scholarly journals The Relationship between Optimal Size of Government and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey, Romania and Bulgaria

2013 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 66-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Faruk Altunc ◽  
Celil Aydın
Author(s):  
Hoang Khac Lich ◽  
Duong Cam Tu

Many researchers believe that government expenditures promote economic growth at the first development stage. However, as public expenditure becomes too large, countries will suffer a huge tax burden and tax distortions. This suggests an optimal public expenditure at which economic growth rate is the highest. However, the optimal point would differ across countries because of differences in economic structure. In this present paper, the optimal public expenditure in the developing countries is analyzed. Based on descriptive statistics and regression analysis of 30 developing countries in the period 2004-2013, the findings of this paper are threefold: (i) public expenditure increases along with development level of countries; (ii) the optimal public expenditure is at 19. 375% of GDP; (iii) economic growth has a positive relationship with both investment and labor force, and a negative relationship with urbanization. Keywords Public expenditure; Economic growth; Fiscal policy; Government size References [1] U.F. Akpan, D.E. Abang, “Does government spending spur economic growth? Evidence from Nigeria”, Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development. 4(9) (2013) 36-52. [2] E. Abounoori, Y. Nademi, Government Size Threshold and Economic Growth in Iran (No. 259600001). EcoMod. [3] O.F. Altunc, C. AydÕn, “The Relationship between Optimal Size of Government and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey, Romania and Bulgaria”, Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences. 92 (2013) 66-75.[4] H. Aly, M. Strazicich, “Is Government Size Optimal in the Gulf Countries of the Middle East? An empirical investigation”, International Review of Applied Economics. 14 (2000) Số trang.[5] S. Asimakopoulos, Y. Karavias, “The impact of government size on economic growth: A threshold analysis”, Economics Letters, S0165-1765(15) (2015) 00519-4. [6] R.J. Barro, Government spending in a simple model of endogeneous growth, Journal of political economy. 98 (5, Part 2) (1990) S103-S125. [7] IMF, “Public expenditure reform: Making difficult choices”, chapter 2, 2014.[8] P.V. İyidoğan, T. Turan, Government Size and Economic Growth in Turkey: A Threshold Regression Analysis, Prague Economic Papers, 26 (2) (2017) 142-154. [9] G. Karras, On the optimal government size in Europe: theory and empirical evidence, The Manchester School. 65(3) (1997) 280-294. [10] D.C. Mueller, Public choice: an introduction, In The encyclopedia of public choice, Springer, Boston, MA, 2004, pp. 32-48. [11] P. Pevcin, Does optimal size of government spending exist?, University of Ljubljana. 10 (2004) 101-135. [12] R. Ram, Government size and economic growth: A new framework and some evidence from cross-section and time-series data, The American Economic Review. 76(1) (1986) 191-203. [13] U.F. Akpan, D.E. Abang, “Does government spending spur economic growth? Evidence from Nigeria”, Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development. 4(9) (2013) 36-52. [14] E. Abounoori, Y. Nademi, Government Size Threshold and Economic Growth in Iran (No. 259600001). EcoMod. [15] O.F. Altunc, C. AydÕn, “The Relationship between Optimal Size of Government and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey, Romania and Bulgaria”, Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences. 92 (2013) 66-75.[16] H. Aly, M. Strazicich, “Is Government Size Optimal in the Gulf Countries of the Middle East? An empirical investigation”, International Review of Applied Economics. 14(4) (2000) số trang.[17] D. Anderson, “Investment and Economic Growth”, World Development, 1990, pp. 1057-1079.[18] S. Asimakopoulos, Y. Karavias, “The impact of government size on economic growth: A threshold analysis”, Economics Letters. S0165-1765(15) (2015) 00519-4. [19] R.J. Barro, Government spending in a simple model of endogeneous growth, Journal of political economy. 98 (5, Part 2) (1990) S103-S125. [20] W. Chinnakum et al, Factors affecting economic output in developed countries: A copula approach to sample selection with panel data, International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2013. [21] M. Fay, O. Charlotte, “Urbanization without growth: A not-so-uncommon phenomenon”, Policy Research Working Paper, no. 2412: The World Bank, 2000.[22] IMF, “Public expenditure reform: Making difficult choices”, chapter 2, 2014.[23] P.V. İyidoğan, T. Turan, Government Size and Economic Growth in Turkey: A Threshold Regression Analysis, Prague Economic Papers. 26(2) (2017) 142-154. [24] G. Karras, On the optimal government size in Europe: theory and empirical evidence, The Manchester School. 65(3) (1997) 280-294. [25] A.R. Kira, The Factors Affecting Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Developing Countries: The Case of Tanzania, European Journal of Business and Management. 5 (2013) 2222-1905. [26] M. Machado et al, “Economic Development and Economic Variables: An analyze of Emergent Countries”, Social Science Research Network, 2015. [27] D.C. Mueller, Public choice: an introduction. In The encyclopedia of public choice, Springer, Boston, MA, 2004, pp. 32-48. [28] H.O. Onchari, The relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in Kenya, University of Nairobi, 2013. [29] P. Pevcin, Does optimal size of government spending exist?, University of Ljubljana. 10 (2004) 101-135. [30] D. Potts, “Challenging the Myths of Urban Dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Evidence from Nigeria”. World Development, 2012, pp. 1382-1393.[31] R. Ram, Government size and economic growth: A new framework and some evidence from cross-section and time-series data, The American Economic Review. 76(1) (1986) 191-203. [32] P. Romer, “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth”, Journal of Political Economy. 94 (1986) 1002-1037.[33] R.M. Solow, “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 70 (1956) 65-94.[34] P. Upreti, Factors Affecting Economic Growth in Developing Countries, Major Themes in Economics, 2015.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 81-101
Author(s):  
Sheilla Nyasha ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo

