Low-frequency variability in regions of the Kuroshio Extension and the Gulf Stream

1995 ◽  
Vol 100 (C9) ◽  
pp. 18313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liping Wang ◽  
Chester J. Koblinsky
2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 1327-1333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Pierini

Abstract The decadal chaotic relaxation oscillation obtained in a recent double-gyre model study of the Kuroshio Extension intrinsic low-frequency variability was found to compare surprisingly well with the real variability of the jet as revealed by altimeter data, despite the high degree of idealization of the model. In this note it is shown that elements of realism in the basin geometry, present in that study and absent in previous double-gyre models applied to the Kuroshio Extension, play a crucial role in shaping the low-frequency variability of the jet, and can explain the good performance of the model. A series of numerical experiments with different basin geometries of increasing degrees of simplicity are analyzed. If the schematic western boundary representing the coastline south of Japan is removed, the strong decadal variability completely disappears and only a very weak periodic oscillation about an elongated state of the jet is found. If the large zonal width of the basin (representing correctly the extension of the North Pacific Ocean) is reduced by a half, then the total meridional Sverdrup transport is reduced by the same factor, and so is the intensity of the Kuroshio and Oyashio western boundary currents: as a result, the modeled Kuroshio Extension is totally unrealistic in shape and is steady. If both simplifications are introduced the resulting jet is, again, totally unrealistic, yielding a weak periodic bimodal cycle. On the basis of these results, two main conclusions are drawn: (i) the introduction of appropriate geometrical elements of realism in double-gyre model studies of the Kuroshio Extension is essential, and (ii) the Kuroshio Extension intrinsic low-frequency variability would be dramatically different if the southwestern coastline of Japan were more meridionally oriented.


2010 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 238-248 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Pierini

Abstract The effect of stochastic winds on the intrinsic low-frequency variability of the Kuroshio Extension (KE) is analyzed through a double-gyre (DG) model forced by a steady climatological wind plus an idealized Ornstein–Uhlenbeck wind noise. A DG model of the KE bimodality, whose results compare well to altimeter data, is first shown to be an excitable system. In fact, the relaxation oscillation (forced by steady winds) with decadal time scale that describes the bimodality is recognized to be an internal mode of the system, which can be excited also in a dissipative parameter range (PR) in which it does not arise spontaneously, provided appropriate initial conditions are chosen. It is then shown that, if the additive wind noise is included in the forcing, the actual excitation of the relaxation oscillation in PR occurs if the noise is red with a decorrelation time greater than a minimum time scale ranging from 1 month to 1 year, depending on the dissipation. This behavior, known as “coherence resonance,” is likely to be paradigmatic of the low-frequency variability of western boundary current extensions of intrinsic origin, when it is in the form of relaxation oscillations resulting from a homoclinic bifurcation. General considerations concerning the interpretation of model results obtained within different parameter ranges are applied to this study.


2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Pierini ◽  
Henk A. Dijkstra ◽  
Mu Mu

Investigations of the intrinsic low-frequency variability and predictability of the Kuroshio Current and of its extension jet (the Kuroshio Extension, KE) are reviewed. The Kuroshio and KE in the North Pacific constitute a western boundary current system of great relevance from climatological and ecological viewpoints. Both the Kuroshio south of Japan and the KE display remarkable changes of bimodal character on interannual time scales that are believed to be intrinsic, i.e., basically generated by nonlinear oceanic mechanisms rather than by direct atmospheric forcing. Model studies of the Kuroshio and KE with climatological forcing are thus reviewed. Moreover, as these changes are chaotic, their predictability requires peculiar mathematical approaches: theoretical results concerning this important issue are therefore reviewed as well. Model studies aimed at determining the optimal precursors and optimally growing initial errors for the Kuroshio are described. Techniques based on Lyapunov exponents (including their Lagrangian extension) and on data assimilation techniques (namely, sequential importance sampling using a particle-filtering approach) are reviewed for the KE. The key problem of how to identify the areas where targeted observations can improve the forecast is also addressed. The role of wind forcing in triggering the KE oscillations is finally considered.


2009 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 665-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Pierini ◽  
H. A. Dijkstra

Abstract. In this paper, we provide a review of recent results targeted at the understanding of the low-frequency variability of the Kuroshio Extension. We provide the background and main arguments of two views which have recently been proposed to explain this variability. In the first view, wind-induced Rossby waves and the effects of mesocale eddies are crucial. The second view is based on low-dimensional equivalent-barotropic large-scale nonlinear dynamics, with neither Rossby wave dynamics nor baroclinic instability being important. Results from models supporting each view are discussed and confronted with results from available observations.


2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (8) ◽  
pp. 1605-1625 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Pierini

