor functional outcome (0.61 [0.40–0.92]) and between the treatment and neurological deterioration (0.47 [0.25–0.86]). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that pre-stroke ChEI treatment is associated with reduced risks for poor functional outcome and neurological deterioration after acute ischemic stroke in patients with pre-stroke dementia who are independent in basic ADLs before the onset of stroke.

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How do treatment times impact on functional outcome in stroke patients undergoing thrombectomy in Germany? Results from the German Stroke Registry

International Journal of Stroke ◽

10.1177/1747493020985260 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 174749302098526

Author(s):

Juliane Herm ◽

Ludwig Schlemm ◽

Eberhard Siebert ◽

Georg Bohner ◽

Anna C Alegiani ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Functional Outcome ◽

Odds Ratio ◽

Intravenous Thrombolysis ◽

Stroke Patients ◽

Poor Functional Outcome ◽

Stroke Registry ◽

Primary Stroke Center ◽

Comprehensive Stroke Center ◽

Stroke Center ◽

Center Time

Background Functional outcome post-stroke depends on time to recanalization. Effect of in-hospital delay may differ in patients directly admitted to a comprehensive stroke center and patients transferred via a primary stroke center. We analyzed the current door-to-groin time in Germany and explored its effect on functional outcome in a real-world setting. Methods Data were collected in 25 stroke centers in the German Stroke Registry-Endovascular Treatment a prospective, multicenter, observational registry study including stroke patients with large vessel occlusion. Functional outcome was assessed at three months by modified Rankin Scale. Association of door-to-groin time with outcome was calculated using binary logistic regression models. Results Out of 4340 patients, 56% were treated primarily in a comprehensive stroke center and 44% in a primary stroke center and then transferred to a comprehensive stroke center (“drip-and-ship” concept). Median onset-to-arrival at comprehensive stroke center time and door-to-groin time were 103 and 79 min in comprehensive stroke center patients and 225 and 44 min in primary stroke center patients. The odds ratio for poor functional outcome per hour of onset-to-arrival-at comprehensive stroke center time was 1.03 (95%CI 1.01–1.05) in comprehensive stroke center patients and 1.06 (95%CI 1.03–1.09) in primary stroke center patients. The odds ratio for poor functional outcome per hour of door-to-groin time was 1.30 (95%CI 1.16–1.46) in comprehensive stroke center patients and 1.04 (95%CI 0.89–1.21) in primary stroke center patients. Longer door-to-groin time in comprehensive stroke center patients was associated with admission on weekends (odds ratio 1.61; 95%CI 1.37–1.97) and during night time (odds ratio 1.52; 95%CI 1.27–1.82) and use of intravenous thrombolysis (odds ratio 1.28; 95%CI 1.08–1.50). Conclusion Door-to-groin time was especially relevant for outcome of comprehensive stroke center patients, whereas door-to-groin time was much shorter in primary stroke center patients. Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03356392 . Unique identifier NCT03356392

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Abstract 182: "Spot" Sign vs "Dot" Sign as Predictor of Hemorrhagic Stroke Outcomes

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.45.suppl_1.182 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 45 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Katherine O Brag ◽

Erica Jones ◽

Dominique Monlezun ◽

Alex George ◽

Michael Halstead ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Functional Outcome ◽

