scholarly journals Machine-learning-based reliability evaluation framework for power distribution networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 2282-2291
Author(s):  
Gengfeng Li ◽  
Yuxiong Huang ◽  
Zhaohong Bie ◽  
Tao Ding
Author(s):  
M. Fouad ◽  
R. Mali ◽  
A. Lmouatassime ◽  
M. Bousmah

Abstract. The current electricity grid is no longer an efficient solution due to increasing user demand for electricity, old infrastructure and reliability issues requires a transformation to a better grid which is called Smart Grid (SG). Also, sensor networks and Internet of Things (IoT) have facilitated the evolution of traditional electric power distribution networks to new SG, these networks are a modern electricity grid infrastructure with increased efficiency and reliability with automated control, high power converters, modern communication infrastructure, sensing and measurement technologies and modern energy management techniques based on optimization of demand, energy and availability network. With all these elements, harnessing the science of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) methods become better used than before for prediction of energy consumption. In this work we present the SG with their architecture, the IoT with the component architecture and the Smart Meters (SM) which play a relevant role for the collection of information of electrical energy in real time, then we treat the most widely used ML methods for predicting electrical energy in buildings. Then we clarify the relationship and interaction between the different SG, IoT and ML elements through the design of a simple to understand model, composed of layers that are grouped into entities interacting with links. In this article we calculate a case of prediction of the electrical energy consumption of a real Dataset with the two methods Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), given their precision performances.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (18) ◽  
pp. 4881
Author(s):  
Zain Anwer Memon ◽  
Riccardo Trinchero ◽  
Paolo Manfredi ◽  
Flavio Canavero ◽  
Igor S. Stievano

Today’s spread of power distribution networks, with the installation of a significant number of renewable generators that depend on environmental conditions and on users’ consumption profiles, requires sophisticated models for monitoring the power flow, regulating the electricity market, and assessing the reliability of power grids. Such models cannot avoid taking into account the variability that is inherent to the electrical system and users’ behavior. In this paper, we present a solution for the generation of a compressed surrogate model of the electrical state of a realistic power network that is subject to a large number (on the order of a few hundreds) of uncertain parameters representing the power injected by distributed renewable sources or absorbed by users with different consumption profiles. Specifically, principal component analysis is combined with two state-of-the-art surrogate modeling strategies for uncertainty quantification, namely, the least-squares support vector machine, which is a nonparametric regression belonging to the class of machine learning methods, and the widely adopted polynomial chaos expansion. Such methods allow providing compact and efficient surrogate models capable of predicting the statistical behavior of all nodal voltages within the network as functions of its stochastic parameters. The IEEE 8500-node test feeder benchmark with 450 and 900 uncertain parameters is considered as a validation example in this study. The feasibility and strength of the proposed method are verified through a systematic assessment of its performance in terms of accuracy, efficiency, and convergence, based on reference simulations obtained via classical Monte Carlo analysis.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2405
Author(s):  
Samar Fatima ◽  
Verner Püvi ◽  
Ammar Arshad ◽  
Mahdi Pourakbari-Kasmaei ◽  
Matti Lehtonen

Power distribution networks are transitioning from passive towards active networks considering the incorporation of distributed generation. Traditional energy networks require possible system upgrades due to the exponential growth of non-conventional energy resources. Thus, the cost concerns of the electric utilities regarding financial models of renewable energy sources (RES) call for the cost and benefit analysis of the networks prone to unprecedented RES integration. This paper provides an evaluation of photovoltaic (PV) hosting capacity (HC) subject to economical constraint by a probabilistic analysis based on Monte Carlo (MC) simulations to consider the stochastic nature of loads. The losses carry significance in terms of cost parameters, and this article focuses on HC investigation in terms of losses and their associated cost. The network losses followed a U-shaped trajectory with increasing PV penetration in the distribution network. In the investigated case networks, increased PV penetration reduced network costs up to around 40%, defined as a ratio to the feeding secondary transformer rating. Above 40%, the losses started to increase again and at 76–87% level, the network costs were the same as in the base cases of no PVs. This point was defined as the economical PV HC of the network. In the case of networks, this level of PV penetration did not yet lead to violations of network technical limits.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 4169
Author(s):  
Hirotaka Takano ◽  
Junichi Murata ◽  
Kazuki Morishita ◽  
Hiroshi Asano

The recent growth in the penetration of photovoltaic generation systems (PVs) has brought new difficulties in the operating and planning of electric power distribution networks. This is because operators of the distribution networks normally cannot monitor or control the output of the PVs, which introduces additional uncertainty into the available information that operations must rely on. This paper focuses on the service restoration of the distribution networks, and the authors propose a problem framework and its solution method that finds the optimal restoration configuration under extensive PV installation. The service restoration problems have been formulated as combinatorial optimization problems. They do, however, require accurate information on load sections, which is impractical in distribution networks with extensively installed PVs. A combined framework of robust optimization and two-stage stochastic programming adopted in the proposed problem formulation enables us to deal with the PV-originated uncertainty using readily available information only. In addition, this problem framework can be treated by a traditional solution method with slight extensions. The validity of the authors’ proposal is verified through numerical simulations on a real-scale distribution network model and includes a discussion of their results.


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