scholarly journals The Statistics of Erysipelas in England and Wales

1933 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 421-434 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. T. Russell

1. The annual number of notified cases of erysipelas is approximately 17,000, and assuming complete notification of the disease the general case fatality is approximately 6 per cent.2. The death-rate, deaths in terms of the population, varies according to age, being highest at the beginning and end of life and at a minimum between the age of 5 and 10 years. The mortality of males is identical with that of females up to age 25, but is afterwards in excess.3. The disease has in recent years a well-marked seasonal incidence—a winter and spring excess with a summer defect. In this respect it resembles scarlet and puerperal fevers and, although its seasonal incidence has changed in the course of time, the alteration has not been nearly so pronounced as that for scarlet fever.4. The incidence is highly correlated with overcrowded conditions, the correlation coefficient being in some periods as high as + 0·83 in the divisions of London and + 0·70 in the sanitary districts of Glasgow.5. The morbidity from erysipelas is fairly well correlated in time with that from scarlet fever and erysipelas, but in London, in the urban and in the rural districts of England and Wales, the spacial correlation is very small. On the other hand, in Glasgow the spacial correlation between the incidence of erysipelas and that of scarlet fever is highly negative, −0·718 ±0·109, whereas between erysipelas and puerperal fever the association is positive, + 0·689±0·109 during the period 1903–8, but these values were much reduced when the partial coefficients were calculated.

PEDIATRICS ◽  
1978 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
pp. 438-439
Author(s):  
Myron E. Wegman

Dr. Talbot is quite right that social and demographic factors have considerable influence on the neonatal death rate, as for almost any specific rate. As I stated, improved neonatal care seemed to me a factor because the neonatal rate had dropped much more rapidly than the postneonatal rate. I may well have given too much weight to this observation. On the other hand, I fear that, while Dr. Talbot's proposed case fatality rate could be useful and worth doing to analyze a particular hospital's experience, it would lead to more uncertainty than precision about the community.


1929 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 1217-1223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Joe

A classification is made of 219 cases notified as puerperal fever or puerperal pyrexia. Of these, 71 were local uterine infections; 47, pelvic or general peritonitis; 11, pelvic cellulitis; 20, septicæmia or pyæmia; 12, pyelitis, and 58, febrile conditions not due to infection of the genital tract. Fatal cases were all due to general peritonitis or blood infections and the general death-rate for infections of the genital tract is 21·4 per cent. Of 32 maternal deaths, 7 followed abortion; 11 occurred in primiparæ, the preponderance of whom showed more or less severe trauma, and 13 in multiparæ in whom trauma was absent in the great majority. Similar antecedent circumstances were found in recovered cases of puerperal infection; from these figures an attempt is made to assess the importance of trauma in the production of sepsis. Two cases of puerperal scarlet fever are described and the transmission of infection in puerperal sepsis is discussed. A study has been made of sensitiveness to the hæmolytic streptococcal toxin in 103 cases of puerperal sepsis and the results do not bear out the suggestion that infection by the streptococcus in the puerperium is correlated with toxin sensitiveness.


1930 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-153 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Lewis-Faning

