scholarly journals The Impact of Default on Tax Shield Valuation

2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Lahmann ◽  
Sven Arnold ◽  
Philipp Gmehling
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Process ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Stochastic Diffusion ◽  
Tax Shield ◽  
Tax Savings ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Future Cash Flows

AbstractIn this paper we develop a model to value debt related tax savings and associated yield rates for debt in a setting where future cash flows are uncertain and follow a stochastic diffusion process. By explicitly modeling a default trigger we find that tax shield values in standard Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation formulas are too high as they do not correctly incorporate the risk of default. Furthermore, we are able to endogenously derive risk-adjusted yield rates, while keeping the overall simple and tractable structure of the DCF approach.

How the Equity Terminal Value Influences the Value of the Firm?

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alfonso A. Rojo-Ramírez ◽  
Maria J. Martínez-Romero ◽  
Teresa Mariño-Garrido
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Intrinsic Value ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Common Stock ◽  
Present Value ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Valuation Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Future Cash Flows

AbstractThe discounted cash flow model (DCFM) views the intrinsic value of common stock as the present value of its expected future cash flows. This paper analyses whether the equity terminal value (EqTV) of the firm calculated by fundamentals is appreciated by the market. It also studies the impact of variations in EqTV and the extent to which the market perceives these variations. Using a sample of 62 Spanish listed companies, this paper shows that EqTV and its variations are positively and significantly correlated with EqTV assigned by the market and its corresponding variations. It therefore corroborates the validity and relevance of the valuation model.

Getting the valuation formulas right when it comes to annuities

2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Denis Mike Becker
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Direct Calculation ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Content Type ◽  
First Order ◽  
Tax Shield ◽  
Complete Set ◽  
Adjusted Present Value

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to establish the flow-to-equity method, the free cash flow (FCF) method, the adjusted present value method and the relationships between these methods when the FCF appears as an annuity. More specifically, we depart from the two most widely used evaluation settings. The first setting is that of Modigliani and Miller who based their analysis on a stationary FCF. The second setting is that of Miles and Ezzell who worked with an FCF that represents an autoregressive possess of first order.Design/methodology/approachInspired by recent observations in the literature concerning cash flows, discount rates and values in discounted cash flow (DCF) methods, we mathematically derive DCF valuation formulas for annuities.FindingsThe following relationships are established: (a) the correct discount rate of the tax shield when the free cash flow takes the form of a first-order autoregressive annuity, (b) the direct valuation of the tax shield from the free cash flow for a first-order autoregressive annuity, (c) the correct translation from the required return on unlevered equity to the levered equity, when the free cash flow is a stationary annuity and (d) direct calculation of the unlevered and levered firm values and the value of the tax shield for a stationary annuity.Originality/valueUntil now the complete set of formulas for the valuation of stochastic annuities by different DCF methods has not been established in the literature. These formulas are developed here. These formulas are important for practitioners and academics when it comes to the valuation of cash flows of finite lifetime.

Reconsidering the Prudential Filter for the Cash Flow Hedge Reserve in View of the Purpose of Banking Regulation

2021 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 265-299
Author(s):  
Alois Paul Knobloch ◽  
Felix Krauß
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Banking Regulation ◽  
Fair Value ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Tier 1 ◽  
Value Changes ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Future Cash Flows ◽  
Tier 1 Capital

Common Equity Tier 1 capital of credit institutions is adjusted by the prudential filter for the cash flow hedge reserve according to art. 33(1)(a) CRR. Thereby, fair value changes of hedging instruments, especially of derivatives, are neutralized by imputed fair value changes of future cash flows that are part of a cash flow hedge. However, these future cash flows are (mostly) expected to occur under market conditions and, thus, imputed fair value changes are not reflected in changes of present values derived from real transactions that exist at the time of the regulatory capital calculation. As a result, positive effects on Common Equity Tier 1 capital can be viewed critically in regard to the prudence principle of banking supervision if an initial reduction in Common Equity Tier 1 capital due to losses from hedging instruments is corrected. Furthermore, the adjustment is case specific and depends on the hedge effectiveness, which is questionable because of consistency reasons. To solve these weaknesses, we suggest to eliminate the prudential filter for the cash flow hedge reserve as a whole. This would lead to a better quality of Common Equity Tier 1 capital by improving its loss absorbency and as a side effect to a reduction in complexity enhancing supervision through regulatory authorities and market discipline. Furthermore, we demonstrate the impact that the proposed abolishment of the prudential filter for the cash flow hedge reserve would have on the Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratios of the largest European banks in 2014–2019

scholarly journals "What If" Analyses in Investment Decision Making

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 5-16
Author(s):  
Katarína Belanová
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Net Present Value ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Present Value ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Basic Approach ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Future Cash Flows