Clinical Significance ◽

Statistical Tests ◽

Hematoma Expansion ◽

Poor Functional Outcome ◽

Spot Sign ◽

Post Contrast ◽

Stroke Registry ◽

Logistic Regression Models

Introduction: Hematoma expansion (HE) is an established predictor of mortality and poor functional outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). The computed tomography angiography (CTA) “spot” sign predicts HE and deterioration. The “dot” sign on delayed post-contrast CT (PCCT) has undetermined clinical significance but is thought to represent a slower rate of bleeding than the “spot” sign. We aimed to compare the sensitivity of a “dot” sign with the “spot” sign and establish the clinical significance of the “dot” sign. Methods: Patients with ICH presenting to our center July 2008-May 2013 were identified from our stroke registry. Only patients with baseline CT, CTA and PCCT and follow-up CT 6-36 hours later were included. Patients with clot evacuation between baseline and follow-up CT were excluded. HE was defined as 1) any ≥ 1cc increase and 2) significant ≥ 12.5cc increase or >33% increase in volume. Differences in cohort characteristics were assessed using appropriate statistical tests and sensitivity was calculated from 2x2 tables. Unadjusted logistic regression models were used to investigate the relation of “spot” and “dot” signs with HE and poor functional outcome (discharge mRS 4-6). Results: Of the 210 ICH patients included in the analyses (median age 61, 44.7% female, 66.2% black), 39 (18.5%) patients had a PCCT “dot” sign and 19 (9%) had a CTA “spot” sign. Significant HE occurred in 15% with “dot” sign and 8% with “spot” sign. The PCCT “dot” sign had a sensitivity of 0.52 in predicting significant HE and a sensitivity of 0.69 in predicting discharge mRS 4-6 (compared with 0.24 and 0.30 for “spot” sign, respectively). Patients with a “dot” sign, but without a “spot” sign, had significantly increased odds of any HE (OR 5.7, 95% CI 1.9-17.8, p=0.003), mRS 4-6 (OR 8.1, 95% CI 1.03-64.6, p=0.048), and death (OR 8.1, 95% CI 1.4-48.4, p=0.02), but not significant HE (OR 2.2, 95% CI 0.7-6.7, p=0.15). Conclusions: The PCCT “dot” sign was more sensitive in predicting hematoma expansion than the CTA “spot” sign and predicted hematoma expansion and poor functional outcome even in the absence of the “spot sign.” The utility of PCCT imaging in acute evaluation of ICH patients requires validation, but our study supports clinical relevance of the “dot” sign.

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Association of Level and Increase in D‐Dimer With All‐Cause Death and Poor Functional Outcome After Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack

Journal of the American Heart Association ◽

10.1161/jaha.120.018600 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Huiqing Hou ◽

Xianglong Xiang ◽

Yuesong Pan ◽

Hao Li ◽

Xia Meng ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Functional Outcome ◽

Transient Ischemic Attack ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Poor Functional Outcome ◽

Stroke Registry ◽

Poor Outcomes ◽

Ischemic Attack ◽

High Level ◽

D Dimer

Background D‐dimer is involved in poor outcomes of stroke as a coagulation biomarker. We aimed to investigate the associations of the level and increase in D‐dimer between baseline and 90 days with all‐cause death or poor functional outcome in patients after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack. Methods and Results We collected data from the CNSRIII (Third China National Stroke Registry) study. The present substudy included 10 518 patients within 7 days (baseline) of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack and 6268 patients at 90 days. Poor functional outcome at 1 year was assessed on the basis of the modified Rankin Scale (≥3). Multivariable Cox regression or logistic regression was used to assess the association of D‐dimer levels with all‐cause death or poor functional outcome. D‐dimer levels at 90 days were lower than those at baseline (1.4 µg/mL versus 1.7 µg/mL; P <0.001). Higher baseline D‐dimer level was associated with all‐cause death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.77; 95% CI, 1.25–2.52; P =0.001) and poor functional outcome (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.49; 95% CI, 1.23–1.80; P <0.001) during 1‐year follow‐up. Higher D‐dimer level at 90 days was also associated with poor outcomes independently. Furthermore, an increase in D‐dimer levels between baseline and 90 days was associated with all‐cause death (since 90 days to 1 year after index event) (adjusted HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.12–3.53; P =0.019) but not with poor functional outcome (adjusted OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.82–1.41). Conclusions Our study shows that high level and an increase in D‐dimer between baseline and 90 days are associated with poor outcomes in patients after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack.

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Abstract P343: Relationship of Infarct Volume to Inflammation and Prognostic Significance in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.52.suppl_1.p343 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 52 (Suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Lingling Ding ◽

Zixiao Li ◽

Yongjun Wang

Keyword(s):

