A Probabilistic Synthesis of Precursory Phenomena

Author(s):  
Keiiti Aki
Keyword(s):  
1996 ◽  
Vol 6 (10) ◽  
pp. 1391-1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anders Johansen ◽  
Didier Sornette ◽  
Hiroshi Wakita ◽  
Urumu Tsunogai ◽  
William I. Newman ◽  
...  

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 671-678 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Sarkar ◽  
S. Choudhary ◽  
A. Sonakia ◽  
A. Vishwakarma ◽  
A. K. Gwal

Abstract. This paper examines the ionospheric anomalies around the time of a strong earthquake (M = 7.0) which occurred in Haiti region (18.457° N, 72.533° W) on 12 January 2010. DEMETER satellite data have been used to study the plasma parameters variation during the Haiti earthquake. One day (11 January 2010) before the earthquake there is a significant enhancement of electron density and electron temperature near the epicenter. Decrease of electron temperature is observed few days after the earthquake. Anomalous plasma parameter variations are detected both in day and nighttimes before the quake. Statistical processing of the DEMETER data demonstrates that satellite data can play an important role for the study of precursory phenomena associated with earthquakes.


1997 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Vargemezis ◽  
J. Zlotnicki ◽  
G. Tsokas ◽  
B. C. Papazachos ◽  
E. E. Papadimitriou

Two magnetotelluric stations have been installed in the South-Eastern Thessaly basin (Central Greece), which have recorded the geomagnetic and geoelectric fields since 1993. The aim is to detect long lasting abnormal changes of the geoelectric field which may be due to impending earthquakes. The geoelectric recordings were checked against the climatic changes such as temperature changes and precipitation and no correlation was observed. Ten anomalies were observed with characteristics similar to seismoelectric signals which have been reported in the literature and thus we can assume that these changes constitute precursory phenomena. The duration of these signals varies from several days to a few weeks. Some of them keep on developing until the occurrence of an earthquake, and others appear like transient changes several days before. The high seismicity of the area where the stations are located creates difficulties in the correlation of the signals with certain shocks.


2009 ◽  
Vol 23 (11) ◽  
pp. 1431-1436 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. L. PHILIPPETIS

Aspects from condensed matter physics combined with recent advances on statistical physics and physics of complex systems related to critical phenomena have inspired the continuous experimental study of electromagnetic precursory phenomena. For example, during the last two decades anomalous electromagnetic signals have been repeatedly observed before big earthquakes. Since it has been independently found that weak electromagnetic fields can produce biological effects, the following possibility is forwarded in this paper: The finding that electromagnetic signals are emitted before earthquakes, may be the key for the explanation that anomalous animal behavior have been frequently observed in various countries before major events.


2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 303-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
Toshiyasu Nagao ◽  
◽  
Yoshiaki Orihara ◽  
Masashi Kamogawa ◽  

In this article, we review papers on precursors for the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake. We discuss phenomena such as seismic, geodetic, electromagnetic, ionospheric, and macroscopic anomalies for which time scales range from a few decades to a few hours, from long-, mid- to short-term precursors. Of these, we treat ionospheric anomalies in the greatest detail. Through our review, we found that many “signals” preceded the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake.


1980 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 589-600 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Alessio ◽  
L. Allegri ◽  
F. Bella ◽  
G. Della Monica ◽  
A. Ermini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Lungfa Collins Wuyep ◽  
Umar Afegbua Kadiri ◽  
Isogun Adeyemi Monday ◽  
Nanshin Emmanuel Nansak ◽  
Lumi Zakka ◽  
...  

Regardless of the doubt caused by some rounds on the impossibility of earthquake forecast, more and more countries, even at the highest governmental levels, realize that doing nothing is the ostrich position of dread before the real difficulties associated with the creation of a real forecasting system. Nigeria in times past was believed to be aseismic. However, the seismic record of Nigeria from 1933-2021 have demonstrated in contrast to the idea, numerous quakes have been recorded in Nigeria throughout the years. With the development of observation techniques and theoretical knowledge of geochemistry, geochemical observation of faults gas has become a hotspot once more in recent years. Rn, Hg, H2, etc., are used for geochemical observations. 222Rn has a half-life of 3.825 days, a magnitude 5.0 earthquake will be detected through precursory phenomena at a distance not greater than 142 km. Mercury and other elements are used as important detectors for earthquake prediction and they play an important role in revealing the relationship between fluid in the fault zone and the occurrence of earthquakes, the range for a magnitude 5.0 earthquake is limited to 200 km. Hydrogen concentrations have been monitored for precursory variations in many fault systems, using either discrete sampling and laboratory analysis or continuous monitoring of ground gas, using hydrogen-sensitive fuel cells. Precursory changes in groundwater chemistry are often attributed to the mixing of fluids from two or more chemically distinct aquifers, the physical mechanism responsible for the mixing of fluids is, however, not well established.


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