PO-1267 Using decision tree methodology to predict overall survival in locally advanced rectal cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 161 ◽  
pp. S1045
Author(s):  
F. De Felice ◽  
L. Belgioia ◽  
D. Musio ◽  
A. Bacigalupo ◽  
S. Vagge ◽  
...  
2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 526-526 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Hajj ◽  
Andrea Cercek ◽  
Leonard Saltz ◽  
Neil Howard Segal ◽  
Diane Lauren Reidy ◽  
...  

526 Background: Optimal management of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and synchronous, resectable metastases remains controversial and treatment decisions benefit from a multidisciplinary approach. To better characterize the role of induction chemotherapy followed by chemoradiation and surgery, we evaluated patterns of distal progression and overall survival in this subset of patients. Methods: We reviewed records of 25 LARC patients with synchronous resectable metastases treated with induction chemotherapy (ICT) followed by 5-fluorouracil-based concurrent chemoradiation (CRT) at our institution between December 2006 and December 2010. Radiation was delivered using a standardized three-field technique or IMRT. The incidence and sites of failure were analyzed. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were calculated from the completion of CRT using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: Of the 25 patients who received ICT followed by CRT, 21 (84%) underwent total mesorectal excision and metastectomy. Eleven patients (44%) had liver metastases. The median ICT duration was 2.4 months. Twenty patients (80%) received a FOLFOX-based ICT regimen and 5 patients (20%) received irinotecan-based chemotherapy. Two patients had unresectable disease, one was medically inoperable, and surgery was aborted due to intra-operative complications in one patient. Eighteen of the 21 were NED after surgery and metastatectomy (86%) with 24% pathologic complete response rate in the primary tumor; 10 (56%) received adjuvant chemotherapy. None of the patients recurred locally. Six of the 18 (33%) progressed distally, four of whom had received adjuvant chemotherapy. Four distal recurrences were in the lungs. With a median follow-up of 29.6 months, the 3-year OS was 50.4%. Median OS and PFS were 25.1 months and 13.5 months, respectively. Conclusions: ICT prior to CRT is associated with acceptable toxicity, substantial primary tumor regression, and promising clinical outcomes in patients with high-risk LARC with synchronous, resectable metastatic disease.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 613-613
Author(s):  
Kirsten Elizabeth Jean Laws ◽  
Christina Wilson ◽  
Stephen Harrow

613 Background: Neoadjuvant long course chemoradiotherapy is a well recognised treatment in locally advanced rectal cancer. Patients with pelvic side wall nodes are often considered for neoadjuvant treatment. We investigated whether pelvic side wall nodes identified on pre-treatment imaging is a poor prognostic factor and whether there are different patterns of recurrence compared to patients without pelvic side wall node involvement. Methods: All patients treated with long course chemoradiotherapy between January 2008 and December 2009 were identified. Patients were excluded if treatment indication was for inoperable disease, postoperative, recurrence, or palliative intent. 231 patients were identified and a retrospective analysis performed investigating patterns of recurrence and survival for patients with pelvic side wall nodes identified on pre-treatment imaging. Results: Kaplan Meier curves are presented showing patients with pelvic side wall nodes identified on pre-treatment imaging appear to have poorer outcomes and overall survival compared with those with only mesorectal nodes or no nodes. Patterns of recurrence are presented, showing patients with pelvic side wall nodes identified on pre-treatment imaging have a non significant trend to increased rates of disease recurrence (local and distal recurrence combined, 45.7% versus 27.9% for pelvic side wall nodes versus no pelvic side wall nodes). Patients with pelvic side wall nodes identified on pre-treatment imaging appear to be more likely to develop distant metastases compared to those patients who have mesorectal nodes or no nodal involvement (37% versus 23%). Conclusions: Our study highlights that patients with pelvic side wall nodes identified on pre-treatment imaging appear to have a trend to poorer overall survival, are more likely to recur and develop distant metastases. These results were not statistically significant, due to the small number of patients, and the data is consequently limited. We intend to further investigate current management strategies for this subgroup of patients, with assessment of radiotherapy treatment plans, current use of integral boosts, and surgical procedures for this subgroup of patients.


2018 ◽  
Vol 70 (4) ◽  
pp. 681-690
Author(s):  
Bojana Kozik ◽  
Nikola Kokanov ◽  
Slavica Knezevic-Usaj ◽  
Ivan Nikolic ◽  
Radoslav Davidovic ◽  
...  

