scholarly journals Quantifying surface severity of the 2014 and 2015 fires in the Great Slave Lake area of Canada

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (10) ◽  
pp. 892
Author(s):  
Nancy H. F. French ◽  
Jeremy Graham ◽  
Ellen Whitman ◽  
Laura L. Bourgeau-Chavez

The focus of this paper was the development of surface organic layer severity maps for the 2014 and 2015 fires in the Great Slave Lake area of the Northwest Territories and Alberta, Canada, using multiple linear regression models generated from pairing field data with Landsat 8 data. Field severity data were collected at 90 sites across the region, together with other site metrics, in order to develop a mapping approach for surface severity, an important metric for assessing carbon loss from fire. The approach utilised a combination of remote sensing indices to build a predictive model of severity that was applied within burn perimeters. Separate models were created for burns in the Shield and Plain ecoregions using spectral data from Landsat 8. The final Shield and Plain models resulted in estimates of surface severity with 0.74 variance explained (R2) for the Plain ecoregions and 0.67 for the Shield. The 2014 fires in the Plain ecoregion were more severe than the 2015 fires and fires in both years in the Shield ecoregion. In further analysis of the field data, an assessment of relationships between surface severity and other site-level severity metrics found mixed results.


2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 29-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Guo ◽  
Tamás Gál ◽  
Guohang Tian ◽  
János Unger

Predictive models for urban air temperature (Tair) were developed by using urban land surface temperature (LST) retrieved from Landsat-8 and MODIS data, NDVI retrieved from Landsat-8 data and Tair measured by 24 climatological stations in Szeged. The investigation focused on summer period (June−September) during 2016−2019 in Szeged. The relationship between Tair and LST was analyzed by calculating Pearson correlation coefficient, root-mean-square error and mean-absolute error using the data of 2017−2019, then unary (LST) and binary (LST and NDVI) linear regression models were developed for estimating Tair. The data in 2016 were used to validate the accuracy of the models. Correlation analysis indicated that there were strong correlations during the nighttime and relatively weaker ones during the daytime. The errors between Tair and LSTMODIS-Night was the smallest, followed by LSTMODIS-Day and LSTLandsat-8 respectively. The validation results showed that all models could perform well, especially during nighttime with an error of less than 1.5o. However, the addition of NDVI into the linear regression models did not significantly improve the accuracy of the models, and even had a negative effect. Finally, the influencing factors and temporal and spatial variability of the correlation between Tair and LST were analyzed. LSTLandsat-8 had a larger original error with Tair, but the regression model based on Landsat-8 had a stronger ability to reduce errors.



2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-71
Author(s):  
Wigiyanti Masodah

Offering credit is the main activity of a Bank. There are some considerations when a bank offers credit, that includes Interest Rates, Inflation, and NPL. This study aims to find out the impact of Variable Interest Rates, Inflation variables and NPL variables on credit disbursed. The object in this study is state-owned banks. The method of analysis in this study uses multiple linear regression models. The results of the study have shown that Interest Rates and NPL gave some negative impacts on the given credit. Meanwhile, Inflation variable does not have a significant effect on credit given. Keywords: Interest Rate, Inflation, NPL, offered Credit.



Author(s):  
Nykolas Mayko Maia Barbosa ◽  
João Paulo Pordeus Gomes ◽  
César Lincoln Cavalcante Mattos ◽  
Diêgo Farias Oliveira


2003 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 363 ◽  
Author(s):  
Slamet Sugiri

The main objective of this study is to examine a hypothesis that the predictive content of normal income disaggregated into operating income and nonoperating income outperforms that of aggregated normal income in predicting future cash flow. To test the hypothesis, linear regression models are developed. The model parameters are estimated based on fifty-five manufacturing firms listed in the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) up to the end of 1997.This study finds that empirical evidence supports the hypothesis. This evidence supports arguments that, in reporting income from continuing operations, multiple-step approach is preferred to single-step one.





2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaffer Okiring ◽  
Adrienne Epstein ◽  
Jane F. Namuganga ◽  
Victor Kamya ◽  
Asadu Sserwanga ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Malaria surveillance is critical for monitoring changes in malaria morbidity over time. National Malaria Control Programmes often rely on surrogate measures of malaria incidence, including the test positivity rate (TPR) and total laboratory confirmed cases of malaria (TCM), to monitor trends in malaria morbidity. However, there are limited data on the accuracy of TPR and TCM for predicting temporal changes in malaria incidence, especially in high burden settings. Methods This study leveraged data from 5 malaria reference centres (MRCs) located in high burden settings over a 15-month period from November 2018 through January 2020 as part of an enhanced health facility-based surveillance system established in Uganda. Individual level data were collected from all outpatients including demographics, laboratory test results, and village of residence. Estimates of malaria incidence were derived from catchment areas around the MRCs. Temporal relationships between monthly aggregate measures of TPR and TCM relative to estimates of malaria incidence were examined using linear and exponential regression models. Results A total of 149,739 outpatient visits to the 5 MRCs were recorded. Overall, malaria was suspected in 73.4% of visits, 99.1% of patients with suspected malaria received a diagnostic test, and 69.7% of those tested for malaria were positive. Temporal correlations between monthly measures of TPR and malaria incidence using linear and exponential regression models were relatively poor, with small changes in TPR frequently associated with large changes in malaria incidence. Linear regression models of temporal changes in TCM provided the most parsimonious and accurate predictor of changes in malaria incidence, with adjusted R2 values ranging from 0.81 to 0.98 across the 5 MRCs. However, the slope of the regression lines indicating the change in malaria incidence per unit change in TCM varied from 0.57 to 2.13 across the 5 MRCs, and when combining data across all 5 sites, the R2 value reduced to 0.38. Conclusions In high malaria burden areas of Uganda, site-specific temporal changes in TCM had a strong linear relationship with malaria incidence and were a more useful metric than TPR. However, caution should be taken when comparing changes in TCM across sites.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raúl Alejandro Morán‐Vásquez ◽  
Mauricio A. Mazo‐Lopera ◽  
Silvia L. P. Ferrari


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document