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Deep Learning ◽

Acute Ischemic Stroke ◽

Functional Outcome ◽

Acute Inflammation ◽

Infarct Volume ◽

Prognostic Significance ◽

Stroke Recurrence ◽

Vascular Events ◽

Poor Functional Outcome

Background and Purpose: The diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) lesion volumes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) can be automatically measured using deep learning-based segmentation algorithms. We aim to explore the prognostic significance of artificial intelligence-predicted infarct volume, and the association of markers of acute inflammation with the infarct volume. Methods: 12,598 AIS/TIA patients were included in this analysis. Intarct volume was automatically measured using a U-Net model for acute ischemic stroke lesion segmentation on DWI. Participants were divided into 5 subgroups according to infarct volume. Spearman’s correlations were employed to study the association between infarct volume and markers of acute inflammation. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards model were performed to explore the relationship between infarct volume and the incidence of poor functional outcome (modified Rankin scale score 3-6), stroke recurrence or combined vascular events at 3 months. Results: The U-Net model prediction correlated and agreed well with manual annotation ground truth for infarct volume (r=0.96; P<0.001). There were positive correlations between the infarct volume and markers of acute inflammation (neutrophil [r=0.175; P<0.001], hs-CRP [r=0.180; P<0.001], and IL-6 [r=0.225; P<0.001]). Compared with those without DWI lesions, patients with the largest infarct volume (4th Quartile) were nearly five times more likely to have poor functional outcome (mRS 3-6) (adjusted odds ratio, 4.70; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 3.29-6.72; P for trend<0.001) after adjustment for confounding factors and markers of acute inflammation. The infarct volume category was significantly associated with stroke recurrence (adjusted hazard ratios [HRs], 1.0, 1.43[0.95,2.17], 2.22[1.49,3.29], 2.06[1.40,3.05], 2.26[1.52,3.36]; P for trend<0.001) and combined vascular events(adjusted HRs, 1.0, 1.38[0.92,2.09], 2.25[1.53,3.32], 2.03[1.38,2.98], 2.28[1.54,3.36]; P for trend<0.001). Conclusions: Infarct volume measured automatically by deep learning-based tool was a strong predictor of poor functional outcome as well as stroke recurrence, with the potential for widespread adoption in both research and clinical settings.

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Abstract TP323: The Role of Ejection Fraction in 90 Day Functional Outcome in Acute Ischemic Infarction Patients Receiving Acute Stroke Therapy

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.51.suppl_1.tp323 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Tamra Ranasinghe ◽

Brett Meyer ◽

Richard Lane ◽

Dawn Meyer

Keyword(s):

Acute Stroke ◽

Functional Outcome ◽

Pearson Correlation ◽

Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen Activator ◽

Continuous Variables ◽

Stroke Therapy ◽

Stroke Registry ◽

The Relationship ◽

Acute Stroke Therapy ◽

Iv Tpa

Background: Cardiovascular disease is associated with unfavorable outcomes following acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Left ventricularejection fraction (LVEF) alone has not been reported as a significant predictor of unfavorable outcomes in observational studies of AIS.The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between LVEF and 90 day functional outcome in AIS patients who received acute stroke therapy with IV recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA), endovascular therapy (EVT), or combination IV rt-PA+EVT. Methods: This was a retrospective review of prospectively collected data from the University of California San Diego (UCSD) Stroke registry from October 2014-June 2019. Analysis included all patients for whom a stroke code was activated and who had a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) during stroke admission or within the previous 30 days prior to AIS. Acute stroke therapy was defined as 1) IV tPA only; 2) EVT only; or 3) IV tPA + EVT. LVEF function was defined as: low <35%, moderately low 36 -49% and normal >50% on TTE. Primary outcome was modified ranking scale(mRS) at 90 days post stroke. Data was examined for frequencies and distribution. Continuous variables were assessed by Pearson correlation and t test. Kruskal-Wallis or ANOVA were used to evaluate group differences. ANCOVA was used for adjusted analysis. Results: In the 227 patients identified, low EF patients were more likely to have atrial fibrillation (61.9%, p=.004) and lower mean admission systolic blood pressure (132.6, p=0.009). LVEF was not significantly associated with 90 day outcome in all treated patients in both unadjusted (p=0.992) and adjusted (p=0.62). LVEF was not significantly associated with 90 day outcome for individual acute stroke therapy groups both unadjusted and adjusted. mRS at 90 days was significantly associated with baseline NIHSS (p<0.001), age (p=0.002), and treatment with IV tPA (p=0.01). Conclusion: In this study, LVEF was not independently associated with 90 day functional outcome in AIS patients who received acute stroke therapy. Further studies in more heterogenous samples are warranted to assess the relationship between LVEF and outcome in all stroke populations.

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