PFSS-Based Solar Wind Forecast and the Radius of the Source-Surface

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (S335) ◽  
pp. 307-309
Author(s):  
Ljubomir Nikolić

AbstractThe potential-field source-surface (PFSS) model of the solar corona is a widely used tool in the space weather research and operations. In particular, the PFSS model is used in solar wind forecast models which empirically associate solar wind properties with the numerically derived coronal magnetic field. In the PFSS model, the spherical surface where magnetic field lines are forced to open is typically placed at 2.5 solar radii. However, the results presented here suggest that setting this surface (the source-surface) to lower heights can provide a better agreement between observed and modelled coronal holes during the current solar cycle. Furthermore, the lower heights of the source-surface provide a better match between observed and forecasted solar wind speed.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Léa Griton ◽  
Sarah Watson ◽  
Nicolas Poirier ◽  
Alexis Rouillard ◽  
Karine Issautier ◽  
...  

<p>Different states of the slow solar wind are identified from in-situ measurements by Parker Solar Probe (PSP) inside 50 solar radii from the Sun (Encounters 1, 2, 4, 5 and 6). At such distances the wind measured at PSP has not yet undergone significant transformation related to the expansion and propagation of the wind. We focus in this study on the properties of the quiet solar wind with no magnetic switchbacks. The Slow Solar Wind (SSW) states differ by their density, flux, plasma beta and magnetic pressure. PSP's magnetic connectivity established with Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) reconstructions, tested against extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and white-light imaging, reveals the different states under study generally correspond to transitions from streamers to equatorial coronal holes. Solar wind simulations run along these differing flux tubes reproduce the slower and denser wind measured in the streamer and the more tenuous wind measured in the coronal hole. Plasma heating is more intense at the base of the streamer field lines rooted near the boundary of the equatorial hole than those rooted closer to the center of the hole. This results in a higher wind flux driven inside the streamer than deeper inside the equatorial hole. </p>


Author(s):  
Nishant M. Narechania ◽  
Ljubomir Nikolic ◽  
Lucie Freret ◽  
Hans De Sterck ◽  
Clinton P. T. Groth

The development of numerical models and tools which have operational space weather potential is an increasingly important area of research. This study presents recent Canadian efforts toward the development of a numerical framework for Sun-to-Earth simulations of solar wind disturbances. This modular three-dimensional (3D) simulation framework is based on a semi-empirical data-driven approach to describe the solar corona and an MHD-based description of the heliosphere. In the present configuration, the semi-empirical component uses the Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) and Schatten Current Sheet (SCS) models to derive the coronal magnetic field based on observed magnetogram data. Using empirical relations, solar wind properties are associated with this coronal magnetic field. Together with a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) model, this provides inner boundary conditions for a global MHD model which is used to describe interplanetary propagation of the solar wind and CMEs. The proposed MHD numerical approach makes use of advanced numerical techniques. The 3D MHD code employs a finite-volume discretization procedure with limited piecewise linear reconstruction to solve the governing partial-differential equations. The equations are solved on a body-fitted hexahedral multi-block cubed-sphere mesh and an efficient iterative Newton method is used for time-invariant simulations and an explicit time-marching scheme is applied for unsteady cases. Additionally, an efficient anisotropic block-based refinement technique provides significant reductions in the size of the computational mesh by locally refining the grid in selected directions as dictated by the flow physics. The capabilities of the framework for accurately capturing solar wind structures and forecasting solar wind properties at Earth are demonstrated. Furthermore, a comparison with previously reported results and future space weather forecasting challenges are discussed.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (S354) ◽  
pp. 215-223
Author(s):  
Barbara Perri ◽  
Allan Sacha Brun ◽  
Antoine Strugarek ◽  
Victor Réville

AbstractThough generated deep inside the convection zone, the solar magnetic field has a direct impact on the Earth space environment via the Parker spiral. It strongly modulates the solar wind in the whole heliosphere, especially its latitudinal and longitudinal speed distribution over the years. However the wind also influences the topology of the coronal magnetic field by opening the magnetic field lines in the coronal holes, which can affect the inner magnetic field of the star by altering the dynamo boundary conditions. This coupling is especially difficult to model because it covers a large variety of spatio-temporal scales. Quasi-static studies have begun to help us unveil how the dynamo-generated magnetic field shapes the wind, but the full interplay between the solar dynamo and the solar wind still eludes our understanding.We use the compressible magnetohydrodynamical (MHD) code PLUTO to compute simultaneously in 2.5D the generation and evolution of magnetic field inside the star via an α-Ω dynamo process and the corresponding evolution of a polytropic coronal wind over several activity cycles for a young Sun. A multi-layered boundary condition at the surface of the star connects the inner and outer stellar layers, allowing both to adapt dynamically. Our continuously coupled dynamo-wind model allows us to characterize how the solar wind conditions change as a function of the cycle phase, and also to quantify the evolution of integrated quantities such as the Alfvén radius. We further assess the impact of the solar wind on the dynamo itself by comparing our results with and without wind feedback.


2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (S286) ◽  
pp. 168-178 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Luhmann ◽  
C. O. Lee ◽  
P. Riley ◽  
L. K. Jian ◽  
C. T. Russell ◽  
...  

