EASTERN AUSTRALIA'S GAS SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE

2003 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 137
Author(s):  
A. Dickson ◽  
K. Noble
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Energy System ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Modelling Framework ◽  
Eastern Australia ◽  
The Face ◽  
Level Building ◽  
Coal Seam Methane ◽  
Gas Supply

Concerns have been raised about the capacity for Australia’s natural gas supplies to keep pace with growing demand, particularly in eastern Australia. Specifically, it has been suggested that unless significant infrastructure investment is undertaken now the demand/supply balance situation in eastern Australia will deteriorate quickly as natural gas resources are depleted in the face of strongly growing demand.The purpose of this study is to examine whether and when supplies in eastern Australia are likely to fall short of growing demand.A modelling framework was developed by ABARE to examine these issues at a regional level, building on ABARE’s MARKAL model of the Australian energy system. The modelling framework includes representations of potential sources of natural gas and coal seam methane in Australia by basin, existing and proposed pipeline options and regional gas demands. A number of alternative supply side assumptions were also examined to evaluate their impact on the final results, including annual production rates from various basins and the availability of commercial and non-commercial reserves.

Forecasting for Chinese Natural Gas Supply and Demand and Solutions for the Optimization of the Supply and Demand Chain

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (9) ◽  
pp. 64-73
Author(s):  
Qiong Zhang ◽  
Xiucheng Dong ◽  
Junchen Li ◽  
Shouhua Zhang ◽  
Yu Chi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Demand Chain ◽  
Gas Supply

A reserves driven view of the eastern Australian gas supply and demand balance through the 2020's

2017 ◽  
Vol 57 (2) ◽  
pp. 526
Author(s):  
Will Pulsford
Keyword(s):  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
South Australia ◽  
Market Outcomes ◽  
Natural Gas Markets ◽  
Eastern Australia ◽  
Gas Market ◽  
Gas Fields ◽  
Key Participants ◽  
Gas Supply

The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) issued a Gas Statement of Opportunities in March 2016, which reports that gas supply to the domestic and liquefied natural gas markets in eastern Australia will be largely satisfied by proved and probable reserves until 2026 and by the addition of contingent resources until 2030. However, in parallel, there are widely reported concerns by energy consumers of insufficient gas supplies to meet demand by the early 2020s and a lack of new gas supplies to replace existing expiring contracts. Gas shortages have already contributed to black outs and load shedding events in South Australia. This paper reviews the eastern Australian gas supply position at a basin level. The AEMO basin level supply forecasts are reviewed and adjusted to generate forward profiles, which are consistent with reported reserves levels, production histories and depletion behaviour of typical gas fields. The revised supply forecast is compared with the AEMO’s demand profiles, and the likely commercial behaviour of key participants in the market is considered to build a picture of the domestic gas supply-demand balance through the 2020s. This analysis provides a transparent link from market outcomes back to the underlying reserves classifications to guide interpretation of supply-demand forecasts, and highlights the critical role of key suppliers in the eastern Australian gas market in the coming decade.

scholarly journals Using Concepts from the Study of Social Movements to Understand Community Response to Liquefied Natural Gas Development in Clatsop County, Oregon

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trang Tran ◽  
Casey L. Taylor ◽  
Hilary S. Boudet ◽  
Keith Baker ◽  
Holly L. Peterson
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Social Movements ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Energy System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Community Response ◽  
Liquefied Natural Gas ◽  
Project Outcomes ◽  
Political Opportunities

Shifts in natural gas supply and demand since the early 2000s have triggered proposals for import and export terminals in coastal locations around the United States. Demand for such facilities is likely to grow with increasing rates of natural gas exports. Clatsop County, Oregon, is one such location that experienced over 10 years of debate surrounding the development of these facilities. The first liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility was proposed in this area in 2004; the final was withdrawn in 2016. While residents expressed both support and opposition early on, opposition dominated by the end. Drawing on insights from the literature on social movements, we conduct a case study of community response to LNG proposals in Clatsop County. We show how opponents were able to successfully frame the potential risks of LNG in a manner that had strong community salience, allowing them to appropriate resources and create political opportunities to advance their cause and influence local and state decisions. Engaging with this case provides an opportunity to observe the behavior and decisions of both opponents and supporters over time, and how they affected project outcomes. LNG proposals in Oregon have been among the most controversial cases of LNG development in the United States. As shale gas development continues to grow, understanding the conflicts involved with its associated infrastructure is critical to creating a more just and equitable energy system.

Pendulum Policy: Natural Gas Forecasts and Canadian Energy Policy, 1969–1981

1983 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 299-319 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Bridger Robinson
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Energy Policy ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Policy Decisions ◽  
Energy Forecasting ◽  
Policy Context ◽  
Future Supply ◽  
Major Project ◽  
Gas Supply

AbstractMajor energy policy decisions are usually based in part upon forecasts of energy supply and demand. However an examination of the Canadian National Energy Board's forecasts of natural gas supply and demand over the last decade indicates that these forecasts were not a reliable basis for policy decisions. An analysis of the policy context underlying those forecasts reveals that they were not neutral “best guess” estimates of future supply and demand, but instead closely reflected the policy context and major project proposals of the time. The reasons for this are rooted in the nature of forecasting techniques and the way that they are used by decision-makers. This, it is argued, has important implications for the use of energy forecasting in policy planning.

scholarly journals How Can the Gas Sector Contribute to a Climate-Neutral European Energy System? A Qualitative Approach

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Lebelhuber ◽  
Horst Steinmüller
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Group Process ◽  
Current System ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Energy System ◽  
End Users ◽  
Regulatory Framework ◽  
Enabling Factors

Background: Mitigating climate change requires fundamentally redesigned energy systems where renewable energy sources replace fossil fuels such as natural gas by 2050. Just how exactly this renewable energy will be transported to end users and how supply and demand will be balanced are still subject to lively debate. In this context the gas sector underlines its capability to contribute and claims its role in the EU energy system beyond the age of the fossil fuel natural gas. But on which specific arguments is this claim based and which enabling factors need to be considered? Methods: We take a two-step approach: We begin with a theoretically guided review of studies from energy industry and academic sources to discuss pros and cons from a holistic energy system design point of view. We then enrich our review with the results of an empirical focus group process, which leads us to possible enabling factors for unlocking the contributions of the gas sector to a climate-neutral energy system exemplified for Austria. Results: Beyond the widely acknowledged potential of the gas infrastructure for balancing growing renewable electricity generation and demand, we find that renewable gas could be a means to transport renewable energy to end users, and that it could be done using existing infrastructure. This could reduce the costs for society, increase public acceptance and ultimately speed up the transition to a climate-neutral energy system. However, this hinges on a supportive regulatory framework for energy markets and usage and on optimized resource utilization across the society as enabling factors. Conclusion: Developing a climate-neutral EU energy system will mean investing large amounts of money and completely overhauling our current system. The entire energy supply chain across various energy vectors must be optimized. This will require a technology-neutral and holistic approach. The regulatory framework must provide investment conditions that respect these principles. If it does, renewable gases could make a valuable contribution to achieving climate goals in an efficient, timely and publicly acceptable manner.

Emerging Trends In Natural Gas Supply And Demand

1978 ◽  
Author(s):  
John A. Brickhill
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Emerging Trends ◽  
Gas Supply

Assessment of Natural Gas Supply and Demand Security in China Based on Set Pair Analysis

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guo Mingjing ◽  
Li Xiaohui ◽  
Jiang Ziyu ◽  
Min Yuanyuan ◽  
Bu Yan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Set Pair Analysis ◽  
Pair Analysis ◽  
Gas Supply
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