Autocorrelation and Multiple Testing Procedures in Trend Detection Analysis: The Case Study of Hydrologic Extremes in Sao Francisco River Basin, Brazil

Author(s):  
Renato S. Amorim ◽  
Saulo A. De Souza ◽  
Dirceu S. Reis
2013 ◽  
Vol 448-453 ◽  
pp. 3963-3969
Author(s):  
Dante Bachi ◽  
Geraldo Lucio Tiago Filho ◽  
Maria Rachel Russo Seydell

With the beginning of unconventional exploration and exploitation of natural gas in Brazil, the question of how to transport the product is concerned. Being the transport an essential part to supply energy to consumers, to move towards energy efficiency one should seek sustainability in the logistic process from the production until delivery at final destination. The objective of this study is the regional assessment of two transport modes for natural gas: by pipeline or as secondary energy in the form of electricity. Since society no longer accepts development at any cost, to determine the best mode of transport three other factors have been added to the techno-economic factor, which are environmental and social impacts, and political risks, defining specific methods to internalize externalities. The full cost analysis considers the four factors under a balanced importance degree for planning towards sustainability. A case study deals with the energy transport (natural gas and electricity) to meet consumer markets in the state of Minas Gerais, between exploratory gas fields at Sao Francisco river basin. The research method employs the most relevant elements of analysis within the four dimensions, assigning specific valuations according to transport mode particularities and providing the best product transportation mode. To attend the region demand for energy, full cost analysis points to energy transport in the form of electricity as the best alternative.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 907
Author(s):  
Larissa Alves da Silva Rosa ◽  
Manuela Morais ◽  
Carlos Hiroo Saito

What is river basin revitalization’s place in relation to water security? This question is the basis of our reflection, posed to help in the understanding of the evolution of both concepts, taking management of the São Francisco River Basin (Brazil) as a case study. With this main objective in mind, a literature review was carried out, followed by the collection of survey data on the watershed’s revitalization program. In this context, the members of the São Francisco River Basin Committee (a total of 124 participants) were consulted, using questionnaires with the Delphi method. The respondents (a total of 47) chose the river basin revitalization strategy as the main measure to achieving water security in the São Francisco River Basin. They also highlighted the importance of the environmental dimension, underlining measures for conservation and restoration of the ecosystem’s natural functions. The concept map tool was adopted for a comparative perspective between conceptual implications of revitalization and water security for the studied river basin’s conservation. The results showed the existence of a symbiotic relationship between both concepts. Consequently, we conclude that it is urgent to reconcile water use and ecosystem ecological integrity through the comprehensive concept of water security.


2018 ◽  
Vol 171 ◽  
pp. 339-349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naidion Motta Silvério ◽  
Regina Mambeli Barros ◽  
Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho ◽  
Miguel Redón-Santafé ◽  
Ivan Felipe Silva dos Santos ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Damian Clarke ◽  
Joseph P. Romano ◽  
Michael Wolf

When considering multiple-hypothesis tests simultaneously, standard statistical techniques will lead to overrejection of null hypotheses unless the multiplicity of the testing framework is explicitly considered. In this article, we discuss the Romano–Wolf multiple-hypothesis correction and document its implementation in Stata. The Romano–Wolf correction (asymptotically) controls the familywise error rate, that is, the probability of rejecting at least one true null hypothesis among a family of hypotheses under test. This correction is considerably more powerful than earlier multiple-testing procedures, such as the Bonferroni and Holm corrections, given that it takes into account the dependence structure of the test statistics by resampling from the original data. We describe a command, rwolf, that implements this correction and provide several examples based on a wide range of models. We document and discuss the performance gains from using rwolf over other multiple-testing procedures that control the familywise error rate.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 521-528
Author(s):  
Eric S Leifer ◽  
James F Troendle ◽  
Alexis Kolecki ◽  
Dean A Follmann

