scholarly journals Systematic comparison of high-resolution electricity system modeling approaches focusing on investment, dispatch and generation adequacy

2022 ◽  
Vol 153 ◽  
pp. 111785
Author(s):  
S. Misconel ◽  
R. Leisen ◽  
J. Mikurda ◽  
F. Zimmermann ◽  
C. Fraunholz ◽  
...  
Energy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 143 ◽  
pp. 934-942 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philipp Henckes ◽  
Andreas Knaut ◽  
Frank Obermüller ◽  
Christopher Frank

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 7223-7254
Author(s):  
Mary M. F. O'Neill ◽  
Danielle T. Tijerina ◽  
Laura E. Condon ◽  
Reed M. Maxwell

Abstract. Recent advancements in computational efficiency and Earth system modeling have awarded hydrologists with increasingly high-resolution models of terrestrial hydrology, which are paramount to understanding and predicting complex fluxes of moisture and energy. Continental-scale hydrologic simulations are, in particular, of interest to the hydrologic community for numerous societal, scientific, and operational benefits. The coupled hydrology–land surface model ParFlow–CLM configured over the continental United States (PFCONUS) has been employed in previous literature to study scale-dependent connections between water table depth, topography, recharge, and evapotranspiration, as well as to explore impacts of anthropogenic aquifer depletion to the water and energy balance. These studies have allowed for an unprecedented process-based understanding of the continental water cycle at high resolution. Here, we provide the most comprehensive evaluation of PFCONUS version 1.0 (PFCONUSv1) performance to date by comparing numerous modeled water balance components with thousands of in situ observations and several remote sensing products and using a range of statistical performance metrics for evaluation. PFCONUSv1 comparisons with these datasets are a promising indicator of model fidelity and ability to reproduce the continental-scale water balance at high resolution. Areas for improvement are identified, such as a positive streamflow bias at gauges in the eastern Great Plains, a shallow water table bias over many areas of the model domain, and low bias in seasonal total water storage amplitude, especially for the Ohio, Missouri, and Arkansas River basins. We discuss several potential sources for model bias and suggest that minimizing error in topographic processing and meteorological forcing would considerably improve model performance. Results here provide a benchmark and guidance for further PFCONUS model development, and they highlight the importance of concurrently evaluating all hydrologic components and fluxes to provide a multivariate, holistic validation of the complete modeled water balance.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 207-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hylke E. Beck ◽  
Ming Pan ◽  
Tirthankar Roy ◽  
Graham P. Weedon ◽  
Florian Pappenberger ◽  
...  

Abstract. New precipitation (P) datasets are released regularly, following innovations in weather forecasting models, satellite retrieval methods, and multi-source merging techniques. Using the conterminous US as a case study, we evaluated the performance of 26 gridded (sub-)daily P datasets to obtain insight into the merit of these innovations. The evaluation was performed at a daily timescale for the period 2008–2017 using the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE), a performance metric combining correlation, bias, and variability. As a reference, we used the high-resolution (4 km) Stage-IV gauge-radar P dataset. Among the three KGE components, the P datasets performed worst overall in terms of correlation (related to event identification). In terms of improving KGE scores for these datasets, improved P totals (affecting the bias score) and improved distribution of P intensity (affecting the variability score) are of secondary importance. Among the 11 gauge-corrected P datasets, the best overall performance was obtained by MSWEP V2.2, underscoring the importance of applying daily gauge corrections and accounting for gauge reporting times. Several uncorrected P datasets outperformed gauge-corrected ones. Among the 15 uncorrected P datasets, the best performance was obtained by the ERA5-HRES fourth-generation reanalysis, reflecting the significant advances in earth system modeling during the last decade. The (re)analyses generally performed better in winter than in summer, while the opposite was the case for the satellite-based datasets. IMERGHH V05 performed substantially better than TMPA-3B42RT V7, attributable to the many improvements implemented in the IMERG satellite P retrieval algorithm. IMERGHH V05 outperformed ERA5-HRES in regions dominated by convective storms, while the opposite was observed in regions of complex terrain. The ERA5-EDA ensemble average exhibited higher correlations than the ERA5-HRES deterministic run, highlighting the value of ensemble modeling. The WRF regional convection-permitting climate model showed considerably more accurate P totals over the mountainous west and performed best among the uncorrected datasets in terms of variability, suggesting there is merit in using high-resolution models to obtain climatological P statistics. Our findings provide some guidance to choose the most suitable P dataset for a particular application.


2022 ◽  
Vol 306 ◽  
pp. 117996
Author(s):  
Mingquan Li ◽  
Edgar Virguez ◽  
Rui Shan ◽  
Jialin Tian ◽  
Shuo Gao ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 108 (2) ◽  
pp. 472a
Author(s):  
Alejandro Jesús Canosa-Valls ◽  
Erney Ramírez-Aportela ◽  
Pablo Chacón ◽  
José R. López-Blanco

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mary M. F. O'Neill ◽  
Danielle T. Tijerina ◽  
Laura E. Condon ◽  
Reed M. Maxwell

Abstract. Recent advancements in computational efficiency and earth system modeling have awarded hydrologists with increasingly high-resolution models of terrestrial hydrology, which are paramount to understanding and predicting complex fluxes of moisture and energy. Continental-scale hydrologic simulations are, in particular, of interest to the hydrologic community for numerous societal, scientific and operational benefits. The coupled hydrology-land surface model ParFlow-CLM configured over the continental United States (PFCONUS) has been employed in previous literature to study scale-dependent connections between water table depth, topography, recharge, and evapotranspiration, as well as to explore impacts of anthropogenic aquifer depletion to the water and energy balance. These studies have allowed for an unprecedented, process-based understanding of the continental water cycle at high resolution. Here, we provide the most comprehensive evaluation of PFCONUS version 1.0 (PFCONUSv1) performance to date, comparing numerous modeled water balance components with thousands of in situ observations and several remote sensing products, and using a range of statistical performance metrics for evaluation. PFCONUSv1 comparisons with these datasets are a promising indicator of model fidelity and ability to appropriately reproduce the continental-scale water balance at high resolution. Areas for improvement are identified, such as a positive streamflow bias at gauges in the eastern Great Plains, a shallow water table bias over many areas of the model domain, and low bias in seasonal total water storage amplitude especially for the Ohio, Missouri and Arkansas river basins. We discuss several potential sources for model bias and suggest that minimizing error in topographic processing and meteorological forcing would considerably improve model performance. Results here provide a benchmark and guidance for further PFCONUS model development, and they highlight the importance of concurrently evaluating all hydrologic components and fluxes to provide a multivariate, holistic validation of the complete modeled water balance.


Epigenetics ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. 772-780 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rainer Claus ◽  
Stefan Wilop ◽  
Thomas Hielscher ◽  
Miriam Sonnet ◽  
Edgar Dahl ◽  
...  

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