Abstract Research background: Although a number of studies have been conducted on the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth, it is difficult to tell with certainty whether or not an increase in public expenditure is good for economic growth. This lack of consensus on the results of the previous empirical findings makes this study of paramount importance as we take stock of the available empirical evidence from the 1980s to date. Purpose: In this paper, theoretical and empirical literature on the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth has been reviewed in detail. Focus was placed on the review of literature that assessed the impact of government spending on economic growth. Research Methodology: This study grouped studies on the impact of public expenditure on economic growth based on their results. Three groups emerged – positive impact, negative impact and no impact. This was followed by a review of each relevant study and an evaluation of which outcome was more prevalent among the existing studies on the subject. Results: The literature reviewed has shown that the impact of government spending on economic growth is not clear cut. It varies from positive to negative; with some studies even finding no impact. Although the impact of government spending on economic growth was found to be inconclusive, the scale tilts towards a positive impact. Novelty: The study provides an insight into the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth based on a comprehensive review of previous empirical evidence across various countries since the 1980s.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haitao Zheng ◽  
Wenxin Huai ◽  
Lele Huang

Steady economic growth and environmental protection are two contradictory goals of top priorities in China 2016–2020 Planning Project. Cities play important role in economic and environmental development. The research on cities’ economic-pollution relationship is vital to the choices in city developing patterns. This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution of 111 Chinese prefectural-level cities in the period 2004–2012 and how it might influence the choice of a city's developing pattern. These 111 cities are classified to five different clusters, one of which has particular pollution-economic relationship and some of which coordinate the EKC theory. The paper suggests that city features, scale effect and composition effect are important in the distribution of cities’ developing patterns.


2009 ◽  
pp. 130
Author(s):  
Yohannes G. Hailu ◽  
Tesfa G. Gebremedhin ◽  
Randall W. Jackson

This study investigates temporal demographic changes and income inequalities, and more importantly the relationship between income inequality and economic growth inWest Virginia. Departing from earlier studies, a regional growth model is utilized and empirically tested using county level West Virginia data (1990-2000). Results suggest that per-capita income change is positively related to population and employment changes but negatively related to income inequality. This empirical evidence indicates that higher income inequality can potentially hinder economic growth.


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