1411 POSTER Endpoints for Validation of Tumour Markers for Recurrence Risk -Recurrence-free Interval (RFI), Disease-free Survival (DFS), Overall Survival (OS), and Colon-cancer Specific Survival (CCSS) in CALGB 9581

2011 ◽  
Vol 47 ◽  
pp. S172
Author(s):  
N.N. Mahmoud ◽  
M. Lopatin ◽  
K. Clark-Langone ◽  
M. Lee ◽  
D. Niedzwiecki ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Jun Yin ◽  
Mohamed E Salem ◽  
Jesse G Dixon ◽  
Zhaohui Jin ◽  
Romain Cohen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Disease-free survival with a 3-year median follow-up (3-year DFS) was validated as a surrogate for overall survival with a 5-year median follow-up (5-year OS) in adjuvant chemotherapy colon cancer (CC) trials. Recent data show further improvements in OS and survival after recurrence, in patients who received adjuvant FOLFOX. Hence, re-evaluation of the association between DFS and OS and determination of the optimal follow-up duration of OS to aid its utility in future adjuvant trials are needed. Methods Individual patient data from nine randomized studies conducted between 1998 and 2009 were included; three trials tested biologics. Trial-level surrogacy examining the correlation of treatment effect estimates of 3-year DFS with 5 to 6.5-year OS was evaluated using both linear regression (R2WLS) and Copula bivariate (R2Copula) models and reported with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For R2, a value closer to 1 indicates a stronger correlation. Results Data from a total of 18,396 patients were analyzed (median age = 59 years; 54.0% male), with 54.1% having low-risk tumors (pT1-3 & pN1), 31.6% KRAS mutated, 12.3% BRAF mutated, and 12.4% microsatellite instability high/deficient mismatch repair tumors. Trial level correlation between 3-year DFS and 5-year OS remained strong (R2 =0.82, 95% CI = 0.67 to 0.98; R2 =0.92, 95% CI = 0.83 to 1.00) and increased as the median follow-up of OS extended. Analyses limited to trials that tested biologics showed consistent results. Conclusion Three-year DFS remains a validated surrogate endpoint for 5-year OS in adjuvant CC trials. The correlation was likely strengthened with 6 years of follow-up for OS.


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 14584-14584
Author(s):  
S. M. Wiseman ◽  
S. Leung ◽  
O. Griffith ◽  
S. Jones ◽  
H. Masoudi ◽  
...  

14584 Background: The most important predictor of colon cancer patient outcome is disease stage at the time of surgery. However, staging does not accurately predict survival for all patients undergoing a resection with curative intent. The aim of this study was to analyze clinical and pathological characteristics of patients undergoing curative colon cancer, in order to identify characteristics, in addition to stage, predictive of disease outcome. Methods: Between 1997 and 2005 data for 114 patients undergoing curative resection for colon cancer at a tertiary care institution were collected. Clinical and pathological characteristics evaluated were: age, gender, tumor location, tumor size, scheduled vs emergent surgery, pathologic margin status, TNM stage, pathologic grade, number of positive lymph nodes, total number of lymph nodes resected, vascular and lymphatic invasion. Characteristics found to be significant in a Kaplan-Meier univariate survival analysis were included in a multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis. Patient outcomes studied were overall survival, cancer specific survival, and disease free survival. Results: From the 114 patients examined in this cohort the mean age was 67 years, the male to female ratio was 0.8:1, and the mean follow up time was 2.61 years. Overall survival, cancer specific survival, and disease free survival were calculated to be 83.3%, 91.2% and 84.2%, respectively. Statistically significant variables by univariate analysis were: AJCC stage, number of positive lymph nodes, pathologic N stage, lymphatic and vascular invasion by the primary tumor. Further multivariate analysis revealed that lymphatic invasion was the only significant independent influence for predicting disease recurrence. Conclusions: Clinicopathologic characteristics, in addition to AJCC disease stage, may be of clinical utility in predicting outcome for patients who have undergone curative resection for colon cancer. Further evaluation of these clinicopathologic characteristics should be carried out in a larger colon cancer patient cohort. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4018-4018
Author(s):  
M. E. Buyse ◽  
K. J. Punt ◽  
C. H. Köhne ◽  
P. Hohenberger ◽  
R. Labianca ◽  
...  

