Ergodic stationary distribution of a stochastic rumor propagation model with general incidence function

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhuai Zhang ◽  
Jianjun Zhu

Abstract In daily lives, when emergencies occur, rumors will spread widely on the Internet. However, it is quite difficult for the netizens to distinguish the truth of the information. The main reasons are the uncertainty of netizens' behavior and attitude, which make the transmission rates of these information among social network groups being not fixed. In this paper, we propose a stochastic rumor propagation model with general incidence function. The model can be described by a stochastic differential equation. Applying the Khasminskii method via a suitable construction of Lyapunov function, we first prove the existence of a unique solution for the stochastic model with probability one. Then we show the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the rumor model, which exhibits the ergodicity. We also provide some numerical simulations to support our theoretical results. The numerical results give us some possible methods to control rumor propagation that (1)increasing noise intensity can effectively reduce rumor propagation when $\widehat{\mathcal{R}}_{0}>1$. That is, after rumors spread widely on social network platforms, government intervention and authoritative media coverage will interfere with netizens' opinions, thus reducing the degree of rumor propagation; (2) Speed up the rumor refutation, intensify efforts to refute rumors, and improve the scientific quality of netizen(i.e. increase the value of $\beta$ and decrease the value of $\alpha$ and $\gamma$ ) can effectively curb rumor propagation.

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 3277
Author(s):  
Fangju Jia ◽  
Chunzheng Cao

We study the rumor propagation model with regime switching considering both colored and white noises. Firstly, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, the sufficient conditions for ergodic stationary distribution and extinction are obtained. Then we obtain the threshold Rs which guarantees the extinction and the existence of the stationary distribution of the rumor. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to verify our model. The results indicated that there is a unique ergodic stationary distribution when Rs>1. The rumor becomes extinct exponentially with probability one when Rs<1.


2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
pp. 571-584 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianhong Chen ◽  
Qinghua Song ◽  
Zhiyong Zhou

AbstractTo simulate the rumor propagation process on online social network during emergency, a new rumor propagation model was built based on active immune mechanism. The rumor propagation mechanisms were analyzed and corresponding parameters were defined. BA scale free network and NW small world network that can be used for representing the online social network structure were constructed and their characteristics were compared. Agent-based simulations were conducted on both networks and results show that BA scale free network is more conductive to spreading rumors and it can facilitate the rumor refutation process at the same time. Rumors paid attention to by more people is likely to spread quicker and broader but for which the rumor refutation process will be more effective. The model provides a useful tool for understanding and predicting the rumor propagation process on online social network during emergency, providing useful instructions for rumor propagation intervention.


2011 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 161-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas V. Pollet ◽  
Sam G. B. Roberts ◽  
Robin I. M. Dunbar

Previous studies showed that extraversion influences social network size. However, it is unclear how extraversion affects the size of different layers of the network, and how extraversion relates to the emotional intensity of social relationships. We examined the relationships between extraversion, network size, and emotional closeness for 117 individuals. The results demonstrated that extraverts had larger networks at every layer (support clique, sympathy group, outer layer). The results were robust and were not attributable to potential confounds such as sex, though they were modest in size (raw correlations between extraversion and size of network layer, .20 < r < .23). However, extraverts were not emotionally closer to individuals in their network, even after controlling for network size. These results highlight the importance of considering not just social network size in relation to personality, but also the quality of relationships with network members.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-143
Author(s):  
Marlinawati Marlinawati ◽  
Dewi Kusuma Wardani

The purpose of this research is to know the influence between the Quality of Human Resources, Utilization of Information Technology and Internal Control System Against Timeliness of Village Government Financial Reporting at Gunungkidul Regency. This research is causative research. The population is the village government in Gunungkidul Regency, especially in Gedangsari subdistrict. Criteria of respondents in the study were to village and village apparatus. We use questionnaire to collect data. We use multiple regression with SPSS program version 16.0 to analyze data. We find that quality of human resources and internal control system have a positive influence on the timeliness of village government financial reporting. On the other hand, utilization of information technology does not influence the timeliness of village government financial reporting. These imply that the quality of human resources and internal control system can speed up the preparation of village government financial reporting.


2016 ◽  
pp. 141-149
Author(s):  
S.V. Yershov ◽  
◽  
R.М. Ponomarenko ◽  

Parallel tiered and dynamic models of the fuzzy inference in expert-diagnostic software systems are considered, which knowledge bases are based on fuzzy rules. Tiered parallel and dynamic fuzzy inference procedures are developed that allow speed up of computations in the software system for evaluating the quality of scientific papers. Evaluations of the effectiveness of parallel tiered and dynamic schemes of computations are constructed with complex dependency graph between blocks of fuzzy Takagi – Sugeno rules. Comparative characteristic of the efficacy of parallel-stacked and dynamic models is carried out.


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