scholarly journals Elevated risk thresholds predict endocrine risk-reducing medication use in the Athena screening registry

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yash S. Huilgol ◽  
Holly Keane ◽  
Yiwey Shieh ◽  
Robert A. Hiatt ◽  
Jeffrey A. Tice ◽  
...  

AbstractRisk-reducing endocrine therapy use, though the benefit is validated, is extremely low. The FDA has approved tamoxifen and raloxifene for a 5-year Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT) risk ≥ 1.67%. We examined the threshold at which high-risk women are likely to be using endocrine risk-reducing therapies among Athena Breast Health Network participants from 2011–2018. We identified high-risk women by a 5-year BCRAT risk ≥ 1.67% and those in the top 10% and 2.5% risk thresholds by age. We estimated the odds ratio (OR) of current medication use based on these thresholds using logistic regression. One thousand two hundred and one (1.2%) of 104,223 total participants used medication. Of the 33,082 participants with 5-year BCRAT risk ≥ 1.67%, 772 (2.3%) used medication. Of 2445 in the top 2.5% threshold, 209 (8.6%) used medication. Participants whose 5-year risk exceeded 1.67% were more likely to use medication than those whose risk was below this threshold, OR 3.94 (95% CI = 3.50–4.43). The top 2.5% was most strongly associated with medication usage, OR 9.50 (8.13–11.09) compared to the bottom 97.5%. Women exceeding a 5-year BCRAT ≥ 1.67% had modest medication use. We demonstrate that women in the top 2.5% have higher odds of medication use than those in the bottom 97.5% and compared to a risk of 1.67%. The top 2.5% threshold would more effectively target medication use and is being tested prospectively in a randomized control clinical trial.

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1516-1516
Author(s):  
E. Meadows ◽  
J. L. Mershon ◽  
J. Johnston ◽  
R. Iskander ◽  
K. DeLong ◽  
...  

1516 Background: Breast cancer risk assessment (RA) is rarely performed in the primary care setting due to uncertainty regarding the balance of harms and benefits in high risk women subsequently offered chemoprevention. We used a decision model to assess the potential clinical impact of several strategies involving use of routine RA in primary care. Methods: We developed a decision analytic model to compare routine breast cancer RA in primary care to usual care. The RA method was the Gail model, with a 5-year risk of >1.67% being designated as high risk (varied in sensitivity analyses). We assumed that high risk women would be offered 5 years of tamoxifen and that acceptance (70%) and compliance (68%) rates would be incomplete. For women receiving tamoxifen, the relative risk (RR) of incident estrogen-receptor positive invasive breast cancer was 0.31 over the 5 years of treatment, diminishing over the next 5 years after cessation of treatment. RR’s for the other health effects associated with tamoxifen were: vertebral fracture (0.74), endometrial cancer (2.41), stroke (1.6), pulmonary embolism (PE, 3.01), and deep vein thrombosis (DVT, 1.60). The non-breast cancer health effects of tamoxifen were assumed to pertain only to the 5 years of active therapy. All RR’s were applied to age-dependent population-based incidence rates; data sources included published epidemiologic and clinical trial data; model duration was 40 years. Results: In agreement with recommended clinical use of tamoxifen, the results were sensitive to age and the Gail threshold above which chemoprevention was recommended ( Table ). The number of women needed to screen (NNS) to prevent 1 case of breast cancer is 7-fold higher among women aged 50 compared to 65 with a Gail risk of 1.67% (719 vs. 104). Conclusions: The number of women offered treatment, as well as the clinical outcomes and NNS, resulting from routine breast cancer risk assessment varies with the age at RA and treatment threshold selected. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leann A Lovejoy ◽  
Clesson E Turner ◽  
Craig D Shriver ◽  
Rachel E Ellsworth

