scholarly journals Agent-Based Modelling of Mobility Restrictions at a Large Scale: Exploring the Impact on the COVID-19 Spreading in Italy

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 ◽  
pp. 101195
Author(s):  
Martina Fazio ◽  
Alessandro Pluchino ◽  
Giuseppe Inturri ◽  
Michela Le Pira ◽  
Nadia Giuffrida ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Modelling the impact of alternative educational qualifications on the New Zealand higher education system

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Marshall
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
Education System ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Social Phenomena ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Higher Education System ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
Education And Employment ◽  
The Impact

Agent-based modelling provides a mechanism by which complex social phenomena can simulated in order to identify how particular features arise from causes such as demographics, human preferences and their interaction with policy settings. The NetLogo environment has been used to implement a simulation of the New Zealand higher education system, using historical data to calibrate model settings to mirror those of the real-world system. This simulation is used to explore how the introduction of an alternative qualification and education paradigm might disrupt established patterns of education and employment.

scholarly journals Is there a Need for Agent-based Modelling and Simulation in Business Process Management?

Organizacija ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 51 (4) ◽  
pp. 255-269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michal Halaška ◽  
Roman Šperka
Keyword(s):  
Business Process ◽  
Business Process Management ◽  
Process Management ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Modelling And Simulation ◽  
Simulation Experiments ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
The Impact

AbstractBackground and Purpose: Agent-based modelling and simulation (ABS) is growing in many areas like, e.g., management, social and computer sciences. However, the similar trend does not seem to occur within the field of business process management (BPM), even though simulation approaches like discrete event simulation or system dynamics are well established and widely used. Thus, in our paper we investigate the advantages and disadvantages of agent-based modelling and simulation in the field of BPM in simulation experiments.Design/Methodology/Approach: In our research, we investigate if there is a necessity for ABS in the field of BPM with our own simulation experiments to compare traditional and ABS models. For this purpose, we use simulation framework MAREA, which is a simulation environment with integrated ERP system. Our model is a complex system of a trading company selling computer cables. For the verification of our model, we use automated process discovery techniques.Results: In our simulations, we investigated the impact of changes in resources’ behavior on the outcome of company’s order to cash process (O2C). Simulations experiments demonstrated that even small changes might have statistically significant effect on outcomes of the processes and decisions based on such outcomes. Simulation experiments also demonstrated that the impact of randomly distributed fluctuations of well-being have a diminishing tendency with the increasing number of sales representatives involved in the process.Conclusions: Our research revealed several advantages and disadvantages of using ABS in business process modelling. However, as we show, many of them were at least partially addressed in the recent years. Thus, we believe that ABS will get more attention in the field of BPM similarly to other fields like, e.g., social sciences. We suggested areas in BPM simulations, e.g., modelling of resources, be it human or technological resources, where there is a need for ABS.

scholarly journals Modeling Confirmation Bias and Peer Pressure in Opinion Dynamics

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Longzhao Liu ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Xuyang Chen ◽  
Shaoting Tang ◽  
Zhiming Zheng
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Confirmation Bias ◽  
Opinion Dynamics ◽  
Peer Pressure ◽  
Homogeneous Population ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Collective Decisions ◽  
Personal Opinion ◽  
The Impact

Confirmation bias and peer pressure are regarded as the main psychology origins of personal opinion adjustment. Each show substantial impacts on the formation of collective decisions. Nevertheless, few attempts have been made to study how the interplay between these two mechanisms affects public opinion evolution on large-scale social networks. In this paper, we propose an agent-based model of opinion dynamics which incorporates the conjugate effect of confirmation bias (characterized by the population identity scope and initiative adaptation speed) and peer pressure (described by a susceptibility threshold and passive adaptation speed). First, a counterintuitive non-monotonous phenomenon arises in the homogeneous population: the number of opinion clusters first increases and then decreases to one as the population identity scope becomes larger. We then consider heterogeneous populations where “impressionable” individuals with large susceptibility to peer pressure and “confident” individuals with small susceptibility coexist. We find that even a small fraction of impressionable individuals could help eliminate public polarization when population identity scope is relatively large. In particular, the impact of impressionable agents would be greater if these agents are hubs. More intriguingly, while impressionable individuals have randomly distributed initial opinions, most of them would finally evolve to moderates. We highlight the emergence of these “impressionable moderates” who are easily influenced, yet are important in public opinion competition, which may inspire efficient strategies in winning competitive campaigns.

