An evaluation of the Bayesian approach to fitting the N-mixture model for use with pseudo-replicated count data

2012 ◽  
Vol 82 (8) ◽  
pp. 1135-1143 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. G. Toribio ◽  
B. R. Gray ◽  
S. Liang
2001 ◽  
Vol 58 (8) ◽  
pp. 1663-1671 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milo D Adkison ◽  
Zhenming Su

In this simulation study, we compared the performance of a hierarchical Bayesian approach for estimating salmon escapement from count data with that of separate maximum likelihood estimation of each year's escapement. We simulated several contrasting counting schedules resulting in data sets that differed in information content. In particular, we were interested in the ability of the Bayesian approach to estimate escapement and timing in years where few or no counts are made after the peak of escapement. We found that the Bayesian hierarchical approach was much better able to estimate escapement and escapement timing in these situations. Separate estimates for such years could be wildly inaccurate. However, even a single postpeak count could dramatically improve the estimability of escapement parameters.


Author(s):  
Bettina Grün ◽  
Gertraud Malsiner-Walli ◽  
Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

AbstractIn model-based clustering, the Galaxy data set is often used as a benchmark data set to study the performance of different modeling approaches. Aitkin (Stat Model 1:287–304) compares maximum likelihood and Bayesian analyses of the Galaxy data set and expresses reservations about the Bayesian approach due to the fact that the prior assumptions imposed remain rather obscure while playing a major role in the results obtained and conclusions drawn. The aim of the paper is to address Aitkin’s concerns about the Bayesian approach by shedding light on how the specified priors influence the number of estimated clusters. We perform a sensitivity analysis of different prior specifications for the mixtures of finite mixture model, i.e., the mixture model where a prior on the number of components is included. We use an extensive set of different prior specifications in a full factorial design and assess their impact on the estimated number of clusters for the Galaxy data set. Results highlight the interaction effects of the prior specifications and provide insights into which prior specifications are recommended to obtain a sparse clustering solution. A simulation study with artificial data provides further empirical evidence to support the recommendations. A clear understanding of the impact of the prior specifications removes restraints preventing the use of Bayesian methods due to the complexity of selecting suitable priors. Also, the regularizing properties of the priors may be intentionally exploited to obtain a suitable clustering solution meeting prior expectations and needs of the application.


Author(s):  
Dankmar Böhning ◽  
Herwig Friedl

AbstractEstimating the size of a hard-to-count population is a challenging matter. In particular, when only few observations of the population to be estimated are available. The matter gets even more complex when one-inflation occurs. This situation is illustrated with the help of two examples: the size of a dice snake population in Graz (Austria) and the number of flare stars in the Pleiades. The paper discusses how one-inflation can be easily handled in likelihood approaches and also discusses how variances and confidence intervals can be obtained by means of a semi-parametric bootstrap. A Bayesian approach is mentioned as well and all approaches result in similar estimates of the hidden size of the population. Finally, a simulation study is provided which shows that the unconditional likelihood approach as well as the Bayesian approach using Jeffreys’ prior perform favorable.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-232
Author(s):  
Adnan Kastrati ◽  
Alexander Hapfelmeier

Author(s):  
Daiane Aparecida Zuanetti ◽  
Luis Aparecido Milan

In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian approach for QTL mapping of family data. The main purpose is to model a phenotype as a function of QTLs’ effects. The model considers the detailed familiar dependence and it does not rely on random effects. It combines the probability for Mendelian inheritance of parents’ genotype and the correlation between flanking markers and QTLs. This is an advance when compared with models which use only Mendelian segregation or only the correlation between markers and QTLs to estimate transmission probabilities. We use the Bayesian approach to estimate the number of QTLs, their location and the additive and dominance effects. We compare the performance of the proposed method with variance component and LASSO models using simulated and GAW17 data sets. Under tested conditions, the proposed method outperforms other methods in aspects such as estimating the number of QTLs, the accuracy of the QTLs’ position and the estimate of their effects. The results of the application of the proposed method to data sets exceeded all of our expectations.


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