A stochastic diffusion process based on the Lundqvist–Korf growth: Computational aspects and simulation

2021 ◽  
Vol 182 ◽  
pp. 25-38
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nafidi ◽  
Abdenbi El Azri
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 01-11
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nafidi ◽  
Oussama Rida ◽  
Boujemaa Achchab

A new stochastic diffusion process based on Generalized Brody curve is proposed. Such a process can be considered as an extension of the nonhomogeneous lognormal diffusion process. From the corresponding Itô’s stochastic differential equation (SDE), firstly we establish the probabilistic characteristics of the studied process, such as the solution to the SDE, the probability transition density function and their distribution, the moments function, in particular the conditional and non-conditional trend functions. Secondly, we treat the parameters estimation problem by using the maximum likelihood method in basis of the discrete sampling, thus we obtain nonlinear equations that can be solved by metaheuristic optimization algorithms such as simulated annealing and variable search neighborhood. Finally, we perform a simulation studies and we apply the model to the data of life expectancy at birth in Morocco.


Energy ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 133 ◽  
pp. 455-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Istoni Luz-Sant’Ana ◽  
Patricia Román-Román ◽  
Francisco Torres-Ruiz

2006 ◽  
Vol 183 (2) ◽  
pp. 738-747 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Gutiérrez ◽  
R. Gutiérrez-Sánchez ◽  
A. Nafidi ◽  
E. Ramos

2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-71
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nafidi ◽  
Oussama Rida ◽  
Meriem Bahij ◽  
Boujemaa Achchab

2019 ◽  
Vol 348 ◽  
pp. 575-587 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Nafidi ◽  
M. Bahij ◽  
B. Achchab ◽  
R. Gutiérrez-Sanchez

2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Lahmann ◽  
Sven Arnold ◽  
Philipp Gmehling

AbstractIn this paper we develop a model to value debt related tax savings and associated yield rates for debt in a setting where future cash flows are uncertain and follow a stochastic diffusion process. By explicitly modeling a default trigger we find that tax shield values in standard Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation formulas are too high as they do not correctly incorporate the risk of default. Furthermore, we are able to endogenously derive risk-adjusted yield rates, while keeping the overall simple and tractable structure of the DCF approach.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nafidi ◽  
Abdenbi El azri ◽  
Ramón Gutiérrez Sanchez

Abstract The main goal of this paper is to study the possibility of using a stochastic non-homogeneous (without exogenous factors) diffusion process to model the evolution of CO2 emissions in Morocco and concretely using a new process, in which the trend function is proportional to the modified Lundqvist-Korf growth curve. First, the main characteristics of the process are studied, then we establish a computational statistical methodology based on the maximum likelihood estimation method and the trend functions. When we are estimating the parameters of the process, a non-linear equation is obtained and the simulated annealing method is proposed to solve it after bounding the parametric space by a stagewise procedure. Also, to validate this methodology, we include the results obtained from several examples of simulation. Finally, the process and the methodology established are applied to real data corresponding to the evolution of CO2 emissions in Morocco.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 25-30
Author(s):  
Kateryna Boluh ◽  
Natalija Shchestyuk

The paper focuses on modelling, simulation techniques and numerical methods concerned stochastic processes in subject such as financial mathematics and financial engineering. The main result of this work is simulation of a stochastic process with new market active time using Monte Carlo techniques.The processes with market time is a new vision of how stock price behavior can be modeled so that the nature of the process is more real. The iterative scheme for computer modelling of this process was proposed.It includes the modeling of diffusion processes with a given marginal inverse gamma distribution. Graphs of simulation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck random walk for different parameters, a simulation of the diffusion process with a gamma-inverse distribution and simulation of the process with market active time are presented.To simulate stochastic processes, an iterative scheme was used: xk+1 = xk + a(xk, tk) ∆t + b(xk, tk) √ (∆t) εk,, where εk each time a new generation with a normal random number distribution.Next, the tools of programming languages for generating random numbers (evenly distributed, normally distributed) are investigated. Simulation (simulation) of stochastic diffusion processes is carried out; calculation errors and acceleration of convergence are calculated, Euler and Milstein schemes. At the next stage, diffusion processes with a given distribution function, namely with an inverse gamma distribution, were modelled. The final stage was the modelling of stock prices with a new "market" time, the growth of which is a diffusion process with inverse gamma distribution. In the proposed iterative scheme of stock prices, we use the modelling of market time gains as diffusion processes with a given marginal gamma-inverse distribution.The errors of calculations are evaluated using the Milstein scheme. The programmed model can be used to predict future values of time series and for option pricing.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document