Improving the Efficiency of Large-Scale Agent-Based Models Using Compression Techniques

2012 ◽  
pp. 301-326
Author(s):  
Mitchell Welch ◽  
Paul Kwan ◽  
A.S.M. Sajeev ◽  
Graeme Garner
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Agent Based Models ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
Livestock Disease ◽  
Interacting Agents ◽  
National Model ◽  
Complex Phenomena ◽  
Modelling System

Agent-based modelling is becoming a widely used approach for simulating complex phenomena. By making use of emergent behaviour, agent based models can simulate systems right down to the most minute interactions that affect a system’s behaviour. In order to capture the level of detail desired by users, many agent based models now contain hundreds of thousands and even millions of interacting agents. The scale of these models makes them computationally expensive to operate in terms of memory and CPU time, limiting their practicality and use. This chapter details the techniques for applying Dynamic Hierarchical Agent Compression to agent based modelling systems, with the aim of reducing the amount of memory and number of CPU cycles required to manage a set of agents within a model. The scheme outlined extracts the state data stored within a model’s agents and takes advantage of redundancy in this data to reduce the memory required to represent this information. The techniques show how a hierarchical data structure can be used to achieve compression of this data and the techniques for implementing this type of structure within an existing modelling system. The chapter includes a case study that outlines the practical considerations related to the application of this scheme to Australia’s National Model for Emerging Livestock Disease Threats that is currently being developed.

scholarly journals Improving the impact of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis implementation in small urban centers among men who have sex with men: An agent-based modelling study

PLoS ONE ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. e0199915 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason R. Gantenberg ◽  
Maximilian King ◽  
Madeline C. Montgomery ◽  
Omar Galárraga ◽  
Mattia Prosperi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Urban Centers ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
Sex With Men ◽  
Exposure Prophylaxis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Modelling Study

scholarly journals Assessing the Plurality of Actors and Policy Interactions: Agent-Based Modelling of Renewable Energy Market Integration

Complexity ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Deissenroth ◽  
Martin Klein ◽  
Kristina Nienhaus ◽  
Matthias Reeg
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Energy Market ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Policy Interactions ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
The Impact

The ongoing deployment of renewable energy sources (RES) calls for an enhanced integration of RES into energy markets, accompanied by a new set of regulations. In Germany, for instance, the feed-in tariff legislation for renewables has been successively replaced by first optional and then obligatory marketing of RES on competitive wholesale markets. This paper introduces an agent-based model that allows studying the impact of changing energy policy instruments on the economic performance of RES operators and marketers. The model structure, its components, and linkages are presented in detail; an additional case study demonstrates the capability of our sociotechnical model. We find that changes in the political framework cannot be mapped directly to RES operators as behaviour of intermediary market actors has to be considered as well. Characteristics and strategies of intermediaries are thus an important factor for successful RES marketing and further deployment. It is shown that the model is able to assess the emergence and stability of market niches.

scholarly journals Investigations of agent-based modelling for inpatient healthcare systems

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amirkiarash Kiani
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Care ◽  
Recovery Time ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Patient Acuity ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Research Plan ◽  
The Impact

The goal of this research was to investigate the possibility of using Agent-based Modelling, a novel approach in computerized simulation, to assess the effects of staff ratio on recovery time and to develop an empirical research plan based on an inpatient unit. By creating a virtual unit, the researcher was able to develop an adjustable model to test several scenarios based on empirical evidence; to comprehend the impact of changes to staff ratio and patient acuity on nurses’ workload and quality of care to patients. This investigation found that acuity indices of patients have no significant effect on available recovery time or the number of unperformed activities. On the contrary, nurse/patient ratio has substantial effects on both available recovery time and the number of unperformed activities; which asserts the significant effect of insufficient nurse staffing on the well-being of nurses as well as quality of care to patients.

scholarly journals TOWARDS AN ABM-BASED FRAMEWORK FOR INVESTIGATING CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR IN THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY

Ekonomika ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 89 (2) ◽  
pp. 95-110
Author(s):  
Aurelija Ulbinaitė ◽  
Yannick Le Moullec
Keyword(s):  
Consumer Behaviour ◽  
Insurance Industry ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Income Levels ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
Financial Products ◽  
Insurance Product ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Demographic Features

This paper presents a framework that builds upon agent-based modelling for investigating the behaviour of consumers in the insurance industry. Consumers are modelled as agents and clustered in groups reflecting their income levels. Agents that model consumers are characterised by their socio-demographic features and interact with other insurance consumer-agents by means of local and global social networks. Furthermore, the environment in which they evolve models the impact of external factors such as mortality, disease and other accident rates as well as insurance culture. This makes that consumer-agents accumulate experience, improve their understanding and knowledge of financial products, and thus develop their perception of need for security and consider the usefulness of insurance services. In turn, the framework enables to model the construction of the customers’ insurance product purchase decision.p>

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