In general, each project`s value is estimated using a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, and the opportunity with the highest value, as measured by the resultant net present value (NPV) will be selected. The problem with such NPV estimates is that they depend on projected future cash flows. If there are errors in those projections, then estimated net present values can be misleading (a forecasting risk). Basic approach to evaluating cash flow and NPV estimates involves asking “what – if” questions. Accordingly, the paper discusses some organized way s of going about a what – if analysis. Its goal in doing so is to assess the degree of forecasting risk and to identify those elements that are the most critical to the success or failure of an investment. However, as we show in examples, as well as in the practical study, though what – if analysis really allows us to obtain the certain idea of degree of forecasting risk, it does not tell us what to do about the possible errors.

scholarly journals KEMAMPUAN LABA UNTUK MEMBERIKAN INFORMASI LABA PERIODE MENDATANG DAN ARUS KAS OPERASI PERIODE MENDATANG SELAMA PERIODE KONVERGENSI IFRS DI INDONESIA

CALYPTRA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 196
Author(s):  
Sheila Irawan ◽  
Yie Ke Feliana
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Full Disclosure ◽  
Future Earnings ◽  
Future Cash Flow ◽  
Business Entities ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Future Cash Flows

Abstrak - Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat dampak adopsi IFRS secara bertahap khususnya dalam kemampuan earnings periode ini untuk memberikan informasi future earnings dan future cash flows from operations selama periode konvergensi IFRS di Indonesia dengan membandingkan kemampuan earnings untuk memprediksi future earnings dan future cash flows from operations tiap periode. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan secara kuantitatif dengan badan usaha yang terdaftar di BEI selama periode 2010-2013 sebagai objek penelitian. Jumlah sampel yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah 420 badan usaha. Temuan penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tidak ada peningkatan hubungan antara earnings periode berjalan dengan future earnings, namun ada peningkatan hubungan antara earnings periode berjalan dengan future cash flows from operations. Hal ini terjadi karena adopsi IFRS menuntut perusahaan untuk lebih transparan dengan adanya full disclosure, sehingga net income kurang dapat dimanipulasi mengakibatkan earnings yang terjadi periode ini belum tentu berulang di periode selanjutnya yang menyebabkan menurunnya kemampuan untuk memprediksi future earnings, namun meningkatkan kemampuan untuk memprediksi future cash flows from operations karena laba yang terjadi periode tersebut berhubungan erat dengan arus kas dari aktivitas operasional di periode selanjutnya. Kata kunci : Current Earnings, Future Earnings, dan Future Cash Flows from Operations  Abstract – This study aims to look at the impact of the adoption of IFRS gradually, especially the ability of current earnings to provide information about future earnings and future cash flows from operations during the period IFRS convergence in Indonesia by comparing the ability of earnings to predict future earnings and future cash flows from operations of each period. This study uses a quantitative approach to all of the business entity listed on the Stock Exchange during the period 2010-2013 as the research object. The samples used in this study were 420 business entities. The study's findings that there is no increasing relationship between the current earnings and future earnings, but there is an increasing relationship between current earnings and future cash flows from operations. This happens because of the adoption of IFRS requires companies to be more transparent with their full disclosure, so net income is less manipulated, it makes earnings that occurred this period may not be repeated in the next period which led to a decreased ability to predict future earnings, but improving the ability of current earanings to predict future cash flows from operations because current earnings are more closely related to future cash flow from operating activities. Keywords : Current Earnings, Future Earnings, and Future Cash Flows from Operations

scholarly journals Study on Companies from the Energy Sector from the Perspective of Performance through the Operating Cash Flow

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3667
Author(s):  
Claudia Diana Sabău-Popa ◽  
Luminița Rus ◽  
Dana Simona Gherai ◽  
Codruța Mare ◽  
Ioan Gheorghe Țara
Keyword(s):  
Labor Productivity ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Average Duration ◽  
Significant Negative Correlation ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Or Management ◽  
Operating Cash Flow ◽  
The Impact

In this paper we analyzed the link between companies’ performance, in terms of cash and income, and the labor productivity or management rates, in case of the companies from the energy sector listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. We focused on the energy sector because of the impact that its expansion has on the evolution of economies around the world and because of its dynamics in the sense of gradually shifting to the use of energy from renewable sources. We have used panel regression models to analyze the operating cash flow and the profitability rates and the determination of a causal or dependency relationship with labor productivity or management rates. The results of this study show a significant negative correlation between operating cash flows and the average duration of stock rotation, and no correlation between productivity and the operating cash flow. Instead, the average duration of stock turnover does not at all influence the profitability rates, and productivity is always significant for the return on assets, ie forthe return on equitywith a positive coefficient, as expected. The gap between the average duration of payment of suppliers and the average duration of receivables does not significantly influence neither the cash flow nor the rates of return.

scholarly journals Financial optimisation of the scheduling for the multi-stage project

2017 ◽  
Vol 65 (6) ◽  
pp. 899-908
Author(s):  
M. Klimek ◽  
P. Łebkowski
Keyword(s):  
Simulated Annealing ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Project Scheduling ◽  
Simulated Annealing Algorithm ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Standard Test ◽  
Resource Constrained ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Multi Stage ◽  
Annealing Algorithm

