scholarly journals The Stochastic Modified Lundqvist-Korf Diffusion Process: Statistical and Computational Aspects and Application to Modeling of the CO2 Emission in Morocco

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nafidi ◽  
Abdenbi El azri ◽  
Ramón Gutiérrez Sanchez
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Process ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Trend Function ◽  
Non Linear Equation ◽  
New Process ◽  
Computational Aspects ◽  
Exogenous Factors ◽  
Trend Functions

Abstract The main goal of this paper is to study the possibility of using a stochastic non-homogeneous (without exogenous factors) diffusion process to model the evolution of CO2 emissions in Morocco and concretely using a new process, in which the trend function is proportional to the modified Lundqvist-Korf growth curve. First, the main characteristics of the process are studied, then we establish a computational statistical methodology based on the maximum likelihood estimation method and the trend functions. When we are estimating the parameters of the process, a non-linear equation is obtained and the simulated annealing method is proposed to solve it after bounding the parametric space by a stagewise procedure. Also, to validate this methodology, we include the results obtained from several examples of simulation. Finally, the process and the methodology established are applied to real data corresponding to the evolution of CO2 emissions in Morocco.

scholarly journals A Stochastic Lomax Diffusion Process: Statistical Inference and Application

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 100
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nafidi ◽  
Ilyasse Makroz ◽  
Ramón Gutiérrez Sánchez
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Process ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Transition Probability ◽  
Transition Probability Density ◽  
Trend Function ◽  
Non Linear Equation ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Adolescent Fertility ◽  
Trend Functions ◽  
Annealing Method

In this paper, we discuss a new stochastic diffusion process in which the trend function is proportional to the Lomax density function. This distribution arises naturally in the studies of the frequency of extremely rare events. We first consider the probabilistic characteristics of the proposed model, including its analytic expression as the unique solution to a stochastic differential equation, the transition probability density function together with the conditional and unconditional trend functions. Then, we present a method to address the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood with discrete sampling. This estimation requires the solution of a non-linear equation, which is achieved via the simulated annealing method. Finally, we apply the proposed model to a real-world example concerning adolescent fertility rate in Morocco.

scholarly journals The Weibull Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution And Its Applications

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-81
Author(s):  
Lazhar BENKHELIFA
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Reliability Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Modeling Data

A new lifetime model, with four positive parameters, called the Weibull Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is proposed. The proposed model extends the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution and provides great flexibility in modeling data in practice. Some mathematical properties of the new distribution are obtained including expansions for the cumulative and density functions, moments, generating function, mean deviations, order statistics and reliability. Estimation of the model parameters is carried out by the maximum likelihood estimation method. A simulation study is presented to show the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters. The flexibility of the new model is examined by applying it to two real data sets.

scholarly journals The Weibull Generalized Exponential Distribution with Censored Sample: Estimation and Application on Real Data

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Hisham M. Almongy ◽  
Ehab M. Almetwally ◽  
Randa Alharbi ◽  
Dalia Alnagar ◽  
E. H. Hafez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Interval Estimation ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Mcmc Methods ◽  
Generalized Exponential Distribution ◽  
Censored Sample ◽  
Sample Maximum

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the Weibull generalized exponential distribution (WGED) parameters based on the adaptive Type-II progressive (ATIIP) censored sample. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), maximum product spacing (MPS), and Bayesian estimation based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been determined to find the best estimation method. The Monte Carlo simulation is used to compare the three methods of estimation based on the ATIIP-censored sample, and also, we made a bootstrap confidence interval estimation. We will analyze data related to the distribution about single carbon fiber and electrical data as real data cases to show how the schemes work in practice.

scholarly journals Stochastic Diffusion Process Based on Generalized Brody Curve: Application to Real Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 01-11
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nafidi ◽  
Oussama Rida ◽  
Boujemaa Achchab
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Process ◽  
Transition Density ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Parameters Estimation ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Stochastic Diffusion ◽  
Life Expectancy At Birth ◽  
Transition Density Function ◽  
Lognormal Diffusion Process ◽  
Trend Functions

A new stochastic diffusion process based on Generalized Brody curve is proposed. Such a process can be considered as an extension of the nonhomogeneous lognormal diffusion process. From the corresponding Itô’s stochastic differential equation (SDE), firstly we establish the probabilistic characteristics of the studied process, such as the solution to the SDE, the probability transition density function and their distribution, the moments function, in particular the conditional and non-conditional trend functions. Secondly, we treat the parameters estimation problem by using the maximum likelihood method in basis of the discrete sampling, thus we obtain nonlinear equations that can be solved by metaheuristic optimization algorithms such as simulated annealing and variable search neighborhood. Finally, we perform a simulation studies and we apply the model to the data of life expectancy at birth in Morocco.

scholarly journals The Modified Kumaraswamy Weibull Distribution: Properties and Applications in Reliability and Engineering Sciences

2020 ◽  
pp. 433-446
Author(s):  
M. E. Mead ◽  
Ahmed Afify ◽  
Nadeem Shafique Butt
Keyword(s):  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Information Matrix ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Hazard Rates ◽  
Alpha Power ◽  
Mathematical Properties ◽  
Engineering Sciences ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method

