Estimation of atmospheric methane emissions between 1996 and 2001 using a three-dimensional global chemical transport model

2006 ◽  
Vol 111 (D10) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Han Chen ◽  
Ronald G. Prinn
1999 ◽  
Vol 104 (D9) ◽  
pp. 11755-11781 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugene V. Rozanov ◽  
Vladimir A. Zubov ◽  
Michael E. Schlesinger ◽  
Fanglin Yang ◽  
Natalia G. Andronova

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 2741-2754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elham Baranizadeh ◽  
Benjamin N. Murphy ◽  
Jan Julin ◽  
Saeed Falahat ◽  
Carly L. Reddington ◽  
...  

Abstract. The particle formation scheme within PMCAMx-UF, a three-dimensional chemical transport model, was updated with particle formation rates for the ternary H2SO4–NH3–H2O pathway simulated by the Atmospheric Cluster Dynamics Code (ACDC) using quantum chemical input data. The model was applied over Europe for May 2008, during which the EUCAARI-LONGREX (European Aerosol Cloud Climate and Air Quality Interactions–Long-Range Experiment) campaign was carried out, providing aircraft vertical profiles of aerosol number concentrations. The updated model reproduces the observed number concentrations of particles larger than 4 nm within 1 order of magnitude throughout the atmospheric column. This agreement is encouraging considering the fact that no semi-empirical fitting was needed to obtain realistic particle formation rates. The cloud adjustment scheme for modifying the photolysis rate profiles within PMCAMx-UF was also updated with the TUV (Tropospheric Ultraviolet and Visible) radiative-transfer model. Results show that, although the effect of the new cloud adjustment scheme on total number concentrations is small, enhanced new-particle formation is predicted near cloudy regions. This is due to the enhanced radiation above and in the vicinity of the clouds, which in turn leads to higher production of sulfuric acid. The sensitivity of the results to including emissions from natural sources is also discussed.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (8) ◽  
pp. 11853-11888
Author(s):  
R. Locatelli ◽  
P. Bousquet ◽  
M. Saunois ◽  
F. Chevallier ◽  
C. Cressot

Abstract. With the densification of surface observing networks and the development of remote sensing of greenhouse gases from space, estimations of methane (CH4) sources and sinks by inverse modelling face new challenges. Indeed, the chemical transport model used to link the flux space with the mixing ratio space must be able to represent these different types of constraints for providing consistent flux estimations. Here we quantify the impact of sub-grid scale physical parameterization errors on the global methane budget inferred by inverse modelling using the same inversion set-up but different physical parameterizations within one chemical-transport model. Two different schemes for vertical diffusion, two others for deep convection, and one additional for thermals in the planetary boundary layer are tested. Different atmospheric methane datasets are used as constraints (surface observations or satellite retrievals). At the global scale, methane emissions differ, on average, from 4.1 Tg CH4 per year due to the use of different sub-grid scale parameterizations. Inversions using satellite total-column retrieved by GOSAT satellite are less impacted, at the global scale, by errors in physical parameterizations. Focusing on large-scale atmospheric transport, we show that inversions using the deep convection scheme of Emanuel (1991) derive smaller interhemispheric gradient in methane emissions. At regional scale, the use of different sub-grid scale parameterizations induces uncertainties ranging from 1.2 (2.7%) to 9.4% (14.2%) of methane emissions in Africa and Eurasia Boreal respectively when using only surface measurements from the background (extended) surface network. When using only satellite data, we show that the small biases found in inversions using GOSAT-CH4 data and a coarser version of the transport model were actually masking a poor representation of the stratosphere–troposphere gradient in the model. Improving the stratosphere–troposphere gradient reveals a larger bias in GOSAT-CH4 satellite data, which largely amplifies inconsistencies between surface and satellite inversions. A simple bias correction is proposed. The results of this work provide the level of confidence one can have for recent methane inversions relatively to physical parameterizations included in chemical-transport models.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily Dowd ◽  
Christopher Wilson ◽  
Martyn Chipperfield ◽  
Manuel Gloor

<p>Methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) is the second most important atmospheric greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide. Global concentrations of CH<sub>4</sub> have been rising in the last decade and our understanding of what is driving the increase remains incomplete. Natural sources, such as wetlands, contribute to the uncertainty of the methane budget. However, anthropogenic sources, such as fossil fuels, present an opportunity to mitigate the human contribution to climate change on a relatively short timescale, since CH<sub>4</sub> has a much shorter lifetime than carbon dioxide. Therefore, it is important to know the relative contributions of these sources in different regions.</p><p>We have investigated the inter-annual variation (IAV) and rising trend of CH<sub>4</sub> concentrations using a global 3-D chemical transport model, TOMCAT. We independently tagged several regional natural and anthropogenic CH<sub>4</sub> tracers in TOMCAT to identify their contribution to the atmospheric CH<sub>4</sub> concentrations over the period 2009 – 2018. The tagged regions were selected based on the land surface types and the predominant flux sector within each region and include subcontinental regions, such as tropical South America, boreal regions and anthropogenic regions such as Europe. We used surface CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes derived from a previous TOMCAT-based atmospheric inversion study (Wilson et al., 2020). These atmospheric inversions were constrained by satellite and surface flask observations of CH<sub>4</sub>, giving optimised monthly estimates for fossil fuel and non-fossil fuel emissions on a 5.6° horizontal grid. During the study period, the total optimised CH<sub>4</sub> flux grew from 552 Tg/yr to 593 Tg/yr. This increase in emissions, particularly in the tropics, contributed to the increase in atmospheric CH<sub>4 </sub>concentrations and added to the imbalance in the CH<sub>4</sub> budget. We will use the results of the regional tagged tracers to quantify the contribution of regional methane emissions at surface observation sites, and to quantify the contributions of the natural and anthropogenic emissions from the tagged regions to the IAV and the rising methane concentrations.</p><p>Wilson, C., Chipperfield, M. P., Gloor, M., Parker, R. J., Boesch, H., McNorton, J., Gatti, L. V., Miller, J. B., Basso, L. S., and Monks, S. A.: Large and increasing methane emissions from Eastern Amazonia derived from satellite data, 2010–2018, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-1136, in review, 2020.</p>


2004 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 391-399
Author(s):  
C. Giannakopoulos ◽  
M.P. Chipperfield ◽  
K.S. Law ◽  
D.E. Shallcross ◽  
K.-Y. Wang ◽  
...  

1996 ◽  
Vol 101 (D22) ◽  
pp. 28731-28751 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacek W. Kamiński ◽  
John C. McConnell ◽  
Byron A. Boville

2007 ◽  
Vol 41 (12) ◽  
pp. 2594-2611 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy M. Gaydos ◽  
Rob Pinder ◽  
Bonyoung Koo ◽  
Kathleen M. Fahey ◽  
Gregory Yarwood ◽  
...  

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