4018 Background: Disease-free survival (DFS) is the primary endpoint of most trials testing adjuvant treatments. However many other endpoints are used. There is much confusion about these endpoints since different definitions were used among trials, or no definitions were provided at all. Moreover there is no consensus on either the definition of each endpoint or on the most relevant among these endpoints. This creates difficulties when comparing the results of various trials. Methods: Adjuvant trials in colon cancer were used as a model. A systematic review was performed on published adjuvant studies in colon cancer from 1997–2006, and the definitions of endpoints other than overall survival (OS) were recorded. A panel of medical oncologists, surgical oncologists, and a statistician, all with expertise in randomised trials in colorectal cancer, aimed to reach consensus on the definition of the various endpoints as well as to select the most relevant among these. Results: A total of 52 studies were identified. In addition to overall survival 8 other endpoints were used, and both the definition of these endpoints as well as the starting point differed considerably among these studies. No definition was provided for the endpoint in 19 (37%) studies and for the starting point in 30 (58%) studies. The panel reached consensus on the definition of each endpoint ( table ), and agreed that DFS, defined as the time from randomisation to any event irrespective of cause was considered to be the most relevant endpoint for adjuvant studies. The date of randomisation was considered to be the most appropriate starting point. Conclusions: The proposed guideline will help in the design of future adjuvant studies in colon cancer, and will achieve the uniformity required to facilitate cross-study comparisons. It may serve as a model for adjuvant studies in other solid tumors. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3508-3508 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. J. Allegra ◽  
G. A. Yothers ◽  
M. J. O'Connell ◽  
S. Sharif ◽  
N. J. Petrelli ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3548-3548
Author(s):  
Brandon Matthew Meyers ◽  
Humaid Obaid Al-Shamsi ◽  
Alvaro Tell Figueredo

3548 Background: Colon cancer is potentially curable by surgery in the early stages of the disease. Adjuvant chemotherapy improves disease-free and overall survival in patients with stage III disease, but the magnitude of benefit in stage II colon cancer is less clear. A previous Cochrane systematic review and meta-analysis (SR/MA) found improved disease-free, but not overall survival (Figueredo et al., 2008). An updated SR/MA was performed to determine the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy on disease-free and overall survival in patients with stage II colon cancer. Methods: Relevant databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane) were independently searched by all authors, using the same search strategy employed in the original study (1/1988 to 9/2012). Randomized trials containing data on stage II colon cancer patients undergoing adjuvant 5-fluorouracil (5FU) chemotherapy versus observation were included. Pooled results were expressed as hazard ratios (HR) whenever possible, or risk ratios (RR), with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) using a random effects model. Results: Seven studies were identified, and included in the final SR/MA. Six of the 7 studies were included in the disease-free survival analysis (n=4587). Adjuvant 5FU was associated with better disease-free survival (RR 0.84 (95%CI 0.75-0.94)). All 7 studies (n=5353) were included in the overall survival analysis showing an improvement with adjuvant 5FU (HR 0.87 (95%CI 0.78-0.97)). There was no evidence of heterogeneity across the studies (I2 = 0% for all analyses). Conclusions: In stage II colon cancer, adjuvant 5FU chemotherapy statistically improves both disease-free and overall survival. Our SR/MA demonstrates, for the first time, an overall survival advantage with adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer.


2004 ◽  
Vol 22 (16) ◽  
pp. 3395-3407 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alvaro Figueredo ◽  
Manya L. Charette ◽  
Jean Maroun ◽  
Melissa C. Brouwers ◽  
Lisa Zuraw