Abstract Background The majority of active duty service women (ADS) are young, have access to healthcare, and meet fitness standards set by the U.S. military, suggesting that ADS represent a healthy population at low risk of cancer. Breast cancer is, however, the most common cancer in ADS and may have a significant effect on troop readiness with lengthy absence during treatment and inability to return to duty after the treatment. The identification of unaffected ADS who carry germline mutations in cancer predisposition genes (“previvors”) would provide the opportunity to prevent or detect cancer at an early stage, thus minimizing effects on troop readiness. In this study, we determined (1) how many high-risk ADS without cancer pursued genetic testing, (2) how many previvors employed risk-reducing strategies, and (3) the number of undiagnosed previvors within an ADS population. Methods The Clinical Breast Care Project (protocol WRNMMC IRB #20704) database of the Murtha Cancer Center/Walter Reed National Military Medical Center was queried to identify all ADS with no current or previous history of cancer. Classification as high genetic risk was calculated using National Comprehensive Cancer Network 2019 guidelines for genetic testing for breast, ovary, colon, and gastric cancer. The history of clinical genetic testing and risk-reducing strategies was extracted from the database. Genomic DNA from ADS with blood specimens available for research purposes were subjected to next-generation sequencing technologies using a cancer predisposition gene panel. Results Of the 336 cancer-free ADS enrolled in the Clinical Breast Care Project, 77 had a family history that met National Comprehensive Cancer Network criteria for genetic testing for BRCA1/2 and 2 had a family history of colon cancer meeting the criteria for genetic testing for Lynch syndrome. Of the 28 (35%) high-risk women who underwent clinical genetic testing, 11 had pathogenic mutations in the breast cancer genes BRCA1 (n = 5), BRCA2 (n = 5), or CHEK2 (n = 1). Five of the six ADS who had a relative with a known pathogenic mutation were carriers of the tested mutation. All of the women who had pathogenic mutations detected through clinical genetic testing underwent prophylactic double mastectomy, and three also had risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy. Two (6%) of the 33 high-risk ADS tested only in the research setting had a family history of breast/ovarian cancer and carried pathogenic mutations: one carried a BRCA2 mutation, whereas the other carried a mutation in the colon cancer predisposition gene PMS2. No mutations were detected in the 177 low-risk women tested in the research setting. Discussion Within this unaffected cohort of ADS, 23% were classified as high risk. Although all of the previvors engaged in risk-reduction strategies, only one-third of the high-risk women sought genetic testing. These data suggest that detailed family histories of cancer should be collected in ADS and genetic testing should be encouraged in those at high risk. The identification of previvors and concomitant use of risk-reduction strategies may improve health in the ADS and optimize military readiness by decreasing cancer incidence.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (31_suppl) ◽  
pp. 184-184
Author(s):  
Elissa Ozanne ◽  
Brian Drohan ◽  
Kevin S. Hughes

184 Background: Overdiagnosis is commonly defined as a diagnosis of "disease" which will never cause symptoms or death during a patient's lifetime. Similarly, overdiagnosis can also happen when individuals are given the diagnosis of being at risk for a disease, such as being at high-risk for developing breast cancer. Women can be given such a diagnosis by meeting a set of risk assessment criteria, which are often accompanied by recommended management strategies. We sought to identify the extent and consequences of overdiagnosis for individuals being at high risk for breast cancer using the American Cancer Society (ACS) guidelines for the appropriate use of Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI). Methods: We identified women who fit the ACS criteria in a population based sample at a community hospital. The ACS criteria mentions three risk assessment models for determining a woman’s risk, and these criteria were reviewed to determine the extent of possible overdiagnosis in this population. The expected resource utilization resulting from this overdiagnosis, and the impact on patient quality of life are extrapolated. Results: 5,894 women who received mammography screening at the study site were included. 342 (5.8%) of the women were diagnosed as high risk by at least one model. However, only 0.2% of the total study population were diagnosed as high risk by all three models. One model identified 330 (5.6%) to be at high risk, while the other two models identified many fewer eligible women (25, 0.4% and 54, 0.9% respectively). Conclusions: Using different models to evaluation the ACS criteria identifies very different populations, implying a large potential for overdiagnosis. Further, this overdiagnosis is likely to result in the outcome of screening too many women, incurring false positives and unnecessary resource utilization.


Author(s):  
Katherine D. Crew

Breast cancer is the most common malignancy among women in the United States, and the primary prevention of this disease is a major public health issue. Because there are relatively few modifiable breast cancer risk factors, pharmacologic interventions with antiestrogens have the potential to significantly affect the primary prevention setting. Breast cancer chemoprevention with selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) tamoxifen and raloxifene, and with aromatase inhibitors (AIs) exemestane and anastrozole, is underutilized despite several randomized controlled trials demonstrating up to a 50% to 65% relative risk reduction in breast cancer incidence among women at high risk. An estimated 10 million women in the United States meet high-risk criteria for breast cancer and are potentially eligible for chemoprevention, but less than 5% of women at high risk who are offered antiestrogens for primary prevention agree to take it. Reasons for low chemoprevention uptake include lack of routine breast cancer risk assessment in primary care, inadequate time for counseling, insufficient knowledge about antiestrogens among patients and providers, and concerns about side effects. Interventions designed to increase chemoprevention uptake, such as decision aids and incorporating breast cancer risk assessment into clinical practice, have met with limited success. Clinicians can help women make informed decisions about chemoprevention by effectively communicating breast cancer risk and enhancing knowledge about the risks and benefits of antiestrogens. Widespread adoption of chemoprevention will require a major paradigm shift in clinical practice for primary care providers (PCPs). However, enhancing uptake and adherence to breast cancer chemoprevention holds promise for reducing the public health burden of this disease.


2017 ◽  
Vol 37 (6) ◽  
pp. 657-669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie L. Fowler ◽  
William M. P. Klein ◽  
Linda Ball ◽  
Jaclyn McGuire ◽  
Graham A. Colditz ◽  
...  

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