Background/aims: The two-by-two factorial design randomizes participants to receive treatment A alone, treatment B alone, both treatments A and B( AB), or neither treatment ( C). When the combined effect of A and B is less than the sum of the A and B effects, called a subadditive interaction, there can be low power to detect the A effect using an overall test, that is, factorial analysis, which compares the A and AB groups to the C and B groups. Such an interaction may have occurred in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes blood pressure trial (ACCORD BP) which simultaneously randomized participants to receive intensive or standard blood pressure, control and intensive or standard glycemic control. For the primary outcome of major cardiovascular event, the overall test for efficacy of intensive blood pressure control was nonsignificant. In such an instance, simple effect tests of A versus C and B versus C may be useful since they are not affected by a subadditive interaction, but they can have lower power since they use half the participants of the overall trial. We investigate multiple testing procedures which exploit the overall tests’ sample size advantage and the simple tests’ robustness to a potential interaction. Methods: In the time-to-event setting, we use the stratified and ordinary logrank statistics’ asymptotic means to calculate the power of the overall and simple tests under various scenarios. We consider the A and B research questions to be unrelated and allocate 0.05 significance level to each. For each question, we investigate three multiple testing procedures which allocate the type 1 error in different proportions for the overall and simple effects as well as the AB effect. The Equal Allocation 3 procedure allocates equal type 1 error to each of the three effects, the Proportional Allocation 2 procedure allocates 2/3 of the type 1 error to the overall A (respectively, B) effect and the remaining type 1 error to the AB effect, and the Equal Allocation 2 procedure allocates equal amounts to the simple A (respectively, B) and AB effects. These procedures are applied to ACCORD BP. Results: Across various scenarios, Equal Allocation 3 had robust power for detecting a true effect. For ACCORD BP, all three procedures would have detected a benefit of intensive glycemia control. Conclusions: When there is no interaction, Equal Allocation 3 has less power than a factorial analysis. However, Equal Allocation 3 often has greater power when there is an interaction. The R package factorial2x2 can be used to explore the power gain or loss for different scenarios.


1998 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 309-314 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshimi Sato ◽  
Nelsy Fenerich-Verani ◽  
José Roberto Verani ◽  
Hugo Pereira Godinho ◽  
Edson Vieira Sampaio

Rhinelepis aspera is the largest Loricariidae species found in the São Francisco river basin where it is now rarely caught. Brooders kept in tanks were hypophysed with crude carp pituitary extract (CCPE). Approximately 82% of the females responded positive to the treatment. The egg was opaque, demersal, round, yellow and adhesive. Egg stripping was done at 212 hour-degrees (= 8.2 h) after application of the second dose of CCPE (water temperature = 25-26 ºC). Hatching of the larvae occurred at 1022 hour-degrees (= 42.2 h), after fertilization of the eggs (water temperature =24-25 ºC). Fertilization rate of the eggs was 72%. Absolute fecundity (AF), initial fertility (IF) and final fertility (FF) in relation to the females' body weight are expressed, respectively, by the equations: AF = - 33993 + 122308 Wt (r² = 0.88), IF = - 14823 + 58619 Wt (r² = 0.71) and FF = - 6553 + 29741 (r² = 0.61)


2015 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Danielle Priscilla Correia Costa ◽  
Cassandra Moraes Monteiro ◽  
Marilia Carvalho Brasil-Sato

A total of 103 specimens of Hoplias intermedius (Günther, 1864) and 86 specimens of H. malabaricus (Bloch, 1794) from the upper São Francisco River, State of Minas Gerais were collected between April 2011 and August 2013, and their parasitic fauna were investigated. Four species of Digenea were found: metacercariae of Austrodiplostomum sp., and Ithyoclinostomum sp.; and adult specimens of Phyllodistomum spatula Odhner, 1902, and Pseudosellacotyla lutzi (Freitas, 1941) Yamaguti, 1954. The prevalence of the metacercariae was higher than that of the adult digeneans of erythrinids from the upper São Francisco River as a result of piscivorous feeding habits of these adult erythrinids. The presence of metacercariae and adult digeneans indicate that they act as intermediate and definitive hosts, respectively, in their biological cycles. Hoplias intermedius is a new host for the four species of Digenea, and the São Francisco River basin is a new location for the known geographical distributions of P. spatula and P. lutzi.


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