1. Farr's 63 healthy districts are, as a whole, representative of the stationary districts of England and Wales, i.e. those districts in which growth or decline of industry has, on the whole, been absent and in which mortality rates are consequently free from the influence of industrialisation, though not necessarily unaffected by urbanisation.2. These healthy districts maintained, until 1901–10, the advantage they held over England and Wales as regards their relative death rates in 1851–60.3. From 1851–60 to 1901–10 the death rate of the healthy districts remained roughly constant at 76 per cent, of the death rate of England and Wales. Both improved their total death rate to the extent of 30 per cent, of what it was in 1851–60, the rates for this decennium being—England and Wales 21·17, healthy districts 16·13 per 1000.4. The population of the healthy districts has been unfavourably constituted for a low death rate throughout the period.5. That the periods during which the most improvement was made in lowering the death rate—not only in the healthy districts, but in England and Wales as a whole—were 1881—90 and 1901–25.6. By 1921–5 the position of the healthy districts had become a little less favourable, their death rate having risen from 76 to 86 per cent, of that of England and Wales. It is quite possible, however, that this is due, not so much to a falling-off in the rate of improvement in the healthy districts, as to an exceptional increased improvement in backward, very unhealthy districts.7. For the following diseases, the healthy districts show improvement at faster rates, of varying degrees, than England and Wales as a whole, during the period 1851–1925. Measles, scarlet fever, whooping cough, diphtheria, pulmonary tuberculosis, and respiratory diseases.On the other hand, the data relating to diarrhoea seems to indicate less improvement, though inherent deficiencies in the data make this a matter open to doubt.The death rate from cancer, which has increased considerably in the whole country during the last forty years, appears to have increased at a slightly faster rate in the healthy districts.But, as discussed in the report, the untrustworthiness of the data, relating to comparisons of individual disease death rates over long periods of time, make it essential to regard the points enumerated in conclusion 7 rather in the manner of interesting possibilities than as proven facts.8. When the 141 administrative areas, which in 1920–5 corresponded to Dr Farr's original healthy districts, were classified as to whether the majority of their occupied persons worked in other districts or in their own district, the standardised death rates found were as follows:I. Districts in which 50 per cent, of occupied persons work in other districts. Death rate = 10·55 per 1000.II. Districts in which more than 50 per cent, of occupied persons work within the district. Death rate = 9·90 per 1000.When the second of these classes is sub-divided according to whether 50–75 per cent, or over 75 per cent, of occupied persons work within the district, the death rates are:(a) 50–75 per cent, of occupied persons working within the district. Death rate = 9·69 per 1000.(b) 75–100 per cent, of occupied persons working within the district. Death rate = 10·14 per 1000.When the same class is sub-divided according to whether the majority of workers are engaged in non-agricultural or agricultural pursuits, the death rates in each sub-class are:(a) Mainly non-agricultural. Death rate = 9·85 per 1000.(b) Mainly agricultural. Death rate = 9·98 per 1000.


1972 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 311-321 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. W. AYRES ◽  
R. G. BUTTON ◽  
E. DE JONG

The relation between soil structure and soil aeration was investigated on undisturbed soil cores from soil horizons exhibiting six distinct kinds of soil structure (prismatic, columnar, blocky, granular, platy, massive) over a broad range of soil texture. Soil aeration was characterized at ⅓ atm suction by measurements of air porosity, relative diffusivity (D/Do) and the rate of oxygen diffusion to a platinum microelectrode (ODR). Aeration was adequate in most of the Chernozemic soil horizons studied; however, aeration in many of the Bnt horizons of the Solonetzic soils was inadequate. Air porosity and D/Do were highly correlated. The regression coefficient for D/Do vs. air porosity for blocky structures was significantly different from that found for the other five structural types. For granular structures a negative correlation was found for ODR vs. air porosity compared with a low positive correlation found for the other structure types.


2021 ◽  
pp. 026565902199554
Author(s):  
Lynn Dempsey

Planning intervention for narrative comprehension deficits requires a thorough understanding of a child’s skill in all component domains. The purpose of this study was to examine the validity of three methods of measuring pre-readers’ event knowledge, an important predictor of story comprehension. Thirty-eight typically developing children (12 males; 26 females) between the ages of 30–59 months ( M = 42.05 SD = 7.62) completed three measures – verbal account, enactment, picture-sequencing – that tapped their knowledge of two different events before listening to stories based on each of those events and completing story comprehension tasks. Scores for verbal account and enactment, but not for picture sequencing, (1) were moderately correlated with comprehension scores for the corresponding story; (2) reflected differential knowledge of the two events, though not in the expected direction; (3) were moderately correlated with one another in the case of each story. In general measures for the same event were more highly correlated with one another than with measures of the other event. Overall, results suggest that verbal account and enactment may yield information useful for clinicians planning intervention for children with narrative comprehension deficits.


1973 ◽  
Vol 36 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1063-1066 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew H. Gregory ◽  
H. Margaret Gregory

Two auditory-visual integration tests were given to 86 children from 6 yr. to 11 yr. One test was basically that developed by Birch; the other used Morse-type stimuli. The children were also given tests of nonverbal intelligence, reading and vocabulary. With age and intelligence partialled out, the Morse form of test was significantly more highly correlated with reading ability than the Birch test. Reasons are suggested as to why the Morse version may be a better test of some of the underlying skills involved in reading.


