Improving Prediction Accuracy of Hydrologic Time Series by Least-Squares Support Vector Machine Using Decomposition Reconstruction and Swarm Intelligence

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (9) ◽  
pp. 04021030
Author(s):  
Wen-jing Niu ◽  
Zhong-kai Feng ◽  
Yin-shan Xu ◽  
Bao-fei Feng ◽  
Yao-wu Min
2014 ◽  
Vol 1061-1062 ◽  
pp. 935-938
Author(s):  
Xin You Wang ◽  
Guo Fei Gao ◽  
Zhan Qu ◽  
Hai Feng Pu

The predictions of chaotic time series by applying the least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM), with comparison with the traditional-SVM and-SVM, were specified. The results show that, compared with the traditional SVM, the prediction accuracy of LS-SVM is better than the traditional SVM and more suitable for time series online prediction.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Doddy Prayogo ◽  
Yudas Tadeus Teddy Susanto

This research presents a novel hybrid prediction technique, namely, self-tuning least squares support vector machine (ST-LSSVM), to accurately model the friction capacity of driven piles in cohesive soil. The hybrid approach uses LS-SVM as a supervised-learning-based predictor to build an accurate input-output relationship of the dataset and SOS method to optimize the σ and γ parameters of the LS-SVM. Evaluation and investigation of the ST-LSSVM were conducted on 45 training data and 20 testing data of driven pile load tests that were compiled from previous studies. The prediction accuracy of the ST-LSSVM was then compared to other machine learning methods, namely, LS-SVM and BPNN, and was benchmarked with the previous results by neural network (NN) from Goh using coefficient of correlation (R), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The comparison showed that the ST-LSSVM performed better than LS-SVM, BPNN, and NN in terms of R, RMSE, and MAE. This comprehensive evaluation confirmed the capability of hybrid approach SOS and LS-SVM to modeling the accurate friction capacity of driven piles in clay. It makes for a reliable and robust assistance tool in helping all geotechnical engineers estimate friction pile capacity.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 715-724 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Li ◽  
Xin Liu ◽  
Clyde Zhengdao Li ◽  
Zhumin Hu ◽  
Geoffrey Qiping Shen ◽  
...  

Foundation pit displacement is a critical safety risk for both building structure and people lives. The accurate displacement monitoring and prediction of a deep foundation pit are essential to prevent potential risks at early construction stage. To achieve accurate prediction, machine learning methods are extensively applied to fulfill this purpose. However, these approaches, such as support vector machines, have limitations in terms of data processing efficiency and prediction accuracy. As an emerging approach derived from support vector machines, least squares support vector machine improve the data processing efficiency through better use of equality constraints in the least squares loss functions. However, the accuracy of this approach highly relies on the large volume of influencing factors from the measurement of adjacent critical points, which is not normally available during the construction process. To address this issue, this study proposes an improved least squares support vector machine algorithm based on multi-point measuring techniques, namely, multi-point least squares support vector machine. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed multi-point least squares support vector machine approach, a real case study project was selected, and the results illustrated that the multi-point least squares support vector machine approach on average outperformed single-point least squares support vector machine in terms of prediction accuracy during the foundation pit monitoring and prediction process.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Tian Chai ◽  
Han Xue ◽  
Kaibiao Sun ◽  
Jinxian Weng

Water transportation plays an important role in the comprehensive transportation system and regional logistics. The number of vessel accidents is an important indicator for evaluating vessel traffic safety and the efficiency of the maritime management strategy. The aim of this work is to provide an efficient way to predict the number of vessel accidents in China. Firstly, to weaken the randomness of the vessel accident number time series, the gray processing operation is adopted to generate a new sequence with exponential and approximate exponential rules. In addition, an extended least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model is applied in the forecasting of the new sequence, in which the parameters of the LSSVM are optimized by an improved quantum-behaved particle swarm (IQPSO). The proposed method is applied in the forecasting of the number of vessel accidents in China, and the efficiency is shown by comparing the prediction results with GM (1, 1), PSO-LSSVM, and QPSO-LSSVM.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document