Methylation of p16 and p14 genes is a common event in colorectal cancers; however, their exact role in the prediction of patients? outcome is unclear. We conducted this retrospective study to evaluate their potential predictive and/or prognostic roles. Methylation-specific PCR was used to examine the methylation status of p16 and p14 in pretherapeutic and preoperative biopsy specimens of 60 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. The methylation status of the examined genes did not affect the response to preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT), recurrence rate and overall survival. However, patients with a simultaneous presence of either p16 or p14 methylation and high vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) expression showed a significantly worse response to CRT (p=0.005 and p=0.038, respectively). Moreover, patients with both p16 methylation and high VEGF expression had significantly shorter overall survival (p=0.010), while no such association was found in patients with p14 methylation and high VEGF expression. On the other hand, a subgroup of patients with p16 methylation and low VEGF and high epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) expression showed a significantly better response to CRT (p=0.024). The obtained results point to the importance of p16 and p14 methylation analyses in combination with VEGF and EGFR expression, aimed at better predicting treatment response and patient outcome.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 686-686
Author(s):  
Alex Richard Coffman ◽  
Dustin Boothe ◽  
Jonathan Evans Frandsen ◽  
Molly Gross ◽  
Thomas Bartley Pickron ◽  
...  

686 Background: Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) is generally accepted as the optimal treatment strategy compared to adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (ACRT) for locally advanced rectal cancer due to improvement in local control and reduced toxicity. However, NCRT has not been shown to improve overall survival (OS). We investigated the effect of NCRT versus ACRT on OS as well as the impact of demographic factors and clinical stage for the selection of each treatment approach utilizing the National Cancer Data Base. Methods: Adult patients with stage II and stage III adenocarcinoma of the rectum diagnosed from 2004-2013 were included. Chi-square analysis was used to compare demographic variables and clinical stage between the NCRT and ACRT treatment groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression modeling was used to identify factors predictive of each treatment strategy. Kaplan Meier and log-rank analysis along with propensity score matching was performed to determine the effect on OS. Results: A total of 20,262 patients were identified: 17,737 (87.5%) received NCRT and 2,525 (12.5%) received ACRT. Utilization of NCRT increased over the study period (p < 0.01). Factors associated with receipt of NCRT on multivariate analysis include: treatment at an academic institution (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.68-0.85), income greater than $46,000 (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.67-0.92), and living greater than 50 miles from a treatment facility. Factors associated with receipt of ACRT on multivariate analysis include: female sex (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01-1.24), Charlson comorbidity index of 1 (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.04-1.34), and radiotherapy dose greater than 5040 centigray (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.56-1.98). Compared to ACRT, NCRT was associated with a decreased risk of death on multivariate analysis (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-1.00), which persisted after propensity score analysis. Conclusions: The use of NCRT for locally advanced rectal cancer is increasing and is associated with an OS benefit compared to ACRT.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4107-4107
Author(s):  
Ahmed Abdalla ◽  
Sindhu Janarthanam Malapati ◽  
Sunny R K Singh ◽  
Susan Szpunar ◽  
Tarik H. Hadid ◽  
...  

4107 Background: Total mesorectal excision (TME) is the standard surgical intervention for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) regardless of response to neoadjuvant therapy. In this study, we perform a comprehensive review of the National Cancer Database (NCDP) to compare the clinical and surgical outcomes of TME to local excision (LE) in patients with LARC. Methods: NCDP was systematically researched to abstract all patients with stage II and III rectal adenocarcinoma between the years 2004 and 2015. We subsequently excluded all the patients who did not achieve complete pathological response (pT0) after neoadjuvant therapy. The patients were then divided into two groups; those who underwent TME and those who underwent LE. Data were analyzed using SPSS v. 26.0, SAS v. 9.4. Results: A total of 4,705 were included in the study; 4,589 in the TME group and 116 in the LE group. Baseline characteristics were similar between the groups except for age. A total of 81(1.8%) of patients in the TME group and 8(6.9%) of patients in the LE group did not receive radiation (p=0.006) and 19(0.4%) of patients the TME group and 4(3.4%) of patients in the LE group did not receive chemotherapy. There was no difference in median overall survival between TME and LE groups. The median length of hospital stay was remarkably shorter in the LE group compared to the TME group (1 day vs 6 days, p<0.0001). The rate of 30-day and 90-day postoperative mortality were similar between the two groups (p-value=0.334 and 0.06, respectively). In the LE group, 4 (3.4%) of patients were readmitted within 30 days of the resection compared to 374 (8.5%) in the TME group but was not a statistically significant difference (p=0.059). Conclusions: In this study, TME and LE had similar overall survival and time to 25% mortality in patients with LARC who achieved complete pathological response after neoadjuvant therapy. Also, LE had a shorter hospital stay compared to the TME group. This study is limited by its retrospective nature, however these interesting observations warrant further investigation in randomized clinical trials. [Table: see text]


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