The application of quantitative risk assessment in talus slope risk analysis

Author(s):  
Z. Q. Liu ◽  
H. W. Huang ◽  
Y. D. Xue
2019 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 17-27
Author(s):  
Tsvetelina Simeonova

The aim of the present work is to develop a methodology for conducting exercises for analysis, assessment and management of risk, using a web based tool by identifying and analyzing the risk of occurrence of a dangerous event through the fault tree method. As a result, a framework is presented according to the proposed methodology applicable to the students' training in risk analysis, evaluation and management, and according to accepted assumptions. Approaches for qualitative and quantitative risk assessment are presented at the assumed value of the damages. In addition, a methodology for risk analysis, assessment and management applicable to student training on risk analysis and management has been developed and proposed.


2022 ◽  
Vol 354 ◽  
pp. 00002
Author(s):  
Gabriel - Victor Vasilescu ◽  
Roland Iosif Moraru ◽  
Gabriel Bujor Bǎbuţ

Risk management is becoming increasingly more complex. Risk assessment, approached quantitatively, requires a factual database to define the likelihood of adverse health effects of workplace-related injuries and exposures, and it attempts to balance scientific knowledge with concerns of staff, investigators and administration. Practical guidance should be provided for Romanian coal mining companies to make progress in risk assessment process. Guidance is given on how to effectively introduce quantitative risk assessment in mining industry, the main goal being to highlight that the most valuable resource remains experience gained by effectively performing the process. Analyzing how various parameters are described/used, the paper aims to establish the place and role of quantitative risk analysis mining. Possibilities of developing safety/reliability database in coal mining are investigated. The block diagram describing the conceptual structure of a database on failures, safety of equipment and workers in the mining industry was developed. Because mining relies heavily on complex technologies - permanent mining facilities and large mobile equipment and support services - often located in isolated and hostile environments, the implementation of quantitative risk analysis and the development of a realistic database could be considered as a resilience business strategy and conversion of available knowledge into management actions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 115-123
Author(s):  
Tsvetelina Simeonova

The aim of the present work is to develop a methodology for conducting exercises for analysis, assessment and management of risk, using a web based tool, by identifying and analyzing the risk of occurrence of a dangerous event through the dynamic fault tree method. As a result, a framework is presented according to the proposed methodology applicable to the students' training in risk analysis, evaluation and management, and according to accepted assumptions. Approaches for qualitative and quantitative risk assessment are presented at the assumed value of the damages. In addition, a methodology for risk analysis, assessment and management applicable to student training on risk analysis and management, through the dynamic fault tree method, has been developed and proposed.  


Author(s):  
Aleksandra Sukhova ◽  
Elena Elizareva

Objective: Identifying an accurate quantitative risk assessment. FEC (Fuel and Energy Complex) plants are a high-risk area as they may cause manmade disasters, various accidents, pose a threat to human life and environment. In addition, the Russian energy industry is noted for its high complexity and social responsibility. Its specific feature is that it is not always possible to make an accurate quantitative risk assessment reasonably in advance and its degree determination methods are not well enough developed. In view of the above, there are some difficulties in minimizing the risks and estimating risk management costs. There has been a recent trend in improved current legislation on industrial safety and Rostechnadzor (Federal Environmental, Industrial and Nuclear Supervision Service of Russia) oversight and supervision activity practice toward implementing a risk-based approach using the risk analysis methods. It allows optimizing the methods and frequency of inspections made by regulatory bodies depending on the risk level of facilities supervised. Methods: The (accident) risk analysis is performed as a certain scientific justification set forth using qualitative and quantitative analysis of a potential accident likelihood, consequences of its occurrence, and identification of the weakest points in the engineering system or complex. Using fault tree analysis, this article identifies hazards and assesses the high-pressure gas pipeline loss of containment risk, one of the events possible for an energy provider in operation. Results: Based on the risk analysis, there has been a proposal to replace gland seal valves with bellows seal valves noted for their optimum relationship between the unit reliability, cost and sophistication level. In case the facilities with gland seal valves remain in operation, improved production process monitoring is recommended using gas leak detectors and automatic interlocking devices. Practical importance: The measures proposed will allow minimizing the gas pipeline loss of containment risk.