We introduce the Kumaraswamy alpha power-G (KAP-G) family which extends the alpha power family (Mahdavi and Kundu, 2017) and some other families. We consider the Weibull as baseline for the KAP family and generate Kumaraswamy alpha power Weibull distribution which has right-skewed, left-skewed, symmetrical, and reversed-J shaped densities, and decreasing, increasing, bathtub, upside-down bathtub, increasing-decreasing–increasing, J shaped and reversed-J shaped hazard rates. The proposed distribution can model non-monotone  and monotone failure rates which are quite common in engineering and reliability studies. Some basic mathematical properties of the new model are derived. The maximum likelihood estimation method is used to evaluate the parameters and the observed information matrix is determined. The performance and flexibility of the proposed family is illustrated via two real data applications.

scholarly journals Using Iterative Reweighting Algorithm and Genetic Algorithm to Calculate The Estimation of The Parameters Of The Maximum Likelihood of The Skew Normal Distribution

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (127) ◽  
pp. 253-264
Author(s):  
مرتضى علاء الخفاجي ◽  
رباب عبد الرضا البكري
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Normal Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Skew Normal Distribution ◽  
Iterative Reweighting ◽  
Non Linear Equation ◽  
Skew Normal

Excessive skewness which occurs sometimes in the data is represented as an obstacle against normal distribution. So, recent studies have witnessed activity in studying the skew-normal distribution (SND) that matches the skewness data which is regarded as a special case of the normal distribution with additional skewness parameter (α), which gives more flexibility to the normal distribution. When estimating the parameters of (SND), we face the problem of the non-linear equation and by using the method of Maximum Likelihood estimation (ML) their solutions will be inaccurate and unreliable. To solve this problem, two methods can be used that are: the genetic algorithm (GA) and the iterative reweighting algorithm (IR) based on the Maximum Likelihood method. Monte Carlo simulation was used with different skewness levels and sample sizes, and the superiority of the results was compared. It was concluded that (SND) model estimation using (GA) is the best when the samples sizes are small and medium, while large samples indicate that the (IR) algorithm is the best. The study was also done using real data to find the parameter estimation and a comparison between the superiority of the results based on (AIC, BIC, Mse and Def) criteria.

scholarly journals On Properties of the Bimodal Skew-Normal Distribution and an Application

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 703
Author(s):  
David Elal-Olivero ◽  
Juan F. Olivares-Pacheco ◽  
Osvaldo Venegas ◽  
Heleno Bolfarine ◽  
Héctor W. Gómez
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Normal Distribution ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Skew Normal Distribution ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Normal Distributions ◽  
Stochastic Representations ◽  
Skew Normal

The main object of this paper is to develop an alternative construction for the bimodal skew-normal distribution. The construction is based upon a study of the mixture of skew-normal distributions. We study some basic properties of this family, its stochastic representations and expressions for its moments. Parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation method. A simulation study is carried out to observe the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators. Finally, we compare the efficiency of the new distribution with other distributions in the literature using a real data set. The study shows that the proposed approach presents satisfactory results.

scholarly journals Odd Lindley-Lomax Model: Statistical Properties and Applications

1970 ◽  
pp. 419-430
Author(s):  
M. Masoom Ali ◽  
Mustafa Ç. Korkmaz ◽  
Haitham M. Yousof ◽  
Nadeem Shafique Butt
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Good Alternative ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Lifetime Data ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Computational Aspects ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method ◽  
Better Than

 In this work, we focus on some new theoretical and computational aspects of the Odd Lindley-Lomax model. The maximum likelihood estimation method is used to estimate the model parameters. We show empirically the importance and flexibility of the new model in modeling two types of aircraft windshield lifetime data. This model is much better than exponentiated Lomax, gamma Lomax, beta Lomax and Lomax models so the Odd Lindley-Lomax lifetime model is a good alternative to these models in modeling aircraft windshield data. A Monte Carlo simulation study is used to assess the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators. 

Negative binomial improved second degree lindley distribution and its application

2020 ◽  
pp. 569-581
Author(s):  
R. Ashly ◽  
C. S. Rajitha
Keyword(s):  
Negative Binomial Distribution ◽  
Binomial Distribution ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Factorial Moments ◽  
Lindley Distribution ◽  
Second Degree

The objective of this paper is to introduce a new two parameter mixed negative binomial distribution, namely negative binomial-improved second degree Lindley(NB-ISL) distribution. This distribution is obtained by mixing the negative binomial distribution with the improved second degree Lindley distribution. Many mixed distributions have been used in the literature for modeling the over dispersed count data, which provide a better fit compared to the Poisson and negative binomial distribution. In addition, we present the basic statistical properties of the new distribution such as factorial moments, mean and variance and the behavior of mean, variance and coefficient of variation are also discussed. Parameter estimation is implemented by using maximum likelihood estimation method. The performance of the NB-ISL distribution is shown in practice by applying it on real data set and compare it with some well-known count distributions. The result shows that the negative binomial-improved second degree Lindley distribution provides a better fit compared to Poisson, negative binomial and negative binomial-Lindley distributions.

Signatures Extraction of Ship Radiated Noise Based on Passive Sonar

2014 ◽  
Vol 568-570 ◽  
pp. 233-237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Ji Wang ◽  
Ri Jie Yang ◽  
Jian Hui Han
Keyword(s):  
Feature Extraction ◽  
Shallow Water ◽  
Kalman Filtering ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Underwater Noise ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Radiated Noise ◽  
Extraction Algorithm

By combining likelihood estimation method and Kalman filtering tracking approach, feature extraction algorithm was developed in this paper to extract the harmonic feature from the underwater noise radiated by different kinds of ships. The ability of harmonic features extrication algorithm is demonstrated by simulation and real shallow water data set comprised of a number of ships. The processing results of real data set also show that he harmonics of different kinds of ships can be used to separate from each other.

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