Abstract A model study of the Kuroshio Extension system, in which forcing is provided by a time-independent climatological wind, yields a mean meandering path and a decadal variability of the jet in significant agreement with in situ and altimetric measurements. A reduced-gravity primitive equation ocean model is implemented in a box spanning the whole North Pacific, including a schematic coastline at the western side, and an analytical wind forcing is determined according to the ECMWF and Comprehensive Ocean–Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) climatologies. The modeled time-averaged Kuroshio Extension shows meanders, northern and southern recirculation regions, and a jet penetration that are in good agreement with the corresponding observed climatological features. This result suggests that intrinsic nonlinear mechanisms are likely to play a major role in determining the meander pattern of the mean flow. The internal low-frequency variability is found to be a chaotic bimodal self-sustained oscillation between an energetic meandering state and a much weaker state with a reduced zonal penetration of the jet. These high and low energy states are found to be very similar to the “elongated” and “contracted” modes of the Kuroshio Extension detected through altimetric measurements; moreover, the characteristic period (of around 10 yr), flow patterns, and transition details of a typical bimodal cycle are found to be in significant agreement with altimeter observations for the period 1992–2004. A complex dynamical mechanism supporting this internal oscillation, and involving the bimodal behavior of the Kuroshio south of Japan, is proposed and discussed. On the basis of these modeling results and of their validation with altimeter data, it is hypothesized that the observed bimodal decadal variability of the Kuroshio Extension is basically due to a self-sustained internal oscillation related to the instability of the Kuroshio south of Japan without any crucial intervention of wind-driven Sverdrup transport fluctuations and of topographic interactions, although such effects certainly play an important role in shaping the finer structure of Kuroshio Extension changes. Finally, in a preliminary analysis of the variability in the framework of nonlinear dynamical systems theory it is suggested that the strange attractor corresponding to the modeled low-frequency variability is associated with a homoclinic orbit produced by a global bifurcation; moreover, transitions between oscillations of different character found for slightly different values of the lateral eddy viscosity and forcing amplitude are conjectured to be due to heteroclinic connections.


2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (12) ◽  
pp. 3177-3192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terrence M. Joyce ◽  
Young-Oh Kwon ◽  
Lisan Yu

Abstract Coherent, large-scale shifts in the paths of the Gulf Stream (GS) and the Kuroshio Extension (KE) occur on interannual to decadal time scales. Attention has usually been drawn to causes for these shifts in the overlying atmosphere, with some built-in delay of up to a few years resulting from propagation of wind-forced variability within the ocean. However, these shifts in the latitudes of separated western boundary currents can cause substantial changes in SST, which may influence the synoptic atmospheric variability with little or no time delay. Various measures of wintertime atmospheric variability in the synoptic band (2–8 days) are examined using a relatively new dataset for air–sea exchange [Objectively Analyzed Air–Sea Fluxes (OAFlux)] and subsurface temperature indices of the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio path that are insulated from direct air–sea exchange, and therefore are preferable to SST. Significant changes are found in the atmospheric variability following changes in the paths of these currents, sometimes in a local fashion such as meridional shifts in measures of local storm tracks, and sometimes in nonlocal, broad regions coincident with and downstream of the oceanic forcing. Differences between the North Pacific (KE) and North Atlantic (GS) may be partly related to the more zonal orientation of the KE and the stronger SST signals of the GS, but could also be due to differences in mean storm-track characteristics over the North Pacific and North Atlantic.


2011 ◽  
Vol 41 (9) ◽  
pp. 1585-1604 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Pierini

Abstract In this paper, a low-order spectral quasigeostrophic (QG) model of the wind-driven ocean circulation is derived and used to analyze the low-order character of the intrinsic low-frequency variability of the midlatitude double-gyre ocean circulation and of the related coherence resonance and phase selection phenomena. The model includes an exponential in the basis functions that allows for westward intensification, retains only four modes in the Galerkin projection, is defined in a rectangular domain, and is forced by deterministic and stochastic winds, thus extending previous low-order QG ocean models. The solution under steady forcing is first obtained, and the results are also analyzed in terms of dynamical systems theory. A homoclinic bifurcation (with the wind amplitude chosen as the control parameter) leads to intrinsic decadal relaxation oscillations (ROs) similar in several respects to those obtained with primitive equation models. The system is then forced with an additional red noise wind, and, in a parameter range preceding the global bifurcation, a coherence resonance scenario very similar to the one found with a primitive equation model of the Kuroshio Extension is obtained: this suggests that such a phenomenon is of low-order character. To study the RO excitation mechanism, a method denoted as phase selection is proposed. The system is forced with additional fictitious periodic winds that produce an emergence of ROs yielding strong phase dependence with the periodic forcing. The subsequent analysis reveals the character of the wind forcing that is most likely to excite a RO. All the results are discussed within the general framework of climate dynamics.


2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (12) ◽  
pp. 4950-4970 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohui Ma ◽  
Ping Chang ◽  
R. Saravanan ◽  
Dexing Wu ◽  
Xiaopei Lin ◽  
...  

Abstract Boreal winter (November–March) extreme flux events in the Kuroshio Extension region (KER) of the northwestern Pacific and the Gulf Stream region (GSR) of the northwestern Atlantic are analyzed and compared, based on NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR), NCEP–NCAR reanalysis, and NOAA Twentieth Century Reanalysis data, as well as the observationally derived OAFlux dataset. These extreme flux events, most of which last less than 3 days, are characterized by cold air outbreaks (CAOs) with an anomalous northerly wind that brings cold and dry air from the Eurasian and North American continents to the KER and GSR, respectively. A close relationship between the extreme flux events over KER (GSR) and the Aleutian low pattern (ALP) [east Atlantic pattern (EAP)] is found with more frequent occurrence of the extreme flux events during a positive ALP (EAP) phase and vice versa. A further lag-composite analysis suggests that the ALP (EAP) is associated with accumulated effects of the synoptic winter storms accompanied by the extreme flux events and shows that the event-day storms tend to have a preferred southeastward propagation path over the North Pacific (Atlantic), potentially contributing to the southward shift of the storm track over the eastern North Pacific (Atlantic) basin during the ALP (EAP) positive phase. Finally, lag-regression analyses indicate a potential positive influence of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies along the KER (GSR) on the development of the extreme flux events in the North Pacific (Atlantic).


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