Author(s):  
Robert E. Dewar ◽  
Jerry G. Ells

There is a need to develop and validate simple, inexpensive techniques for the evaluation of traffic sign messages. This paper examines the semantic differential (a paper-and-pencil test which measures psychological meaning) as a potential instrument for such evaluation. Two experiments are described, one relating semantic differential scores to comprehension and the other relating this index to glance legibility. The data indicate that semantic differential scores on all four factors (evaluative, activity, potency, and understandability) were highly correlated with comprehension of symbolic messages. These scores were unrelated to glance legibility of verbal messages, but two factors (evaluative and understandability) did correlate with glance legibility of symbolic messages. It was concluded that the semantic differential is a valid instrument for evaluating comprehension of symbolic sign messages and that it has advantages over other techniques.


1928 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 945-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. S. Jones ◽  
Ralph B. Little

The clinical and bacteriological findings in two cows the udders of which became infected under natural conditions with hemolytic streptococci of the scarlet fever type are discussed. One of the cows was found in a herd supplying raw milk to a small town where a milkborne outbreak of scarlet fever had occurred a short time before. When small numbers of the streptococcus obtained from this case were injected into the udder of a normal cow severe mastitis accompanied by a well marked general reaction resulted. Evidence leads to the conclusion that a severe attack of mastitis due to this organism in one quarter does not sufficiently immunize the other quarters to protect them completely since the streptococcus can be readily implanted in them. The secondary infections were much milder than the original process.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nazih A. Bizri ◽  
Walid Alam ◽  
Tala Mobayed ◽  
Hani Tamim ◽  
Maha Makki ◽  
...  

Abstract Background COVID-19 has hit the world in an unprecedented way causing serious repercussions on several aspects of our life. Multiple determinants have affected various nations’ level of success in their responses towards the pandemic. The Arab Levant region in the Middle East, notoriously known for repeated wars and conflicts, has been affected, similarly to other regions, by this pandemic. The combination of war, conflict, and a pandemic brings too much of a burden for any nation to handle. Methods A descriptive analysis of data obtained from the health departments of various Arab Levant Countries (ALC) was performed. ALC include Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, Iraq and Palestine. The data collected involves incidence, recovery rate, case fatality rate and number of tests performed per million population, Global Health Security index, government stringency index, and political stability index. The information obtained was compared and analyzed among the ALC and compared to global figures. An extensive electronic literature search to review all relevant articles and reports published from the region was conducted. The 2019 Global Health Security (GHS) index was obtained from the “GHS index” website which was made by John Hopkins University’s center for health security, the Nuclear threat Initiative (NTI) and the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). Government stringency index and political stability index were obtained from the University of Oxford and the website of “The Global Economy”, respectively. Other world governance indicators such as government effectiveness were obtained from the World Bank website. Results In terms of incidence of COVID-19, Iraq has the highest with 9665 per one million population, Syria the lowest at 256 per million. Deaths per million population was highest in Iraq at 237, and the lowest in Syria at 12. As for number of tests per million population, Lebanon ranked first at 136,033 with Iraq fourth at 59,795. There is no data available for the tests administered in Syria and subsequently no value for tests per million population. In terms of recoveries from COVID-19 per million population, Iraq had the highest number at 7903 per million, and Syria the lowest at 68 per million. When compared as percent recovery per million, Palestine ranked first (84%) and Syria last (27%). The government response stringency index shows that Jordan had the highest index (100) early in the pandemic among the other countries. Palestine’s index remained stable between 80 and 96. The other countries’ indices ranged from 50 to 85, with Lebanon seeing a drop to 24 in mid-August. Even with improved stringency index, Iraq reported an increased number of deaths. Conclusion In countries devastated by war and conflict, a pandemic such as COVID-19 can easily spread. The Arab Levant countries represent a breeding ground for pandemics given their unstable political and economic climate that has undoubtedly affected their healthcare systems. In the era of COVID-19, looking at healthcare systems as well as political determinants is needed to assess a country’s readiness towards the pandemic. The unrest in Lebanon, the uprising in Iraq, the restrictions placed on Syria, and the economic difficulties in Palestine are all examples of determinants affecting pandemic management. Jordan, on the contrary, is a good example of a stable state, able to implement proper measures. Political stability index should be used as a predictor for pandemic management capacity, and individual measures should be tailored towards countries depending on their index.


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