AbstractThe paper analyses the problem of discounted cash flow maximising for the resource-constrained project scheduling from the project contractor’s perspective. Financial optimisation for the multi-stage project is considered. Cash outflows are the contactor’s expenses related to activity execution. Cash inflows are the client’s payments for the completed milestones. To solve the problem, the procedure of backward scheduling taking into account contractual milestones is proposed. The effectiveness of this procedure, as used to generate solutions for the simulated annealing algorithm, is verified with use of standard test instances with additionally defined cash flows and contractual milestones.

scholarly journals Kemampuan Laba dan Arus Kas Operasi dalam Memprediksi Laba dan Arus Kas Masa Depan

2018 ◽  
pp. 80
Author(s):  
Frans AP Dromexs Lumbantoruan ◽  
I Gusti Ngurah Agung Suaryana
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Flow Property ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Future Earnings ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Operating Cash Flow ◽  
Future Cash Flows

This study aims to determine the ability of earnings and operating cash flows in predicting earnings and future cash flows. This research was conducted on property and real estate companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The samples used by 20 companies with 40 observations. The sampling was done by nonprobability samplingmethod with purposive samplingtechnique. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression analysis. Based on the result of the analysis, earnings influences in predicting future earnings. Likewise, earnings and operating cash flow have an effect in predicting future cash flows. However, operating cash flow is not influential in predicting future earnings. Keywords: profitability, cash flow, property

scholarly journals ARUS KAS, CASH HOLDING, KENDALA PENDANAAN DAN INVESTASI DI INDONESIA

AdBispreneur ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 169
Author(s):  
Risal Rinofah
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Financial Constraints ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
Investment Level ◽  
Show Evidence ◽  
The Impact ◽  
A Company ◽  
Positive Effect

ABSTRACTThis study aims to detect Cash Flow, Cash Holding and Financial Constraints effect on investment decisions of companies in Indonesia. Some of the previous studies outside Indonesia show evidence of the impact of cash flows and financial constraints on it’s investment level.Using Multiple Regression and Logistic Regression model, on five years data observation shows that cash flow and cash holding have a positive effect on investment level. Interaction test shows the effect of cash flow on investment in financially constrained different from financially unconstrained companies. In other words, the average rate of investment changes caused by the level of cash flow is the same for both companies. While the effect of cash holding on investment, no different in the company that financially constraint and financially unconstraint company.The contribution of this research is to provide insight to the parties related to the importance of cash flow and cash holding to the investment of a company. Based on the results it can be concluded that companies that have cash flow and high cash holding have greater investment opportunities, especially in companies that have problems in finding sources of funding.   ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeteksi pengaruh Arus Kas, Cash Holding dan Kendala Finansial terhadap keputusan investasi perusahaan di Indonesia. Beberapa penelitian sebelumnya di luar Indonesia menunjukkan bukti ada pengaruh Arus Kas dan Kendala Keuangan pada tingkat investasi.Dengan menggunakan model Regresi Berganda dan Regresi Logistik, pada pengamatan data selama lima tahun menunjukkan bahwa Arus Kas dan Cash Holding berpengaruh positif terhadap tingkat investasi. Uji interaksi menunjukkan pengaruh Arus Kas terhadap investasi pada perusahaan yang mengalami kendala pendanaan berbeda dengan perusahaan yang tidak mengalami kendala pendanaan. Dengan kata lain, tingkat rata-rata perubahan investasi yang disebabkan oleh tingkat arus kas adalah sama untuk kedua perusahaan. Sedangkan pengaruh Cash Holding terhadap investasi, tidak berbeda pada perusahaan yang mengalami kendala pendanaan maupun tidak.Kontribusi dari penelitian ini adalah untuk memberikan wawasan kepada pihak-pihak yang terkait dengan pentingnya arus kas dan Cash Holding untuk investasi perusahaan. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut dapat disimpulkan bahwa perusahaan yang memiliki Arus Kas dan Cash Holding yang tinggi memiliki peluang investasi yang lebih besar, terutama pada perusahaan yang memiliki masalah dalam mencari sumber pendanaan. 

scholarly journals The Influence of Future Cash Flow Predictions on Profits in Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
pp. 026-033
Author(s):  
Titik Purwanti
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Future Cash Flow ◽  
Operating Profit ◽  
Food And Beverage ◽  
Future Cash Flows

This research was conducted to determine the effect of future cash flow predictions on profits (gross profit, operating profit, and net income) in food and beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The method used in this research used purposive sampling with a population of food and beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The samples in this research were 19 companies. The results obtained indicate that the operating profit variable has a partial effect on future cash flows, while the net income variable and the gross profit variable do not partially affect future cash flows. Simultaneously, gross profit, operating profit and net income have an effect on future cash flows.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document