scholarly journals External Validation of the ASTRAL Score to Predict 3- and 12-Month Functional Outcome in the China National Stroke Registry

Stroke ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (5) ◽  
pp. 1443-1445 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gaifen Liu ◽  
George Ntaios ◽  
Huaguang Zheng ◽  
Yilong Wang ◽  
Patrik Michel ◽  
...  
BMJ Open ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. e014607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marion Fahey ◽  
Anthony Rudd ◽  
Yannick Béjot ◽  
Charles Wolfe ◽  
Abdel Douiri

IntroductionStroke is a leading cause of adult disability and death worldwide. The neurological impairments associated with stroke prevent patients from performing basic daily activities and have enormous impact on families and caregivers. Practical and accurate tools to assist in predicting outcome after stroke at patient level can provide significant aid for patient management. Furthermore, prediction models of this kind can be useful for clinical research, health economics, policymaking and clinical decision support.Methods2869 patients with first-ever stroke from South London Stroke Register (SLSR) (1995–2004) will be included in the development cohort. We will use information captured after baseline to construct multilevel models and a Cox proportional hazard model to predict cognitive impairment, functional outcome and mortality up to 5 years after stroke. Repeated random subsampling validation (Monte Carlo cross-validation) will be evaluated in model development. Data from participants recruited to the stroke register (2005–2014) will be used for temporal validation of the models. Data from participants recruited to the Dijon Stroke Register (1985–2015) will be used for external validation. Discrimination, calibration and clinical utility of the models will be presented.EthicsPatients, or for patients who cannot consent their relatives, gave written informed consent to participate in stroke-related studies within the SLSR. The SLSR design was approved by the ethics committees of Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, Kings College Hospital, Queens Square and Westminster Hospitals (London). The Dijon Stroke Registry was approved by the Comité National des Registres and the InVS and has authorisation of the Commission Nationale de l’Informatique et des Libertés.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Yoshinobu Wakisaka ◽  
Ryu Matsuo ◽  
Kuniyuki Nakamura ◽  
Tetsuro Ago ◽  
Masahiro Kamouchi ◽  
...  

Introduction: Pre-stroke dementia is significantly associated with poor stroke outcome. Cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs) might reduce the risk of stroke in patients with dementia. However, the association between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and stroke outcome remains unresolved. Therefore, we aimed to determine this association in patients with acute ischemic stroke and pre-stroke dementia. Methods: We enrolled 805 patients with pre-stroke dementia among 13,167 with ischemic stroke within 7 days of onset who were registered in the Fukuoka Stroke Registry between June 2007 and May 2019 and were independent in basic activities of daily living (ADLs) before admission. Primary and secondary study outcomes were poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score: 3–6) at 3 months after stroke onset and neurological deterioration (≥2-point increase in the NIH Stroke Scale [NIHSS] during hospitalization), respectively. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate associations between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and study outcomes. To improve covariate imbalance, we further conducted a propensity score (PS)-matched cohort study. Results: Among the participants, 212 (26.3%) had pre-stroke ChEI treatment. Treatment was negatively associated with poor functional outcome (odds ratio: 0.68 [95% confidence interval: 0.46–0.99]) and neurological deterioration (0.52 [0.31–0.88]) after adjusting for potential confounding factors. In the PS-matched cohort study, the same trends were observed between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and poor functional outcome (0.61 [0.40–0.92]) and between the treatment and neurological deterioration (0.47 [0.25–0.86]). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that pre-stroke ChEI treatment is associated with reduced risks for poor functional outcome and neurological deterioration after acute ischemic stroke in patients with pre-stroke dementia who are independent in basic ADLs before the onset of stroke.


2021 ◽  
pp. 174749302098526
Author(s):  
Juliane Herm ◽  
Ludwig Schlemm ◽  
Eberhard Siebert ◽  
Georg Bohner ◽  
Anna C Alegiani ◽  
...  

Background Functional outcome post-stroke depends on time to recanalization. Effect of in-hospital delay may differ in patients directly admitted to a comprehensive stroke center and patients transferred via a primary stroke center. We analyzed the current door-to-groin time in Germany and explored its effect on functional outcome in a real-world setting. Methods Data were collected in 25 stroke centers in the German Stroke Registry-Endovascular Treatment a prospective, multicenter, observational registry study including stroke patients with large vessel occlusion. Functional outcome was assessed at three months by modified Rankin Scale. Association of door-to-groin time with outcome was calculated using binary logistic regression models. Results Out of 4340 patients, 56% were treated primarily in a comprehensive stroke center and 44% in a primary stroke center and then transferred to a comprehensive stroke center (“drip-and-ship” concept). Median onset-to-arrival at comprehensive stroke center time and door-to-groin time were 103 and 79 min in comprehensive stroke center patients and 225 and 44 min in primary stroke center patients. The odds ratio for poor functional outcome per hour of onset-to-arrival-at comprehensive stroke center time was 1.03 (95%CI 1.01–1.05) in comprehensive stroke center patients and 1.06 (95%CI 1.03–1.09) in primary stroke center patients. The odds ratio for poor functional outcome per hour of door-to-groin time was 1.30 (95%CI 1.16–1.46) in comprehensive stroke center patients and 1.04 (95%CI 0.89–1.21) in primary stroke center patients. Longer door-to-groin time in comprehensive stroke center patients was associated with admission on weekends (odds ratio 1.61; 95%CI 1.37–1.97) and during night time (odds ratio 1.52; 95%CI 1.27–1.82) and use of intravenous thrombolysis (odds ratio 1.28; 95%CI 1.08–1.50). Conclusion Door-to-groin time was especially relevant for outcome of comprehensive stroke center patients, whereas door-to-groin time was much shorter in primary stroke center patients. Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03356392 . Unique identifier NCT03356392