AbstractInterplanetary conditions during the Cycle 23-24 minimum have attracted attention because they are noticeably different than those during other minima of the space age, exhibiting more solar wind stream interaction structures in addition to reduced mass fluxes and low magnetic field strengths. In this study we consider the differences in the solar wind source regions by applying Potential Field Source Surface models of the coronal magnetic field. In particular, we consider the large scale coronal field geometry that organizes the open field region locations and sizes, and the appearance of the helmet streamer structure that is another determiner of solar wind properties. The recent cycle minimum had an extraordinarily long entry phase (the decline of Cycle 23) that made it difficult to identify when the actual miminum arrived. In particular, the late 23rd cycle was characterized by diminishing photospheric fields and complex coronal structures that took several extra years to simplify to its traditional dipolar solar minimum state. The nearly dipolar phase, when it arrived, had a duration somewhat shorter than those of the previous cycles. The fact that the corona maintained an appearance more like a solar maximum corona through most of the quiet transitional phase between Cycles 23 and 24 gave the impression of a much more complicated solar minimum solar wind structure in spite of the weaknesses of the mass flux and interplanetary field. The extent to which the Cycle 23-24 transition will affect Cycle 24, and/or represents what happens during weak cycles in general, remains to be seen.


1983 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
pp. 473-477
Author(s):  
H. Biernat ◽  
N. Kömle ◽  
H. Rucker

In the vicinity of the Sun — especially above coronal holes — the magnetic field lines show strong non-radial divergence and considerable curvature (see e.g. Kopp and Holzer, 1976; Munro and Jackson, 1977; Ripken, 1977). In the following we study the influence of these characteristics on the expansion velocity of the solar wind.


2021 ◽  
Vol 923 (1) ◽  
pp. 57
Author(s):  
Oliver E. K. Rice ◽  
Anthony R. Yeates

Abstract Given a known radial magnetic field distribution on the Sun’s photospheric surface, there exist well-established methods for computing a potential magnetic field in the corona above. Such potential fields are routinely used as input to solar wind models, and to initialize magneto-frictional or full magnetohydrodynamic simulations of the coronal and heliospheric magnetic fields. We describe an improved magnetic field model that calculates a magneto-frictional equilibrium with an imposed solar wind profile (which can be Parker’s solar wind solution, or any reasonable equivalent). These “outflow fields” appear to approximate the real coronal magnetic field more closely than a potential field, take a similar time to compute, and avoid the need to impose an artificial source surface. Thus they provide a practical alternative to the potential field model for initializing time-evolving simulations or modeling the heliospheric magnetic field. We give an open-source Python implementation in spherical coordinates and apply the model to data from solar cycle 24. The outflow tends to increase the open magnetic flux compared to the potential field model, reducing the well-known discrepancy with in situ observations.


Author(s):  
Mingming Meng ◽  
Ying Liu ◽  
Chong Chen ◽  
Rui Wang

Abstract The S-shaped magnetic structure in the solar wind formed by the twisting of magnetic field lines is called a switchback, whose main characteristics are the reversal of the magnetic field and the significant increase in the solar wind radial velocity. We identify 242 switchbacks during the first two encounters of Parker Solar Probe (PSP). Statistics methods are applied to analyze the distribution and the rotation angle and direction of the magnetic field rotation of the switchbacks. The diameter of switchbacks is estimated with a minimum variance analysis (MVA) method based on the assumption of a cylindrical magnetic tube. We also make a comparison between switchbacks from inside and the boundary of coronal holes. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the rotation angles of switchbacks observed during the first encounter seem larger than those of the switchbacks observed during the second encounter in general; (2) the tangential component of the velocity inside the switchbacks tends to be more positive (westward) than in the ambient solar wind; (3) switchbacks are more likely to rotate clockwise than anticlockwise, and the number of switchbacks with clockwise rotation is 1.48 and 2.65 times of those with anticlockwise rotation during the first and second encounters, respectively; (4) the diameter of switchbacks is about 10^5 km on average and across five orders of magnitude (10^3 – 10^7 km).


2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 539-553 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Skandrani ◽  
M. E. Innocenti ◽  
L. Bettarini ◽  
F. Crespon ◽  
J. Lamouroux ◽  
...  

Abstract. The state of the art in the forecast of the background solar wind speed and of the interplanetary magnetic field at Earth is based on the use as boundary conditions for heliospheric models of the input data provided by solar observations. Magnetogram synoptic maps are used to obtain information on the magnetic field configuration at the solar source surface. Magnetic field inputs at the solar source surface thus constitute one of the main external sources of errors in solar wind models. The assimilation of data into forecasting models used in the terrestrial domain showed the ability to control model state errors. A sensitivity study performed through the analysis of the ensemble variances and the representers technique is used here to assess how process and model state errors propagate in a nonlinear two-dimensional MagnetoHydro Dynamic (MHD) system. The aim is to understand the impact of the source surface input parameters on the evolution of MHD heliospheric models and the potentialities of data assimilation techniques in solar wind forecasting. The representer technique in fact allows one to understand how far from the observation point the improvement granted from the assimilation of a measure propagates.


1977 ◽  
Vol 36 ◽  
pp. 421-445 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.B. Zirker

Coronal holes are regions of depressed density and temperature in the inner corona that coincide with open magnetic field lines. They were recognized for many years on eclipse photographs, but real understanding of their importance began to emerge only after data from rocket and satellite observations were analyzed. Wilson (1976) has summarized the early history of research on coronal holes.


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