Purpose To develop a systematic review that would address the following question: Should patients with stage II colon cancer receive adjuvant therapy? Methods A systematic review was undertaken to locate randomized controlled trials comparing adjuvant therapy to observation. Results Thirty-seven trials and 11 meta-analyses were included. The evidence for stage II colon cancer comes primarily from a trial of fluorouracil plus levamisole and a meta-analysis of 1,016 patients comparing fluorouracil plus folinic acid versus observation. Neither detected an improvement in disease-free or overall survival for adjuvant therapy. A recent pooled analysis of data from seven trials observed a benefit for adjuvant therapy in a multivariate analysis for both disease-free and overall survival. The disease-free survival benefits appeared to extend to stage II patients; however, no P values were provided. A meta-analysis of chemotherapy by portal vein infusion has also shown a benefit in disease-free and overall survival for stage II patients. A meta-analysis was conducted using data on stage II patients where data were available (n = 4,187). The mortality risk ratio was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.75 to 1.01; P = .07). Conclusion There is preliminary evidence indicating that adjuvant therapy is associated with a disease-free survival benefit for patients with stage II colon cancer. These benefits are small and not necessarily associated with improved overall survival. Patients should be made aware of these results and encouraged to participate in active clinical trials. Additional investigation of newer therapies and more mature data from the presently available trials should be pursued.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunyi Wu ◽  
Jy-Ming Chiang ◽  
Jeng-Fu You ◽  
Reiping Tang ◽  
Jinn-Shiun Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a significant prognostic marker in resectable colorectal cancer; however, there are no equivalent findings for perforated colon cancer. Using our colorectal cancer database, we retrospectively analyzed the data from 1995 to 2015 to determine whether the preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is associated with survival outcomes in patients with perforated colon cancer.Methods: One-to-one propensity score matching was applied to minimize the difference between the high (>5) and low (≤5) neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio groups. Clinicopathological factors, long-term overall survival, and disease-free survival were analyzed and compared between the two groups. The primary outcomes were overall survival and disease-free survival.Results: Before propensity score matching, the high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio group had a significantly higher prevalence of leukocytosis (low vs. high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio groups: 12 [12.9%] vs. 46 [59.7%], p<0.001), lower serum albumin levels (low vs. high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio groups: 30 [32.3%] vs. 42 [54.5%], p=0.003), and a higher emergent operation rate (low vs. high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio groups: 5 [5.4%] vs. 20 [26.0%], p<0.001). After one-to-one propensity score matching, the groups comprised 41 patients each; none of the parameters were significantly different between the two groups. The mean follow-up period was 76.3 months. The 5-year overall survival (p=0.637) and disease-free survival (p=0.827) rates were not significantly different between the high and low neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio groups.Conclusions: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio has limited predictive value for determining outcomes in patients with perforated colon cancer.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhao Yang Wang ◽  
Yuanzhu Jiang ◽  
Wen Xiao ◽  
Xianbiao Xue ◽  
Xiangwei Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: In clinical work, it has been increasingly found that the prognosis is still very different even for esophageal cancer (EC) patients with the same TNM stage. Tumor length has been analysed as a possible independent prognostic factor in many studies, but no unanimous conclusion has been reached. Therefore, this review used a meta-analysis to evaluate the association between tumor length and prognosis in EC patients.Methods: A systematic search for relevant articles was performed in PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used as effective measures to estimate the correlation between tumor length and prognosis, including overall survival, disease-free survival, progression-free survival, disease-specific survival, and cancer-specific survival. STATA 15.0 software was used to perform the meta-analysis and the data synthesis.Results: Finally, 41 articles with 28,973 patients were included in our study. The comprehensive statistical results showed that long tumors are an independent prognostic parameter associated with poor overall survival (OS) (HR=1.30; 95% CI: 1.21-1.40, p<.001) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR=1.38; 95% CI: 1.18-1.61, p<.001) in EC patients. Subgroup analyses also suggested a significant correlation between long tumors and poor OS. Sensitivity analysis and publication bias evaluation confirmed the reliability and stability of the results. Similar results were obtained in the analyses of progression-free survival (PFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS).Conclusion: The results of this meta-analysis showed that long tumors were related to poor OS, DFS, PFS, DSS and CSS in EC patients. Tumor length might be an important predictor of prognosis in EC patients, and it can be used as an independent staging index. Further well-designed and large-scale prospective clinical studies are needed to confirm these findings.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 3-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xingxia Zhang ◽  
Jie Yang ◽  
Liang Du ◽  
Yong Zhou ◽  
Ka Li

Objectives: Over the past decade, some publications have reported that Immunoscore was associated with the prognosis of several cancers. To better understand this issue, we conducted this pooled analysis. Methods: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library from their inceptions to 15 May 2019 to identify relevant articles. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was estimated for overall survival, disease-free survival, and disease-specific survival. Results: A total of 26 cohort studies with 10,328 patients involving eight cancer specialties were evaluated mainly by the consensus Immunoscore. The pooled analysis indicated that a lower Immunoscore was associated with a poor overall survival (HR 2.23, 95% CI 1.58, 2.70), disease-free survival (HR 2.40, 95% CI 1.96, 2.49), and disease-specific survival (HR 2.81, 95% CI 2.10, 3.77) for all cancers. The same convincing results were found in colorectal cancer, gastric cancer, and non-small cell lung cancer (especially the consensus Immunoscore for colon cancer). In five other types of cancer the results were similar, but the sample sizes were limited. Conclusions: These findings support that Immunoscore is significantly associated with the prognosis of patients with cancer. It provides a reliable estimate of the risk of recurrence in patients with colon cancer. However, more high-quality studies are necessary to assess the prognostic value of Immunoscore in non-colon cancers.


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