Stroke ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 45 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Katherine O Brag ◽  
Erica Jones ◽  
Dominique Monlezun ◽  
Alex George ◽  
Michael Halstead ◽  
...  

Introduction: Hematoma expansion (HE) is an established predictor of mortality and poor functional outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). The computed tomography angiography (CTA) “spot” sign predicts HE and deterioration. The “dot” sign on delayed post-contrast CT (PCCT) has undetermined clinical significance but is thought to represent a slower rate of bleeding than the “spot” sign. We aimed to compare the sensitivity of a “dot” sign with the “spot” sign and establish the clinical significance of the “dot” sign. Methods: Patients with ICH presenting to our center July 2008-May 2013 were identified from our stroke registry. Only patients with baseline CT, CTA and PCCT and follow-up CT 6-36 hours later were included. Patients with clot evacuation between baseline and follow-up CT were excluded. HE was defined as 1) any ≥ 1cc increase and 2) significant ≥ 12.5cc increase or >33% increase in volume. Differences in cohort characteristics were assessed using appropriate statistical tests and sensitivity was calculated from 2x2 tables. Unadjusted logistic regression models were used to investigate the relation of “spot” and “dot” signs with HE and poor functional outcome (discharge mRS 4-6). Results: Of the 210 ICH patients included in the analyses (median age 61, 44.7% female, 66.2% black), 39 (18.5%) patients had a PCCT “dot” sign and 19 (9%) had a CTA “spot” sign. Significant HE occurred in 15% with “dot” sign and 8% with “spot” sign. The PCCT “dot” sign had a sensitivity of 0.52 in predicting significant HE and a sensitivity of 0.69 in predicting discharge mRS 4-6 (compared with 0.24 and 0.30 for “spot” sign, respectively). Patients with a “dot” sign, but without a “spot” sign, had significantly increased odds of any HE (OR 5.7, 95% CI 1.9-17.8, p=0.003), mRS 4-6 (OR 8.1, 95% CI 1.03-64.6, p=0.048), and death (OR 8.1, 95% CI 1.4-48.4, p=0.02), but not significant HE (OR 2.2, 95% CI 0.7-6.7, p=0.15). Conclusions: The PCCT “dot” sign was more sensitive in predicting hematoma expansion than the CTA “spot” sign and predicted hematoma expansion and poor functional outcome even in the absence of the “spot sign.” The utility of PCCT imaging in acute evaluation of ICH patients requires validation, but our study supports clinical relevance of the “dot” sign.


Author(s):  
Huiqing Hou ◽  
Xianglong Xiang ◽  
Yuesong Pan ◽  
Hao Li ◽  
Xia Meng ◽  
...  

Background D‐dimer is involved in poor outcomes of stroke as a coagulation biomarker. We aimed to investigate the associations of the level and increase in D‐dimer between baseline and 90 days with all‐cause death or poor functional outcome in patients after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack. Methods and Results We collected data from the CNSRIII (Third China National Stroke Registry) study. The present substudy included 10 518 patients within 7 days (baseline) of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack and 6268 patients at 90 days. Poor functional outcome at 1 year was assessed on the basis of the modified Rankin Scale (≥3). Multivariable Cox regression or logistic regression was used to assess the association of D‐dimer levels with all‐cause death or poor functional outcome. D‐dimer levels at 90 days were lower than those at baseline (1.4 µg/mL versus 1.7 µg/mL; P <0.001). Higher baseline D‐dimer level was associated with all‐cause death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.77; 95% CI, 1.25–2.52; P =0.001) and poor functional outcome (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.49; 95% CI, 1.23–1.80; P <0.001) during 1‐year follow‐up. Higher D‐dimer level at 90 days was also associated with poor outcomes independently. Furthermore, an increase in D‐dimer levels between baseline and 90 days was associated with all‐cause death (since 90 days to 1 year after index event) (adjusted HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.12–3.53; P =0.019) but not with poor functional outcome (adjusted OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.82–1.41). Conclusions Our study shows that high level and an increase in D‐dimer between baseline and 90 days are associated with poor outcomes in patients after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack.