Author(s):  
Chen-Yu Lin ◽  
Mohd Rapik Saat

Safety is a high priority for any rail system, and there are several safety concerns associated with operating passenger and freight trains on shared-use rail corridors. Adjacent track accident (ATA) is one of the most important concerns. ATA refers to train accident scenarios where a derailed equipment intrudes adjacent tracks, causing operation disturbance and potential subsequent train collisions on the adjacent tracks. Other ATA scenarios include collisions between trains on adjacent tracks (raking), turnouts, and railroad crossings. Limited literature is available that addressed the risk of ATA for shared-use rail corridors. The research described in this paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment to identify factors affecting the likelihood and consequence of adjacent track accidents. A discussion on how these factors affect the probability, consequence, and how individual factor relates to each other are provided. A semi-quantitative risk analysis is developed to investigate various factors affecting train accident rate, intrusion rate, and accident consequences. This research intends to depict a high-level overview of adjacent track accidents and provides a basis for future quantitative risk analyses and risk mitigation implementations.


2013 ◽  
Vol 357-360 ◽  
pp. 2177-2181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yun Na Wu ◽  
Zi Shan Hu ◽  
Ru Hang Xu

Hydropower construction projects have been faced with more complex risk factors and had higher demands on technology in recent years. It is how to do the risk assessment and management that have been the focus of hydropower project management. In the basis of the analysis of risk factors of hydropower projects, this article has adopted analytic hierarchy to construct the hydropower project risk evaluation index system, and presented 9-scale method in accordance with human experience and judgment to make quantitative risk assessment of the risk factors by weight vector system. With the construction of the risk fuzzy evaluation model and the analysis by examples, it is proved that the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method has the applicability for hydropower project risk analysis, which combined qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to strengthen the regulation and evaluation effectiveness.


Author(s):  
Jens Braband

The European Railway Agency (ERA) has the challenging task of establishing common safety targets and common safety methods throughout Europe. In this context, the harmonization of risk analysis methods is also discussed. The purpose of this paper is to present a new semi-quantitative approach for the risk analysis of technical systems and the means by which compliance with legal and regulatory requirements can be demonstrated. As a particular reference, a new German pre-standard, which lays out requirements for semi-quantitative approaches, is taken into account.


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 ◽  
pp. 01007
Author(s):  
Izabela Skrzypczak ◽  
Janusz P. Kogut ◽  
Wanda Kokoszka ◽  
Grzegorz Oleniacz

This article concerns the reliability and safety of building structures in mining areas, with a particular emphasis on the quantitative risk analysis of buildings. The issues of threat assessment and risk estimation, in the design of facilities in mining exploitation areas, are presented here, indicating the difficulties and ambiguities associated with their quantification and quantitative analysis. This article presents the concept of quantitative risk assessment of the impact of mining exploitation, in accordance with ISO 13824 [1]. The risk analysis is illustrated through an example of a construction located within an area affected by mining exploitation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio C. Caputo ◽  
Fabrizio Paolacci ◽  
Oreste S. Bursi ◽  
Renato Giannini

Earthquakes represent a class of natural-technical (NaTech) hazards which in the past have been responsible of major accidents and significant losses in many industrial sites. However, while codes and standards are issued to design specific structures and equipment in both the civil and industrial domain, established procedures for seismic quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of process plants are not yet available. In this paper, a critical review of seismic QRA methods applicable to process plants is carried out. Their limitations are highlighted and areas where further research is needed are identified. This will allow to refine modeling tools in order to increase the capabilities of risk analysis in process plants subjected to earthquakes.


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