PURPOSE A multivariable analysis to evaluate the potential clinical and pathologic factors that predict for early biochemical failure in patients with pathologically organ-confined and margin-negative disease was performed to define patients who may benefit from adjuvant therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS Three hundred forty-one prostate cancer patients treated with a radical retropubic prostatectomy between January 1989 and June 1995 and found to have pathologically organ-confined and margin-negative disease comprised the study population. A logistic regression multivariable analysis to evaluate the predictive value of the preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, pathologic (prostatectomy) Gleason score, and pathologic stage on PSA failure occurring during the first postoperative year was performed. RESULTS Predictors of PSA failure during the first postoperative year in patients with pathologically organ-confined disease included pathologic Gleason score > or = 7 (P = .0007) and preoperative PSA level greater than 10 (P < .0001). Corresponding 3-year freedom-from-PSA-failure rates for these pathologic organ-confined patients with both, one, or neither of these factors were 60%, 75% to 84%, and 95%, respectively (P < .0001). CONCLUSION Prostate cancer patients with pathologically organ-confined and margin-negative disease and a preoperative PSA level greater than 10 ng/mL or a pathologic Gleason score > or = 7 have significant decrements in short-term PSA-failure-free survival. Therefore, these patients should be considered for adjuvant therapy in the setting of a phase III clinical trial.
Prostatic volume and volume-adjusted prostate-specific antigen as predictive parameters for prostate cancer patients with intermediate PSA levels