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamra Ranasinghe ◽  
Brett Meyer ◽  
Richard Lane ◽  
Dawn Meyer

Background: Cardiovascular disease is associated with unfavorable outcomes following acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Left ventricularejection fraction (LVEF) alone has not been reported as a significant predictor of unfavorable outcomes in observational studies of AIS.The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between LVEF and 90 day functional outcome in AIS patients who received acute stroke therapy with IV recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA), endovascular therapy (EVT), or combination IV rt-PA+EVT. Methods: This was a retrospective review of prospectively collected data from the University of California San Diego (UCSD) Stroke registry from October 2014-June 2019. Analysis included all patients for whom a stroke code was activated and who had a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) during stroke admission or within the previous 30 days prior to AIS. Acute stroke therapy was defined as 1) IV tPA only; 2) EVT only; or 3) IV tPA + EVT. LVEF function was defined as: low <35%, moderately low 36 -49% and normal >50% on TTE. Primary outcome was modified ranking scale(mRS) at 90 days post stroke. Data was examined for frequencies and distribution. Continuous variables were assessed by Pearson correlation and t test. Kruskal-Wallis or ANOVA were used to evaluate group differences. ANCOVA was used for adjusted analysis. Results: In the 227 patients identified, low EF patients were more likely to have atrial fibrillation (61.9%, p=.004) and lower mean admission systolic blood pressure (132.6, p=0.009). LVEF was not significantly associated with 90 day outcome in all treated patients in both unadjusted (p=0.992) and adjusted (p=0.62). LVEF was not significantly associated with 90 day outcome for individual acute stroke therapy groups both unadjusted and adjusted. mRS at 90 days was significantly associated with baseline NIHSS (p<0.001), age (p=0.002), and treatment with IV tPA (p=0.01). Conclusion: In this study, LVEF was not independently associated with 90 day functional outcome in AIS patients who received acute stroke therapy. Further studies in more heterogenous samples are warranted to assess the relationship between LVEF and outcome in all stroke populations.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Scalise ◽  
Jordan Gainey ◽  
Benjamin Bailes ◽  
Leanne Brecthtel ◽  
Zachary Conn ◽  
...  

Abstract Background. The purpose of this study was to develop models to predict the recovery of ambulatory functions taking into account the capability of the motor system to functionally reorganize in response to thrombolysis therapy. Methods. We predicted ambulatory functions recovery using retrospective data from a stroke registry of acute ischemic stroke patients who received thrombolysis therapy. Multivariate regression was used to construct the models. Multicollinearity and significant interactions were examined using variance inflation factors, while a Cox & Snell classification were applied to check the fitness of each model. Results. The models correctly predicted clinical variables that were associated with an improvement or non-improvement in functional ambulatory outcome. Broca’s aphasia (OR = 2.270, P = 0.002, CI =1.34-3.83) was associated with improved functional outcome at discharge, while patients aged 80 years or older (OR = 0.942, P = <0.001, CI =0.92-0.96), patients with congestive heart failure (OR = 0.496, P = 0.040, CI = 0.25-0.97), higher NIHSS (OR=0.876, P = 0.001, CI = 0.80-0.95), taking antihypertensive medication (OR = 0.436, P = 0.023, CI = 0.21-0.89) were not associated with improved ambulatory functional outcome with thrombolysis. The discriminating ability for the model was 74.2% for the total population, 71.7% for the rtPA group, and 72.2% for the no-rtPA group indicating strong performance. Conclusion. Prognostic models that can predict improved functional ambulatory outcome in thrombolysis therapy can be beneficial in the care of stroke patients. Our models predicted improved functional recovery of Broca’s aphasia after thrombolysis therapy, suggesting a future potential to evaluate motor speech area after stroke.


Stroke ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (11) ◽  
pp. 3057-3063
Author(s):  
Santosh B. Murthy ◽  
Alessandro Biffi ◽  
Guido J. Falcone ◽  
Lauren H. Sansing ◽  
Victor Torres Lopez ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— Observational data suggest that antiplatelet therapy after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) alleviates thromboembolic risk without increasing the risk of recurrent ICH. Given the paucity of data on the relationship between antiplatelet therapy after ICH and functional outcomes, we aimed to study this association in a multicenter cohort. Methods— We meta-analyzed data from (1) the Massachusetts General Hospital ICH registry (n=1854), (2) the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive database (n=762), and (3) the Yale stroke registry (n=185). Our exposure was antiplatelet therapy after ICH, which was modeled as a time-varying covariate. Our primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and a composite of major disability or death (modified Rankin Scale score 4–6). We used Cox proportional regression analyses to estimate the hazard ratio of death or poor functional outcome as a function of antiplatelet therapy and random-effects meta-analysis to pool the estimated HRs across studies. Additional analyses stratified by hematoma location (lobar and deep ICH) were performed. Results— We included a total of 2801 ICH patients, of whom 288 (10.3%) were started on antiplatelet medications after ICH. Median times to antiplatelet therapy ranged from 7 to 39 days. Antiplatelet therapy after ICH was not associated with mortality (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.66–1.09), or death or major disability (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.59–1.16) compared with patients not started on antiplatelet therapy. Similar results were obtained in additional analyses stratified by hematoma location. Conclusions— Antiplatelet therapy after ICH appeared safe and was not associated with all-cause mortality or functional outcome, regardless of hematoma location. Randomized clinical trials are needed to determine the effects and harms of antiplatelet therapy after ICH.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document